Since ancient times, small countries have been pawns in the game of big powers, and the ongoing "Russia-Ukraine conflict" and "Palestinian-Israeli conflict" are no exception. If it weren't for Ukraine's inability to make effective progress in **, there is a high probability that this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict would not break out. Because Ukraine is going well, it shows that it is easy for the West to assist Ukraine to fight Russia, and the United States is likely to have the ability to support the lasting attrition of the two battlefields at the same time.
And Ukraine's ** defeat shows that the West has begun to become contradictory and powerless after more than a year of attrition with Russia. Therefore, the outbreak of this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict seems to be accidental, but in fact it should be a war launched by the United States after judging the situation and sizing up the situationThe aim is to completely drive the United States out of the Middle East.
In fact, it is enough to explain this from the fact that the US military bases in the Middle East were attacked during this time. Since mid-October, there have been at least 84 attacks on U.S. military bases and personnel in the Middle East, killing at least 60 people**, according to the U.S. Department of Defense.
According to Agence France-Presse and Reuters on December 9, the U.S. Embassy in Iraq and a U.S. military base were hit by multiple rounds of rocket and drone attacks on the 8th. Subsequently, the US Pentagon confirmed that at least 7 mortar shells fell into the US embassy. The United States issued a statement on the same day expressing "strong condemnation" of the attack.
And on the same day, in addition to the US embassy in Iraq, the US military base at the al-Assad airbase in the province of Anbar in western Iraq was attacked 2 times, and different US military bases in Syria were attacked 3 times.
Subsequently, Iraq's Shiite militia "Islamic Resistance Group" generously claimed a number of attacks, claiming that they were in response to U.S. support for Israel's fight against the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). It was also stressed that attacks against U.S. troops in Iraq and Syria would continue until the last U.S. soldier was withdrawn.
Israel is the "best person" in the Middle East, and this has been established since the United States supported the establishment of a state by Jews in the Palestinian region. At the beginning, the purpose of the Americans to support the establishment of a Jewish state in Palestine was very clear, first using the Jews to drive out the troops deployed in the Middle East by the British hegemon of the "old club".
Then use the religious conflict between the Jewish people and the Arabs and Islam to undermine the great unity of the Middle East, so as to gain bargaining power for oil and maintain the hegemony of the dollar. Before World War II, Britain was the hegemon and the Middle East was a British colony. In the first Middle East war, there were not only British commanders in the Arab coalition forces, but also British equipment.
In the first five wars in the Middle East, it was the United States that provided the best equipment to support Israel. While Israel won tactically with the support of the United States, it lost politically and practically at attrition. Because tens of thousands of people died in Israel, the loss for Israel, a country with a population base, is greater than the death of tens of thousands of people in Arab countries.
Moreover, Israel has offended other Middle Eastern countries through several wars, which has doomed it to become the target of public criticism in the Middle East circle. It's like a person who has someone behind him to support him and offends everyone in the village, once the people behind him start to lose power, this person will definitely not end well, and he will have to lose his skin if he doesn't die.
The United States has always had a "first-class people" war mentality, and it has always been its style to die and not die, and it will never end up if it can end. In the previous wars in the Middle East, the United States was only responsible for "handing the knife" to Israel, and it benefited from watching the fire from the other side. Israel has indeed grabbed some land, which can be regarded as a reward from the United States as a "master", otherwise how could people work for it?
By using the five Middle East wars launched by Israel, the United States itself did not die a single soldier. It not only succeeded in driving out the military of the former hegemon Britain in the Middle East, but also divided the great unity of Arab countries in one fell swoop and was able to garrison troops in the Middle East, successfully controlled the bargaining power of oil, and consolidated the hegemony of the dollar.
Since then, the major oil-producing countries in the Middle East have become indispensable members of the United States in maintaining the hegemony of the dollar. But for the major oil-producing countries in the Middle East, oil is the pillar industry of their country's economy, and everyone can barely bear to be "pumped" in the face of being "pumped" in US dollars, after all, they need to use the ** system established by others to do business.
