【Reading guide】New Year's Day holiday, by the breeding end of the slaughter stage shrinkage, ** and the group pig enterprises to recognize the price of the slaughter mentality is not high, the scale of pig slaughter plan to reduce, pig circulation shrinkage, slaughterhouse procurement of pig source difficulty increased, superimposed, festival effect phenomenon, retail market goods have improved, slaughterhouses raised the average price of white pigs, domestic pigs to stop falling and pick up!However, the prospect of pig prices is under pressure, the pickling season is gradually weakening, the festival effect is gradually cooling, and the pace of slaughter at the breeding end is acceleratingHogs**
According to the analysis of institutional data, on January 2, 2024, the average price of lean pigs slaughtered in the country was 706 yuan catty, pig prices show a weak and stable situation, in the north and south of the country, pig prices are slightly adjusted, the mainstream ** is mainly stable, in the northern region, the pig price ** range is reduced, the stalemate in the southern market is more prominent, and the pig price fell by 14 year-on-year32%！
Among them, in the seven pig producing areas monitored in the country, East China, Central China, pig prices are strong, Northeast, North China, Northwest China, Southwest China, pig prices are narrow and weak, the South China market is mainly sideways, the domestic mainstream production areas are mainly deadlocked, and the purchase and sales show a trend of eliminating each other, and the mainstream areas, the pig price adjustment range is 005~0.1 yuan catty!
At present, in the northern production area, Heijiliao region, the pig ** sideways "6 yuan era", Heilongjiang **67~6.9 yuan, in the southern ** region, Sichuan and Chongqing, pig prices are sideways 68 7 yuan, the phenomenon of production and marketing upside down is more obvious. In East China, Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets **745~7.7 yuan, 6 yuan in South China and Guangzhou9~7.45 yuan, in Shandong and Henan region, Shandong **73~7.5 yuan, Henan**7 725 yuan catty!
Judging from the market feedback, on January 2, pig prices showed a stalemate trend, and the market bearish sentiment gradually strengthened
On the one hand, the holiday consumption support has gradually weakened, the demand has followed up the inertia decline, superimposed, there are still more than a month from the Spring Festival, and consumption has entered a "gap period" after the New Year's Day holiday, in particular, the demand for pickled meat in the south has gradually weakened, the end of pickling in the southwest, and the demand for pickled meat in East China and Central China has also gradually declined, and the support for pork consumption has deteriorated
On the other hand, the pressure of slaughter at the breeding end is not reduced, although in some provinces and regions of the Middle East, the pressure of standard pigs is reduced, but in most of the northeast and southern regions, the breeding end of large pigs and standard pigs is at a high level, and the pressure of pigs still exists, and frozen pork is out of the warehouse, which further impacts the sales of fresh pork, and the performance of the pig market!
Therefore, based on the market long and short adjustment, I personally believe that after the New Year's Day holiday, pig prices briefly entered the stage of narrow downward adjustment, the average price of pigs or will be chassis again 7 yuan catty, however, due to the market for the slaughter of concentrated stocking before the year there is still bullish sentiment, pig farms still resist the phenomenon of price reduction, it is expected that pig prices or will be affected by the breeding end of the slaughter sentiment, ** to ** weak, after entering the wax month, with the gradual strengthening of the holiday atmosphere, around the New Year, the downstream market centralized stock increases, pig prices or have a short ** opportunity!
Sure enough!Pig prices "can't rise", and the difficulty of slaughterhouse procurement has been sharply reduced!Pig price on January 2nd!What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet!