The Ukrainian army was forced to change its strategy from the original forcible ** to the first value targets of the defensive line and striking the Russian rear. At the same time, Ukraine's ** Zelensky's external propaganda strategy has also changed. In his "2024 Operational Goals", the next step of the Ukrainian army's plan for the Crimean peninsula has changed from the original "reconquest" to "isolation". Zelenskyy said that the focus of Ukraine's military operation will gradually shift to the Black Sea and the Crimean peninsula, and the core plan is to destroy the Crimean bridge worth about $4 billion in order to isolate the Crimean peninsula and weaken Russia's war potential. For this, Ukraine needs German Taurus cruise missiles. From a strategic point of view, this plan is very feasible. Ukraine can launch an attack from the sea, using only missiles, drones and unmanned boats, which is economical and affordable.
Since October 2022, Ukrainian intelligence has been planning the "Crimean Bridge ** case" and successfully attacked the bridge with an unmanned boat in July this year, resulting in the death of two Russian civilians. If the Crimean bridge can be completely destroyed, Zelensky can unilaterally declare victory, and then, in negotiations with Russia, try to make more demands. However, it will not be easy to achieve this goal, because Putin has already issued a strict order to guard the Crimean bridge. Despite the fact that the Ukrainian army regularly carries out "sneak attacks" on Russian air defenses, they are still able to hold the targets that are heavily armed. Therefore, Zelensky also did not give a "timetable" for the destruction of the Crimean bridge, but only sent an illusory hope to Western countries that Ukraine is still determined to continue to inflict harm on Russia.
However, at a time when the situation in the Middle East is turbulent, Zelensky's blood may be wrong. Although the scale of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has decreased, the Lebanese capital Beirut and the Iranian city of Kerman have been attacked in succession, and the masterminds behind them are not yet known. The dilemma and challenges facing Ukraine in terms of international support and assistance In the current international situation, Israel seems to intend to be on the same side as the United States, which means that they will forcibly create incidents. For Ukraine, as the U.S. invests more in the Middle East, it has less and less support. Meanwhile, in Europe, Britain seems willing to take over the responsibility of the United States, promising to help Ukraine rebuild its military capabilities against Russia as soon as possible. However, these promises may be a hypocrisy, putting Ukraine at a disadvantage, which is a bit excessive.
At the moment, all Zelensky can do is to work tirelessly to win the attention of the United States and Western countries, because once the financial funds dry up and the young labor force is exhausted, Ukraine's hopes of retaking the four eastern regions will be completely dashed. While Zaluzhny may not be implicated, Zelensky is likely to be liquidated by political opponents, such as Lukashenko and Tymoshenko. (Zelensky is losing Biden** support). As for whether Germany will supply it to Ukraine"Taurus"Cruise missiles, the answer is most likely no. When Zelensky asked for help in mid-December, Germany approved an emergency aid package that included 100,000 first-aid kits, a drone and 250 artillery shells.
This kind"Humiliating"Germany's attitude is already well documented: to speed up the completion of the work, they are more looking forward to repairing relations with Russia and buying cheap gas.