It's time to admit that the current oneIsraeli-Palestinian conflictIt has entered a bewildering phase. After 48 days of fierce fighting, the two sides reached an agreement called a "humanitarian moratorium" and a hostage exchange took place. However, this ceasefire lasted less than ten days before it was broken again, and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced that it would move toGazaAn offensive in the south, a renewed start of fighting, could lead to even more terrible catastrophes. This "strategic shift" by the Israeli army has given Hamas an opportunity to speak out, and there seems to be no reason for the Israeli side to refute it. （GazaThe north has fallen into ruins).
On December 3, it was reported that under HamasMilitaryA source who organized the Qassam brigade said in an interview that they had observed that 70 percent of Israeli troops had now withdrawnGazaIn the northern part of the strip, this observation began after the resumption of the exchange of fire on 1 December. As Hamas's resistance grows stronger and the Israeli army accelerates the pace of withdrawal in the north, they believe that Israel's withdrawal from the north can be seen as a "failure". Israel, by contrast, will certainly not admit defeat. On the same day, the German news agency dpa, reporting the IDF, said that in the two months of war, the Israeli army had carried out 10,000 air strikes on Palestinian targets, destroying tunnel entrances and exitskey targets such as libraries and command posts. However, it is important to note that 10,000 air strikes do not conflict with the statement of attacking 15,000 targets, because 10,000 air strikes are the number of missions, and multiple targets can be attacked in one air strike. (The Israeli army focused on siege and bombing.)GazaNorth).
However, there are some doubts about whether Israel's withdrawal from the north really means that they will concentrate their forces on the south. fromMilitaryFrom the point of view, after nearly two months of hard fighting, the Israeli army is hereGazaSeveral of the main divisions in the north suffered heavy losses, and equipment also suffered huge losses. Although there are no exact ** figures, according to rumors, at least a third of the troops have lost their combat effectiveness. Therefore, the most reasonable assumption is that some of the evacuated troops will return to the rear to rest and replenish their equipment and men, while the remaining troops may organize a few days of rest and replenishment before committing to an offensive in the south. (There are fewer tunnels in the south than in the north, which is also one of the reasons why the Israeli army changed direction).
What exactly is the reason why the Israeli army chose to launch an offensive in the south?Shortly after the start of the war, the Israeli army was first cut from the centerGaza, dividing it into two parts, north and south, some obscure information suggests that the main forces of Hamas were indeed surrounded at that timeGazaCities in the north and small towns or villages in places like Beit Hanoun. However, the Israeli infantry did not dare to get out of the car and fight in concert with the infantry, resulting in Merkava tanks and heavyArmored vehiclesEnter the city to engage Hamas. Infantry withArmored vehiclesThe lack of coordinated combat capabilities has made Hamas remarkable. Therefore, it can be speculated that the Israeli army's decision to change the direction of the offensive may be because the offensive in the north has lost its relevance, or Hamas has withdrawn into the south through tunnels. As for what Halevi said about leaving the 162nd Armored Division, it may be to contain Hamas forces in the north, or it may be just a smoke bomb, but according to the situation on the battlefield, the former is more likely. (The Israeli army is heavily dependent on tanks and.)Armored vehicles, less initiative in infantry clearance)
According to current information, the Israeli army is rightGazaKhan Younis, the largest town in the south, launched an attack. On December 3, Khan Younis reportedly suffered dozens of airstrikes and shelling, killing at least 70 people and wounding hundreds more. The Hamas Kasan Brigade said that in the north of Khan Younis, they used rocket launchers to destroy two Israeli tanks orArmored vehiclesand destroyed an armored bulldozer. This shows that the Israeli army's offensive in the south is serious, and tactically it is still to open the way with air strikes, engineering vehicles to demolish buildings, tanks andArmored vehiclesBreak in, but it's not clear whether the Israeli soldiers will still be thereArmored vehiclesVillage. However, the big question is,GazaThe south currently has fewer than 2 million displaced peopleRefugees。If the Israeli army begins to bomb and shell the south, theseRefugeesHow to deal with it?The whole situation is fraught with uncertainty and unpredictable consequences.
In short,GazaThe situation in the south is very tense, and a new catastrophe is coming. Regardless of the explanations and justifications of both sides, humanitarian crises and human beings are inevitable. We hopeInternationalSociety can strengthen its good offices and mediation to provide both sides with a way to resolve the conflict peacefully in order to avoid more innocent lives.