In the last 48 hours, two teams from Russia and IndiaNavyThe fleets entered one after anotherManilaand make a goodwill visit to the Philippines. This dynamic has attracted a lot of attention, especially in theThe situation in the South China SeaAgainst the background of tension, people on these twoNavyVarious speculations were made about the intentions of the fleet's visit.
Russian NavyThe detachment arrived firstManilaBay. by the large anti-submarine ship "Tributs."NavyAdmiral "No.," PanteleevNavyThe Russian flotilla consisting of the Admiral and the tanker "Pechenga" are enteringManilaAfter that, a series of exchange activities were held with the Philippine side. At the same time, IndiaNavyThe anti-submarine frigate "Kadmat" also arrivedManilab, and with the PhilippinesNavyA maritime partnership Xi was conducted.
Russia and IndiaNavyAlthough the purpose of the trip is not identical, it is related to their strategic goal of actively developing relations with the Philippines in recent years. The main purpose of the Russian trip was to searchEconomygrowth points, countering Western sanctions, and expanding their own geopolitical influence. And the Indian side wants to passMilitaryCooperate to strengthen relations with the Philippines and counterbalance China's influence in Southeast Asia. This also explains whyRussian NavyThe actions of the fleet are more low-key, and IndiaNavyand more actively participated in the maritime partnership Xi.
These twoNavyThe visit of the fleet is inThe situation in the South China Seahas raised some concerns. After the recent maritime standoff between China and the Philippines, Russia and IndiaNavyArrivalManilaThe bay will inevitably give some people in the Philippines a certain illusion that these foreign fleets are here to support the Philippines. However, this is not the case.
Russian NavyA more low-key approach was taken during the visit, with only a few common open events scheduled and the crew toured local places of interest. At the welcoming event, the Russian ambassador to the Philippines reaffirmed the traditional friendly relations between the two countries and stressed Russia's willingness to strengthen bilateral cooperation with the Philippines in various fields. In contrast, IndiaNavywith the PhilippinesNavyA maritime partnership Xi was conducted and support for the Philippines' position on the South China Sea.
This difference is mainly due to the fact that Russia and India in recent years have actively developed relations with the Philippines in the Southeast Asian region with different fundamental purposes. Russia is primarily seekingEconomygrowth and the expansion of geopolitical influence, while India is motivated by restrictions on China's growing influence in Southeast Asia and the easing of pressure on the East-India border.
IndiaNavyThe actions show a different strategic intention from the Russian side. India's Act East Policy aims to expand its influence in Southeast Asia in order to distract and ease China's efforts in the regionSino-Indian borderregional pressure. However, India has not fully included any ASEAN country in its sphere of influence. This is despite the fact that India has provided assistance to ASEAN countries and, but no major breakthrough has been made in bilateral relations.
Therefore, India's visit to the PhilippinesNavyThe purpose of the fleet is obvious, that is, to passMilitaryCooperate to further strengthen relations with the Philippines and counter China's position on the South China Sea. Although this action is rightThe situation in the South China Seamay have negative consequences, but in contrast, the visit of the Russian side has a negative impact on Sino-Russian relations andThe situation in the South China SeaThe impact is relatively small.
For China, although it cannot quickly return the Philippines to its previous pragmatic diplomatic line, we can ensure its legitimate interests in Southeast Asia by developing relations with other ASEAN countries and mitigate the negative impact of the actions of the United States and India on China. Our recent actions in the Vietnamese direction are a clear example of this.
In a word, foreignNavyFleet accessManilab. has sparked concern aboutThe situation in the South China Seaattention. While Russia and IndiaNavyThere are differences in the mode of action and purpose, but they are all related to their strategic goal of actively developing relations with the Philippines in recent years. China should take active measures to ensure its legitimate interests in Southeast Asia and mitigate foreign actionsThe situation in the South China Seanegative effects.