Reference News Network on December 18** Road Reuters published a report on December 12, the full text of which is excerpted as follows:
He has been twice subjected to dozens of charges in multiple criminal cases for trying to obstruct a peaceful transfer of power after his defeat in 2020, and critics have warned that he is plotting to impose a ** rule. However, Donald Trump could still return to the White House.
National polls show Trump leads his rivals by nearly 50 percentage points in the race for the Republican** nomination. For a US** who seemed to have been defeated and humiliated 3 years ago, such a comeback is amazing. Here are four factors that could lead to Trump's possible victory over Democratic incumbent Joe Biden in 2024:
1. Biden ** said that the current state of the economy is good, and the unemployment rate has increased from 6 when Trump left office3% fell to 3., which is close to the all-time low9%, inflation fell from a high of more than 9% in June 2022 to 32%。But a large number of people believe that this is not the case. They point out that wages are not keeping up with necessities and services, such as groceries, cars, housing, childcare and elder care.
When Biden talks about the economy, Americans think about affordability, not economic indicators. Polls show that voters mostly believe that Republicans are better at managing the economy, although Trump has only made vague suggestions.
Second, it's not just the economy that is unsettling voters. Trump is proof that many white Americans are terrified in this increasingly diverse, culturally progressive country.
There's also a general sense of loss that the cornerstones of American life — homeownership, decent wages to keep up with inflation, a college education — are increasingly out of reach for many. Polls show voters are worried about crime and nervous about migrants crossing the U.S.-Mexico border illegally.
Trump is adept at channeling and packaging these fears while still portraying himself as an outsider to the American political system. He was both an arsonist and a firefighter. He declared the country in chaos and then proclaimed himself a savior.
Third, many voters believe that Trump's actions did not disqualify him from running. While party critics, Democrats, and ** believe he is unfit for office, millions of voters disagree. On the contrary, many of Trump's supporters are convinced that he is a victim of political **. At least half of Republicans who polled by Reuters earlier this year in a joint Ipsos poll said they would vote for Trump even if he was found guilty.
Trump can also use his four-year term to claim that the mechanism is largely functional, albeit occasionally chaotic, and that even when there are fears that he will not be able to govern the country, the most serious accusations against him, such as collusion with Russia, have never been proven.
Fourth, Trump can also take advantage of this: The White House has so far been unable to convince much of the public that Biden's job-creating policies — *massive investments in infrastructure, clean energy, and chip manufacturing— have made a difference in their lives.
Biden is also dragged down by two foreign wars that have led to Americans**. Trump's non-interventionist, "America First" slogan may resonate with voters, who fear further U.S. meddling in Ukraine or Israel;Biden, on the other hand, maintains a more traditional, interventionist U.S. foreign policy.
Of course, none of this means that Trump will necessarily win.
He remains extremely unpopular in many parts of the country and among many groups of people. If he is elected as his party's nominee, it could provoke a high turnout in favor of Democrats against him.
His inflammatory rhetoric, including threats of retaliation against political opponents he calls "vermin," could be disgusting to the more moderate Republicans and independent voters whose votes he needs to win over Biden.
Democrats have already defeated Republicans in a series of elections across the country as defenders of abortion rights and will once again put the issue at the center of their 2024 campaign.
But with about 11 months to go until Election Day, Trump is more likely to return to the White House than at any time since he left office. (Compiled by Zhao Feifei).