New Year s Day holiday highway traffic prediction

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-01-31

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This weekend we are going to say goodbye to 2023 towards a new 2024, in the face of the first holiday travel peak of the new year, Hebei high-speed traffic police combined with the traffic characteristics of the New Year's Day holiday in previous years and the changes in the traffic situation this year, predicting that the province's highway network traffic will reach an average of 2.2 million vehicles per day during the New Year's Day holiday this year, an increase of 38% year-on-year.

Traffic risk analysis during the New Year's Day holiday

Holiday traffic increased by 20% compared to the usual day. At the beginning of the New Year's Day holiday, the masses return to their hometowns to visit relatives and go out to play in demand, but due to the short holiday time, the return to their hometowns near the Spring Festival, and the high-speed non-free minibuses, it is expected that there will be no large flow similar to the "May Day" and "Eleventh" holidays during the New Year's Day holiday, and the overall flow will remain stable.

The risk of slowing down the highways and station entrances around Beijing and Tianjin, provincial capitals and prefecture-level cities is greater. The New Year's Day holiday is mainly in the province, short and medium-distance, near the suburbs, before and at the end of the festival, around Beijing and Tianjin, around the provincial capital, prefecture-level cities around the highway and station entrance is easy to form a slow point, slight scratching and other simple accidents risk is greater.

The tourism market is hot, and the risk of slowing down on individual road sections is prominent. It was learned from a number of tourism platforms that the overall travel bookings for the New Year's Day holiday far exceeded the same period last year, and the hot spring tours at the doorstep, the surrounding theme park tours, ice and snow tours, southward island tours, outbound New Year's Eve tours, etc. are highly sought after, and the risk of slowing down the surrounding high-speed such as ski resorts and hot springs in popular scenic spots in the province is more prominent, and long-distance tours and overseas tours involving the Xinyuan Expressway around Shijiazhuang Airport, the north line of the airport and other sections are prone to slow down.

Violations of the law are prominent, and the risk of accidents increases. During the New Year's Day holiday, illegal behaviors such as drunk driving, illegal operation, overcrowding, and mixed loading of passengers and goods increased, and the traffic safety risk increased.

The toll gate is slow, and the risk of accidents is prominent. In the morning and evening rush hour, the upper and lower station entrances of prefecture-level cities and the surrounding station entrances of scenic spots are prone to slow driving, and individual drivers who do not obey the order and rush are prone to simple accidents such as scraping and rear-end collisions, and the risk of accidents at slow station entrances is prominent.

In some cities, the number is limited, and the peak hours are different from usual. Affected by the number restrictions in Shijiazhuang, Baoding, Xingtai, Handan, Dingzhou, Xinji and other places in the province, the restricted vehicles may choose to leave before 7 o'clock in the morning and return after 20 o'clock in the evening in order to avoid the prohibited period, so the peak hours are different from the usual 10 a.m. and 16 p.m., and may form multiple waves of small peaks.

Prediction of traffic situation during the New Year's Day holiday

Traffic flow prediction

It is expected that the Beijing Expressway will increase by about 34% compared with the pre-holiday period, reaching an average of about 350,000 vehicles per day, compared with last year (28.).40,000 vehicles) increased by 23%, and the provincial expressway increased by about 10% compared with the pre-holiday period, reaching an average of about 600,000 vehicles per day, compared with last year (56.).70,000 units) increased by 58%。

Peak hour prediction

Combined with the traffic and traffic situation during the New Year's Day holiday, and affected by the number limit in some parts of the province, the peak of highway traffic may show the characteristics of multi-frequency small peaks, which is expected to appear from December 29 (the day before the holiday) in the afternoon, and there will be a small peak again after the lifting of the restriction at 20 o'clock;On the 30th (the first day of the holiday) before 7 am and 10 am, there will be a multi-wave peak after 20 pm, and on the 1st (the last day of the holiday) there will be a multi-wave peak from the afternoon to 20 pm.

Prediction of important nodes

It is predicted that there are 22 easy-to-block road sections, 22 easy-to-block station entrances, and 3 easy-to-block service areas.

Large-scale events in the province:1. Handan Fangte Theme Park held New Year's Eve activities (December 30-31, January 1) 2. Hengshui Garden Expo Park held an intangible cultural heritage gathering (December 31) 3. The 49th long-distance running event in Shijiazhuang City (January 1) (Zhengding Changlemen Cultural Square).