However, under the hegemonic rules of the United States, they still have to store their business money in the wallets of the Americans, even with principal and interest, and no one will be willing to put this matter on their heads. The United States can rise if it wants to rise, fall if it wants, and raise interest rates and reduce interest rates if it wants to depend on their needs
But the "** man" war is not the exclusive domain of the Americans, and people will play this game if their strength allows. In particular, the big oil-producing countries in the Middle East have a lot of money in their hands, and they can also learn from the United States and work for themselves as "** people" by supporting armed groups.
Those armed groups in the Middle East are supported by various forces, otherwise there is no room for survival. For example, Allah in Lebanon, Hamas, the Taliban in Afghanistan, the Kurdistan Workers' Party, the Shiite militia in Iraq "Islamic Resistance Group", and the Houthis in Yemen.
After the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February 2022, the United States withdrew its troops from the Middle East on a large scale, which ushered in an opportunity for Middle Eastern countries to develop independently. Subsequently, Saudi Arabia directly rejected Biden's request to increase oil production to help lower oil prices and fight inflation, which once led to serious tensions between the two countries.
Meanwhile, the OPEC+ oil production group, led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, decided in October to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day. In April, the group built on this by cutting oil production by a further 1.16 million barrels per day, which is scheduled to expire by the end of this year.
At the time, it was reported that Russia, one of the world's largest oil producers, was trying to maintain high oil prices by limiting production in order to finance the battlefield in Ukraine.
Later, Iran and Saudi Arabia reconciled and established diplomatic relations under the mediation of the Middle East, and various forces in the Middle East began to harmonize against this background, and a situation of great unity began to emerge in the Middle East again. This makes the United States even more uncomfortable.
Subsequently, the Biden team traveled around the Middle East for several months, vigorously promoting the "establishment of diplomatic relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia", in an attempt to undermine the emergence of great unity in the Middle East. On October 6 this year, the day before the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Wall Street** quoted Saudi Arabia and the United States** as saying that Saudi Arabia sent a signal to the White House to increase oil production in order to facilitate "U.S.-Saudi Arabia Mutual Defense Agreement
According to the report, this is only part of an effort to reach a trilateral agreement, and Biden is hopeful that he will restore diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel in the next six months, and that the United States will provide security guarantees for Saudi Arabia, while also providing civilian nuclear technical assistance. Moreover, the three parties have broadly agreed on the outlines of the agreement, but the details are tricky, and the White House needs to enlist the support of Congress.
At that time, an American think tank analyst described:This negotiation is like climbing Mount Everest continuously, and if you are not careful, you will "fall off the cliff suddenly".
The result is a prophecy!On October 7, thousands of Hamas rockets flew into Israel, directly interrupting the U.S. plan to push Saudi Arabia and Israel to "hold hands." After the outbreak of this round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States had to shift its focus from Ukraine to the Middle East, because it is the national policy of the United States to stir up the interests of the Middle East, which is far more important than Ukraine.
After the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States quickly dispatched two aircraft carrier strike groups to deter and guard Israel on the perimeter, which can be seen from the extent of the US ban. Because after the destruction of Israel, the United States will completely lose its influence and control in the Middle East.
There is a precedent for this, and the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan means that it has returned in vain, and many Middle Eastern countries began to demand that the US withdraw its troops from their own countries. When the United States withdrew its troops from Vietnam, Thailand was the first to demand that the United States withdraw its troops from its own country and end the so-called common defense.
The outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has undoubtedly greatly eased the pressure on Russia again. The United States is overstretched in the face of the need for support in both theaters, and all forces in the Middle East see hope for completely driving the United States out of the Middle East.
Therefore, after the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the US military bases in the Middle East were attacked 84 times in two months, with at least 60 people**. Even the U.S. Embassy in Iraq was attacked a few days ago, and the militant group that attacked it bluntly said that this was the beginning until the last U.S. U.S. military was withdrawn from Iraq and Syria.
