Wang Shi once again ** China's real estate trend, analysis of his remarks or a high probability of correct.
When everyone is optimistic, it's a time for adventure.
Wang Shi predicted that when the property market is too optimistic, a danger is brewing. Citing Japan's peak as an example, he pointed out that when the housing bubble peaked, many people invested their property in real estate, believing that housing prices would never fall. However, with the collapse of the Japanese real estate market, houses** fell by 70%. In China, some people are very optimistic about the future trend, especially.
The core areas of first-, second- and third-tier cities thought that such ** would not only not decline, but would also**. In fact, the third- and fourth-tier cities are declining, and the first- and second-tier cities will also decline.
Phenomenally, China's property market has also shown a boom in speculative purchases, and the property market is showing an overheated trend. But overly optimistic and overly expanded investment are dangerous harbingers. Therefore, Wang Shi's prophecy is a wake-up call for us to maintain a high degree of vigilance against the danger of **.
The restructuring period is 3 to 5 years.
Wang Shi made a detailed analysis of the current debt problem in China's real estate market and the current situation that has not yet been completed, and he believes that it will take at least 3 to 5 years to completely solve this problem. In the past two years, due to excessive expansion, many real estate enterprises have accounted for more than 100% of the shares, and a large number of arrears and unfinished projects have appeared. It will take some effort to overcome these problems and restore confidence in the market. In addition, China's real estate industry has been in a stage of rapid development for more than 20 years, and there has been no major regulation. When it starts, it takes a longer time to reach a plateau.
This view is in line with the current trend of market development. In order to curb the rapid growth of housing prices, the state has adopted a series of regulatory measures. It will take some time for such initiatives to be effective and effective. At the same time, many places have strengthened the regulation and control of the property market to curb speculation and bubbles in the property market. However, to see the effect, it will take some time for the property market to adjust.
The property market reshuffle.
Under Wang Shi's prediction, China's property market may undergo a "big reshuffle" in the next few years. Real estate companies with a debt ratio of more than 100% and expanding too quickly are at high risk of bankruptcy due to defaulting on loans, and will either be merged, merged, or shut down. On the contrary, if the scale of investment is controlled and the debt ratio is low, there is a chance to survive and grow in the future. The entire real estate industry will also gradually reduce the debt ratio and control the scale of investment.
This perception is also confirmed by the current market conditions. A number of well-known real estate companies in China have serious debt problems and have to solve the problem through sales and reorganization. At the same time, through the rectification of the real estate market and the crackdown on illegal activities, the real estate industry will be promoted to return to the normal track. In the process of restructuring real estate enterprises, capable and trustworthy real estate enterprises will gradually stand out, so that the real estate market will move towards benign and sustainable development.
The outlook for the property market remains optimistic.
For the future property market, Wang Shi is still full of confidence. He said that China's property market will be hit by policies, and there will be no "hard landing" in economically developed economies such as Japan and the United States. When the real estate bubble bursts, the state will introduce relief measures to stimulate home buyers to buy houses. Therefore, he believes that in the next few years, the property market may have a "soft landing" situation.
This view is in line with the current attitude and policy towards the housing market. In order to prevent violent turmoil in the property market, ** has begun to solve the problems of the housing market. The state has introduced a series of regulatory measures to promote residents to buy houses and promote the steady development of the real estate market. Therefore, we remain optimistic about the outlook for the property market.
Brief summary. From Wang Shi's outlook on the prospects of China's property market, we can see his keen observation and keen vision. His prediction is mainly that when everyone thinks that risks are brewing, that the correction is a period of time, that there will be a major reshuffle and confidence in the future. The above views are generally recognized by the industry and are also in line with the current development trend of the industry.
However, economic forecasting is, after all, a kind of speculation about the future, which is affected by various factors and has certain uncertainties. Therefore, we need to pay close attention to market dynamics and make strategic adjustments in a timely manner. Therefore, it is necessary to pay close attention to the state's macroeconomic regulation and control and the dynamics of macroeconomic regulation and control, and carry out macroeconomic regulation and control in a timely manner.
Wang Shi is a recognized authority in the industry, and his predictions have aroused widespread interest in the industry and the industry. However, anyone will have a certain bias against the expectations of **, so we also need to integrate other opinions and information in order to make the right decision.