Popular scenic spots in the province:Shijiazhuang area - Xibaipo, Zhengding ancient city, Zhaozhou Bridge;Baoding area - Baishi Mountain, Langya Mountain, Mancheng Shenhu Four Seasons Ski Resort;Handan area - Chishuiwan Ancient Town, Fangte Theme Park, Yongnian Guangfu, Wu'an Jingniang Lake, Qibugou;Chengde area - summer resort, Jinshanling Great Wall, Jinshanling Ski Resort;Hengshui area - Hengshui Lake Scenic Area, Hengshui Garden Expo Park.

Easily blocked road sections:Shijiazhuang-Qingyin Douyu to Zhaoxian section, Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Gaoyi section, Qingyin and Xinyuan interchange, Xibaipo and Beijing-Kunming common line;Baoding - Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Baoding section, Beijing-Kunming Mancheng section, Rongwu Mancheng section, Shouhuan Zhuozhou section, Lailai Laiyuan section;Langfang-Shouhuan Gu'an section, Jinxiong whole line;Hengshui - Daguang Hengshui section;Xingtai - Daguangwei County Section, Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Longyao Section, Xingtai South Section;Cangzhou-Beijing-Shanghai-Qingxian section, Huangshi Cangzhou section;Chengde - Changshen Cheng Tang Cheng Chi Collinea;Tangshan-Beijing-Harbin-Tangshan section, coastal Fengnan section, Tangjin 0 km, Changshen Beijing-Qin interchange.

Easy to block the station entrance:Baoding - Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao 71, Beijing-Kunming Baobei, Rongwu Langya Mountain, Lailai Xiling, Laiyuan South;Hengshui - Daguang Hengshui, Taocheng, Hengshui East, Hengshui South;Handan-Taihang Mountain Dunjing, Qinglan Shexian East, Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Yecheng, Handan North;Shijiazhuang - Xinyuan Shijiazhuang South, Shijiazhuang North, Zhengding North, Xibaipo Huozhai, Xibaipo, Qingyin Zhaoxian, Dou Yu, Jingkun Dongjiao;Chengde - Changshen Chengdenan.

Easy to block the service area:Beijing-Taiwan Expressway Wen'an Service Area, Yongqing Service Area, Daguang Expressway Bull and Camel Service Area.

Construction points (including suspension of work and failure to remove fences):Zhangshi Expressway Weixian South Shijiazhuang direction on the crossing ramp closure construction;Zhang Zhuo transferred to Beijing and the new Beijing direction ramp was revised;Lailai Expressway Laishui direction 66km to 62km occupy one lane construction;Zhangzhuo's two-way 337km to 338km occupies the emergency lane;Shitaiqingyin interchange to Pingzan interchange two-way severance construction.

Response

In order to effectively do a good job in traffic safety management during the New Year's Day holiday and serve the needs of the masses during the holiday, the Hebei Expressway Traffic Police strengthened the joint emergency duty of the road police, and strengthened the joint patrol and control of key periods, key road sections and key nodesScientific deployment of patrol service, through the implementation of small sections, fast patrol service mode, shorten the patrol interval, improve the road police rate, management rate;Strengthen the "quick treatment and quick compensation" of traffic accidents, and the personnel on duty will uniformly open the "traffic management 12123" accident quick handling function, and reserve rescue personnel and equipment in important toll stations and service areas to ensure that accidents can be quickly responded, quickly disposed of, and quickly evacuated. Strictly manage the order of road traffic, strictly investigate seven types of key violations such as overcrowding and speeding, fatigue driving, illegal operation, and reverse and retrograde, eliminate potential traffic safety hazards, and make the people's holiday travel safer and smoother.

Hebei Highway Traffic Police Tips:

If you are traveling by car during the holiday, please pay attention to the weather forecast and traffic condition information, and arrange the travel time and route reasonablyBefore a long-distance trip, the car should be checked systematically to prevent the vehicle from being sick on the roadWhen driving, all employees should fasten their seat belts throughout the process, put an end to speeding, distracted driving, and fatigue driving, and remember not to drink while drivingIn case of heavy fog and foggy weather, slow down and turn on the front and rear fog lights, marker lights and hazard warning flashing lights in timeWhen driving on the highway, you should maintain a safe speed and distance, do not change lanes at will, and do not occupy the emergency laneIf you miss the exit, you should continue to drive at the next stopIf the vehicle breaks down or has a traffic accident, keep in mind that "pull over, evacuate, and call the police", and do not stay at the scene to avoid danger.

Editor-in-charge: Wang Yi Li Yang.

Review: Yang Hongliang.

Executive Producer: Qiao Xianbin.

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