The United States has insisted that these armed groups, including Hamas, are Iranian-supported, but Iran has flatly denied the accusations made by the United States.
Since the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the armed forces in the Middle East have not only supported Hamas, but have also supported Hamas in concrete actions. For example, Allah in Lebanon, such as the Houthis in Yemen, have launched attacks on Israel and formed a containment.
Objectively speaking, Hamas, with its strength, is no match for Israel. But it doesn't matter, the point is to further deplete the United States by striking at Israel, and it makes it difficult for him to take care of it. The armed groups that exist in any country rely on the resources of that country to survive, but objectively speaking, they are also a threat to the regime of that country.
So,Using armed groups to wear down opponents is the least costly thing to do and kill two birds with one stone。Just like in the Song Dynasty, the imperial court used the Songjiang group to fight the Fangla group, including the Wagner mercenaries to fight Ukraine.
These armed groups operate in their own country, and which ruling regime is not worried?
Israel knows very well that not only is its own American ** very unpopular in the Middle East, but the United States is also very unpopular in the Middle East. Previously, Israel, with the support of the United States, had already offended all the people in the "village", and everyone had long wanted to find an opportunity to destroy it.
If it is only against Hamas, Israel does not need to call up more than 300,000 reservists at all.
The current United States is no longer the United States in its heyday, its industrial production capacity is simply not able to support two-front operations, and the ** ammunition stocks have been depleted in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and cannot quickly supply ammunition. What could be more relieving and more reflective of the great unity of the Middle East than joining hands to take out the "best people" of the United States in the Middle East?
We, the people who eat melons, look at war by tactics and who is more bloody. But the parties involved are calculating the benefits, calculating the ammunition consumption of the adversary, and at the same time gathering intelligence, and then deciding on the time to intervene.
In order to support the battlefield in Ukraine, the United States began to transfer ammunition from the Israeli ammunition depot at the beginning of this year. On January 17 this year, the New York Times reported that the U.S. Department of Defense is using a large but little-known ammunition depot in Israel to supply artillery shells to the Ukrainian side, citing the United States and Israel**.
According to the report, this ammunition depot belongs to the United States and was originally intended to serve the United States in the Middle East conflict, but it can also be used by Israel in emergency situations.
Israel** revealed that this plan was proposed by the United States, and Israel accepted it in order to "avoid tension with the United States." But at the same time, the Israeli side does not want to offend Russia on this issue.
The United States estimates that Ukraine consumes 90,000 shells per month, about twice the rate of manufacture by the United States and European countries combined. But in order to aid Ukraine, the West can only buy shells from stocks and commercial channels.
The report quoted the United States and Israel** as saying that the United States had sent about 300,000 artillery shells to Ukraine through ammunition depots in Israel. In 2022, the US Department of Defense came up with the idea of transporting artillery shells from Israeli ammunition depots. But the Israeli side has always refused to provide ** to Ukraine, fearing to spoil relations with Russia.
But as the war progressed, the U.S. Department of Defense and Israel** reached an agreement to transfer about 300,000 155mm artillery shells through this ammunition depot. At that time, Israel also believed that it did not need so many shells for the time being.
The United States is certainly unable to conceal the transfer of ammunition from the intelligence agencies of various countries in the Middle East when it is transporting ammunition from Israel's ammunition depot, and it is certainly monitoring the situation of ammunition transfers. When these ammunition are delivered in batches, and then Ukraine fights for a few more months, it will basically be almost consumed.
In other words, the time of the attack on Israel is calculated. Hamas's attack on Israel with four or five thousand rockets is clearly to further test its ammunition stockpiles, and Israel's "Iron Dome" defense system is quickly becoming a furnishing because of its lack of ammunition.
After the outbreak of the conflict, the United States also rushed to send ammunition to Israel, and it is clear that the United States is well aware of the problem of Israel's insufficient ammunition stockpiles. At the same time, this also exacerbated Ukraine's lack of first-class ammunition aid support, and as a result, it was beaten by the goose again.
