Ukraine is about to surrender, and Britain is helping the United States to carry the burden, promisi

Mondo Military Updated on 2024-01-30

In parallel with the "Summer**" operation, Ukraine is actively engaged in bilateral negotiations with about 30 countries, seeking international support to ensure their security.

While Ukraine hopes to win on its own and even surpass the expectations that the West has placed on it, its war with Russia has proven to be no easy task.

As the war in Ukraine enters a more complex phase, the country has stepped up its push for security cooperation with the international community. Especially in the face of the difficulties encountered, the Ukrainian top level frequently sent delegations to negotiate with Western countries, especially the United States.

However, despite these efforts, no substantial breakthrough has yet been made. The failure of the United States to agree on full support for Ukraine has led to other Western allies not daring to intervene.

However, as the war in Ukraine turns defensive, Britain is willing to take greater responsibility and step up for it. According to reports, the United Kingdom plans to become the first country to sign a bilateral security treaty with Ukraine, a decision aimed at filling the void that the United States and the European Union failed to agree on.

It is reported that the two sides plan to sign the agreement in a few weeks, and the UK is expected to provide Ukraine with security guarantees for a period of ten years. However, the details of the agreement have not been disclosed, suggesting that the UK still has reservations about its commitments.

The so-called security guarantee does not mean that the UK will immediately send troops to assist Ukraine, but focuses on providing **, training and financial support to support the Ukrainian army. The document also states that if the conflict breaks out again in the future after successfully repelling the Russian army, the UK will automatically increase its sanctions against Ukraine and reimpose sanctions.

Against the backdrop of tensions in Ukraine, the situation in Ukraine seems to be unfavorable. Although Ukraine has always expected long-term security support from the West, the UK's move is one step ahead, but the specifics seem to be difficult to meet Ukraine's expectations.

The security treaty, which is limited to a period of 10 years, does not provide substantial and comprehensive protection, but rather provides emergency assistance, and if the situation spirals out of control, Ukraine will still have to deal with it on its own.

Even more worrying is the mention in the document of the reimposition of sanctions in the event of a future conflict. This may be sending a message to Ukraine that the UK may lift sanctions on Russia once the current conflict is resolved.

Ukraine may have accepted the security treaty because the reality may be worse than it had hoped. The reality seems to indicate that the strategic situation in Ukraine is not optimistic, and perhaps it will have to accept the status quo. If other Western countries can continue to support Ukraine's armed forces in the next decade, as Britain has done, this may be an opportunity for Ukraine to make a comeback.

It also means that Ukraine may have already begun to think about ending the conflict. Perhaps Ukraine had to make the choice to end the war after the failure of the counterattack, which could also be seen as a symbol of submission to Russia.

The so-called provision of security may be wishful thinking.

It is significant that one of Russia's special military operations against Ukraine is an attempt to "demilitarize" Ukraine. This means that Russia also has its need for security guarantees.

If the West continues to provide armed support to Ukraine over the next decade, Russia's actions may be meaningless. If Ukraine is strengthened, it could relapse into conflict in the coming years.

In fact, the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022 is only a continuation of the events of 2014. Russia has already suffered a loss once, and if it wins this time, it may not give the West and Ukraine another chance.

As a result, the agreements signed so far may not really work, and the end result may be just empty talk.

Related Pages