What are the decisive factors in the confrontation between China and the United States at sea?

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-01-31

China's rapid rise has aroused the attention and reaction of all countries in the world, some admire, some fear, China has always adhered to the one-China principle and maintained peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait, but the United States has constantly engaged in provocations and interference, trying to undermine China's sovereignty and security, leading to tension and deadlock in Sino-US relations, and may even trigger war.

In the contest between major powers, military strength is an important factor, and many people believe that missiles are the key to determining the outcome of a war, but with the in-depth understanding of China and the United States, the United States has put forward a new viewpoint, holding that amphibious combat capability is the decisive factor.

The United States regards China as its biggest competitor and threat, and has not only put pressure on China economically, but also stepped up its military deployment, increasing its military presence around the first island chain, and co-opting countries such as the Philippines and Japan to confront China.

If China and the United States clash in the first island chain, whether local or full-scale, it will be an unprecedented war. Many military enthusiasts have also analyzed the military advantages and disadvantages of the two sides, but David Berger, the commander of the US side, believes that the most important thing is the amphibious combat capability.

The idea of the US side is that in order to deal with China's powerful military, the traditional aircraft carrier battle group is no longer enough, because China has powerful anti-ship missiles that can inflict a fatal blow on US aircraft carriers.

Therefore, the plan of the US side is to disperse the aircraft carrier battle group into multiple small battle groups, and use flexible mobility and concealment to suddenly appear in the waters around China to strike at China's islands and facilities and disrupt China's defense rhythm.

This is the US plan for maritime guerrilla warfare, and they want to use radar and long-range missiles to constantly harass and consume China's defense forces, and although they cannot cause major losses all at once, in the long run, China's combat capability will be affected.

This plan may seem ingenious, but it is actually unrealistic, because China has established a well-developed monitoring and defense system on islands in the South China Sea and the East China Sea, which can detect and respond in time whenever an enemy target is approaching, while small American battle groups are easier to detect and destroy.

Moreover, the United States wants to occupy China's islands, which is also wishful thinking, because China has powerful military equipment and firepower that can inflict a devastating blow on the American landing force.

If the United States wants to conduct military operations under China's nose, it also needs to consider China's Beidou satellite system, a global positioning and navigation system that can provide precise location information, and any movement of the United States cannot escape China's surveillance.

The United States' Amphibious Combat Capability Is Insufficient The United States realizes that its aircraft carrier battle group is no longer suitable for the needs of modern warfare, so they want to improve their amphibious combat capability, but this is not an easy task, because the United States' amphibious combat capability is relatively weak compared with China's, and the main force of the United States' amphibious operation is amphibious assault ships.

These amphibious assault ships are equivalent to small aircraft carriers, with a displacement of only tens of thousands of tons, so the United States plans to build some light amphibious warships as early as 2021 to improve combat efficiency and reduce costs.

But this plan also faces a lot of difficulties, because the United States has always attached importance to ocean-going combat capabilities, so their ships are large, and the cost is also very high, and the United States has not designed new amphibious landing ships since 1969, and their designers are good at large warships, so it is a little difficult for them to design small amphibious assault ships.

Moreover, it takes a long time to build a new ship, from design to launch, and the current construction plans of the United States are all aircraft carriers and large destroyers, it is impossible for them to abandon these plans and design new ships from scratch, and the situation is tense now, they do not have so much time to prepare.

Distributed Combat Plan Although the United States is still very strong now, compared to China, they are already going downhill, so they are uneasy about China's development and can only suppress China through various means.

Faced with real problems, the United States had to change its strategy, and since amphibious assault ships could not be realized in the short term, then they could only focus on military deployment.

The U.S. side has proposed a distributed combat plan, which is a comprehensive and coordinated combat system that reduces dependence on large ships and reduces operational risks through different combat elements.

The core of this plan is that modern warfare is not only a confrontation, but also a confrontation of technology, intelligence, and information, so if the United States wants to establish an efficient combat system, it needs the close cooperation of a large number of fighters, bombers, anti-submarine aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, ships, marines, and so on, and requires a high degree of interaction and adaptation between these combat elements.

Moreover, this plan also needs a high level of technical support, in the information age, if you want to accurately hit the target, you must have real-time location information, the most critical thing in naval warfare is radar intelligence, if the position is not accurate, fighters, missiles, torpedoes these attacks will lose their effectiveness.

Therefore, if the United States wants to engage in an all-out confrontation with China in the information field, it must not only ensure the stability of its own information data chain, but also interfere with and destroy China's electromagnetic signals.

This is the contest between the two countries in semiconductor technology, for example, the US E A-18G "Growler" electronic warfare aircraft, which is specially used to conduct electronic warfare, can jam and attack the enemy's radar and communications, and China's J-16D electronic warfare aircraft, which also plays the same role, can counter the US electronic warfare aircraft.

This kind of high-tech confrontation requires both sides to have advanced semiconductor technology in order to ensure the performance and reliability of their electronic equipment, and China is also very good in the field of semiconductors, although the United States has deeper experience, but China will not easily lag behind, China has been increasing investment and research and development in semiconductor technology, and strive to make breakthroughs in this field.

Information confrontation is a new type of warfare, and the contest between two powerful countries in this regard will turn out to be very difficult.

In addition to the technical confrontation, the competition between the two powerful countries also depends on who can better withstand the attrition of the war, because in the case of equal strength, the war is likely to fall into a protracted war of attrition, which depends on whose industrial strength is stronger, whose logistics support is better, and whose will to war is firmer.

After undertaking the industrial transfer of Europe and the United States, China has become the world's largest manufacturing country, with a strong industrial base and production capacity, which can provide sufficient materials and equipment for the war, while the physical manufacturing industry in the United States has gradually declined, and their capitalist development model has led to the flow of their capital to the virtual industry, rather than the physical industry, and their military production capacity is not as good as before, so China has obvious advantages in this regard.

The gap between China and the United States can be seen from the number of high-tech equipment between China and the United States, China has been developing rapidly, the air force has the world's second largest stealth fighter group, and the navy has the world's largest 4++The total tonnage of warships launched every year is also the world's first, and the construction of aircraft carriers is also constantly underway, while most of the advanced fighters of the United States are old, and the warships are constantly being decommissioned, the total tonnage of newly built warships is not as good as China's, and there is only one shipyard left for aircraft carrier construction, which shows that China's production capacity has a huge advantage.

In short, the confrontation between China and the United States at sea is not only a confrontation, but also a confrontation of technology, industry, and will, this is an all-round contest, there is no simple victory or defeat, only a protracted struggle, we believe that China has enough strength and confidence to defend its own country and interests, and resist the hegemony and interference of the United States

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