Israel's entry into the Gaza ground was only a last resort, not because it was afraid of being condemned, but because there were not enough artillery shells for air strikes, and American support was not in place. If you don't enter the ground to fight street battles and delay the time, "* will be revealed."
Israel is not stupid, so why do they have to go into the ground to fight street battles that they are not good at?
Hamas is a dead chess piece, and the various armed groups that have launched attacks on Israel and attacks on US military bases have people behind them. Trying to wear down the United States by fighting Israel with armed groups is undoubtedly the least costly and best way to kill multiple birds with one stone.
Although Hamas is a "dead pawn", Israel, the "thug" of the United States, has become a "funeral object". On the "X" social platform, it was revealed that since the beginning of the war, about 5,000 Israeli soldiers have been injured, most of them seriously, and more than 2,000 disabled people have been added to the Israeli army. Now the Israeli War Ministry** department needs to receive about 60 new wounded every day.
Here's what an Israeli journalist posted on social media: The number of our soldiers killed was no less than 2985, and the number of wounded was about 11600, of which hundreds were seriously wounded. I was shocked and cried!The Netanyahu and Biden, who drew Israel into the war. Everyone warned them against this war, but they didn't care about the lives of our soldiers. My family and I will leave Israel, Gaza and Palestine are the burial grounds of Israelis.
The Biden, you sacrificed the lives of our children in the war, for the sake of you and the West, to challenge Russia, to control the ...... in the Middle East
I would advise all my brothers, relatives and friends to leave the Palestinian areas, it is God's curse to the children of Israel because we have killed innocent people, expelled and ** the people of Gaza. The curse of Gaza will haunt us, and when I leave, I will unveil the scandals of Netanyahu, Gavel and Biden.
As for whether this is true or not, I can't verify. But judging from the fact that the tanks and armored vehicles of the Israeli army have been scrapped on social **, ** is indeed not small. Judging from the attacks on Israel by Allah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen, it is clear that they are using the method of "cutting flesh with a knife" to torture Israel.
In fact, the Middle East situation is a "conspiracy", and the United States can only choose one of two options, either to protect Ukraine or Israel. And this is the fact that the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the United States represent different interests;Now the two factions are wrestling, you don't approve my investment, and I don't approve your investment. There is only that amount of money in total, and whoever takes more will be able to beat the other side in 2024**.
Therefore, Ukraine and Israel have not only fallen victim to the great power game, but also to the partisan struggle in the United States. Now that Ukraine is defeated, Israel is even more sure to lose, mainly to see how far it will be consumed!
Now Israel also knows that it is in danger, so it is holding the thigh of the United States, but the United States is desperately trying to prevent itself from being dragged into the water. However, the United States cannot easily let Israel be destroyed, otherwise, it will become a father-in-law in the Middle East
Pulling out the "nail" of Israel, completely driving the United States out of the Middle East, and achieving independent development is undoubtedly the goal that the Middle East world wants to achieve. Who doesn't want to be able to choose who they want to work with?It's not enough for the money people make for you to "pump" in the United States, and you have to put even the principal and interest in the wallet of the United States, who doesn't resist?
For a long time, the United States has flaunted the slogans of so-called "freedom" and "democracy," but in fact it has been trying to incite others, and it has long interfered in other people's internal affairs and prevented them from developing independently. Japan, South Korea, Canada, the Philippines, etc., who is not controlled by the United States in diplomacy?
Speaking from the heart, everyone will protect their own interests, different angles, different positions, and different interests. But we should condemn and oppose the harms that are directed at civilians.
To be honest, whether it is Israel, Ukraine, or Hamas, they are just pawns. There is a saying that war is a game of politicians, and they can talk about it if they can't fight it, but those who die can never be resurrected.
Through the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict between Palestine and Israel, I have become more aware of the greatness and benevolence of our China. We have always adhered to peaceful development and common developmentWe will never talk about war lightly and plunge our own people into war. But he can always use great wisdom to stick to the principles and bottom line, and safeguard the interests of the country and the people