Recently, Russia made two important reminders to China, one about the possible United States of the conflict in northern Myanmar and the possibility of the United States taking military action in the Taiwan Strait. This has raised a lot of questions about whether these reminders are well-intentioned or hide deeper considerationsAt the same time, is China already prepared to deal with a potential US conspiracy?
The opinion of the Russian orientalist Vladimir Zakharov notes that the conflict in northern Myanmar is associated with the United States, the purpose of which is to complicate the situation in the border areas of China. This view is not unfounded, and given China's infrastructure and military-technical cooperation with Myanmar, the United States may try to use the Burmese crisis to interfere with China's regional strategy.
In addition to infrastructure cooperation, China is also expanding its influence in the Myanmar-Lao-Thailand region in hopes of creating a "security ring" and reducing its dependence on the Strait of Malacca. Stability in Myanmar is crucial to China's development and geopolitical cooperation. As a result, China has been cautious about the conflict in northern Myanmar, while diplomatically calling on all parties to exercise restraint and work towards a soft landing on the ground.
In response to Russia's reminder, we need to see the multiple considerations involved. First of all, Russia is about to be re-elected in 2024, and Russia needs support from its eastern partners. Therefore, reminding China about the situation in the Asia-Pacific region can be seen as the importance that Russia attaches to Sino-Russian strategic cooperation.
Second, in the face of the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia needs to strengthen its cooperation with China to meet the potential worst-case scenario. Against this background, reminding China of the situation in its neighborhood has become one of the ways in which Russia has strengthened its cooperation. In addition, if a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, it will be difficult for Russia to stay out of it, so it is reasonable to be concerned about and vigilant about the situation in the Asia-Pacific region.
With regard to reminders that the United States may take military action in the Taiwan Strait, China has been on high alert. Chinese think tanks believe that although the United States has an advantage in stock, China also has an advantage in increment. China is more cautious in its decision-making, waiting until it is strong enough to compete with the U.S. military.
From the U.S. perspective, its military deployment adjustments show concern about China's unification of forces. The U.S. military is developing cutting-edge ** to seek a relatively low-risk and relatively effective way to intervene in the Taiwan Strait issue. China has fully estimated this and has the means to deal with it.
Overall, the joint efforts of China and Russia to face the uncertainties of the global situation have injected a shot in the arm for world peace and regional security. The key to China's future will lie in maintaining strategic calm and promoting regional peace and stability through a rational strategic layout.