The Chinese Navy escort group has arrived in Myanmar. Recently, the situation in Myanmar, our southern neighbour, has not been peaceful. Fighting has erupted in northern Myanmar, involving allied forces that claim to be rooting out telecom fraud gangs in the Kokang region, the Myanmar** Army's efforts to "defend Kokang," and notorious telecom fraud syndicates. At present, it seems that the allied forces occupy an advantageous position, but the Burmese ** army is a regular army after all, and if they use heavy ** equipment such as warplanes and tanks, it is very likely that the allied forces will be difficult to resist. At this critical juncture, the 44th Chinese escort group has arrived in Myanmar and started a four-day friendly visit. This news can't help but make people think. Many people think that Myanmar is a small country with insufficient national power, financial resources, and military strength to match China's, so even if there is war in northern Myanmar, it will not affect us. Some netizens even commented: "Even if they are given 100 guts (to all parties to the conflict in northern Myanmar), they will not dare to make a move against China." "But that's far from the case.
In the past 10 years, in the conflicts in northern Myanmar, many artillery shells and even fighter planes and ammunition have fallen into China's territory, causing deaths and injuries to China's border residents. It is worth mentioning that most of the Thunder fighters of the Myanmar Air Force are made in China. For example, on March 13, 2015, a Burmese warplane crossed the border into China, dropped two bombs and crashed, killing four Chinese border residents and injuring nine. The severity of the incident is rare in recent decades, not only did the fighter plane cross the border and directly launched an attack, but also caused our compatriots to suffer a major incident, posed a threat to China's border residents, and also seriously damaged China's reputation in the international community. Some people may think that the border between China and Myanmar is not a straight demarcation line, but rather a winding one, and that the Kokang region is closely connected to the border, so it is not surprising that warplanes accidentally crossed the border, and it is not necessarily a deliberate act by the Burmese side. However, this thinking is actually completely wrong. The proximity of the Myanmar region to the Chinese border makes it easier for planes to cross the border when flying there.
Therefore, Myanmar should strictly restrict the flight of aircraft in this area and should never use warplanes for direct combat. These risks are obvious, and efforts to avoid them are a sign of respect for the sovereignty of neighbouring countries. A recent Burmese airstrike caused a crater that killed four Chinese border residents and injured nine. To make matters worse, Myanmar itself knows that their pilots are poorly qualified, poorly trained, their aircraft are aging, their airborne ** is backward, and so on. Using such a fighter for a bombing mission, it is possible to fly across the border ...... in a matter of secondsTherefore, from the perspective of facts and legal reasons, this air raid cannot be recognized as an "unintentional mistake". In addition to this cross-border bombing by warplanes, there have also been incidents of artillery shells and bullets falling into China in previous conflicts in northern Myanmar, resulting in the loss of Chinese compatriots and property. Returning to the conflict in northern Myanmar, an important reason for the successful advance of the Kokang Allied Army at present is that the Burmese army has not dispatched heavy ** such as warplanes, tanks, and large-caliber artillery. Apparently, they are afraid that shells or warplanes will fall on the territory of China again.
However, as mentioned at the beginning, the Kokang Allied Army's progress is gaining momentum, and the local militia and the Tatmadaw cannot resist without heavy **. The Kokang region is on the verge of falling into the hands of others, and a large number of criminal syndicates will lose their territory for their enrichment. In this case, someone may take a risk. The Myanmar Army imported VT1 main battle tanks produced in China. The so-called reckless approach does not only refer to the use of fighters, tanks and other heavy **, but may even directly risk military provocations against China. This is not an unrealistic assumption, for example, that they could use stray bullets or bombs to "mistakenly" land on Chinese territory in order to put pressure on China. The visit of a Chinese naval boat to Myanmar and a four-day stay in Yangon may have a deeper meaning for China-Myanmar relations. First of all, this move aims to strengthen the friendship between China and Myanmar and consolidate exchanges between the two countries. No matter what happens in northern Myanmar, China-Myanmar friendship will always be the primary priority. Secondly, by demonstrating the great strength of the Chinese Navy, it is possible for certain people to dispel certain threats and crazy "conspiracy delusions". In international diplomacy, it is necessary to properly demonstrate strength.
An effective show of strength is worth a thousand words of diplomatic rhetoric. In northern Myanmar, the militia under the Bai family is strong, and Bai Yingcang is the second son of the family. In addition to the Myanmar military, another key target of prevention is the militia forces in northern Myanmar, especially the wire fraud forces. They are the focus of this Allied strike and are likely to take drastic action. Despite the fact that they did not have planes, tanks and artillery, they were armed with mortars and heavy machine guns. If they use these **to China**, it may provoke China's anger and even completely destroy the peace on the China-Myanmar border. This has been partially demonstrated by the burning of a Chinese truck on the Myanmar side two days ago. In a pinch, people tend to take extreme actions, especially those who are cold-blooded villains. China has long been alert to this. In addition to sending naval teams to Myanmar, we are conducting military Xi near the China-Myanmar border to directly confront and deter potential threats. We must be fully prepared for this event and must not underestimate the conflict in northern Myanmar.
Although the parties to the conflict are not strong enough by our standards, we must not lose sight of the fact that the location of the conflict is on our doorstep. Border areas are densely populated, and even a small risk can lead to serious consequences. Prevention is better than **, and this is the action that a major country should take.