The election situation on the island has changed dramatically, Guo Zhengliang boldly predicted, but

Mondo History Updated on 2024-01-30

The latest polls show that Taiwan's Kuomintang candidate Hou Youyi and ***'s Lai Qingde have reached a stalemate in terms of support. This result was undoubtedly a surprise to those observers on the island who originally thought that Lai Qingde would easily win the election. Some commentators believe that the close balance between the blue and green camps in the polls means that the election situation on the island has undergone major changes.

Taiwan's current affairs commentator Guo Zhengliang has made a bold statement about the upcoming election trend. He pointed out that although the supporters of the blue and green camps have been basically determined, Lai Qingde is currently mired in a storm of illegal construction, which may become the next issue to worry about. Guo Zhengliang even, if Lai Qingde is unable to cope with this crisis, it may affect the performance of *** in other constituencies, leading to a serious chain reaction, and eventually making *** face a major setback.

Hou Youyi's deputy, Zhao Shaokang, seems to be a little complacent in the face of the decline of the green camp. In a speech at National Taiwan University, he openly supported Jimmy Lai and compared himself to Taiwan's former leader, Ma Ying-jeou. He believes that although Ma Ying-jeou has courage, he has not done enough in cross-strait exchanges. Zhao Shaokang confidently said that in the face of *** pressure, he will be more courageous than Ma Ying-jeou and can withstand pressure better.

However, Zhao Shaokang's boastful way has not been recognized by all Taiwanese people. Some people have put forward three challenging demands, and if Zhao Shaokang can perform well in these three aspects, they will recognize his ability: First, whether he can sign the "Cross-Strait Peace Agreement" under pressure from China and Taiwan;The second is whether the discriminatory policy against mainland students can be abolished;The third is whether it is possible to change the "first syllabus" implemented by the first class. Each of these demands is extremely challenging, and the assembly is a severe test for the politicians on the island.

In his university speeches, Zhao Shaokang repeatedly mentioned the cross-strait stance. He said that the mainland should not overemphasize the "consensus of '92" and adhere to the stand of "no reunification and no independence," and at the same time hope to receive military support from the United States. He believes that even if there is no reunification, the mainland will not take military action against Taiwan. Zhao Shaokang also pointed out that if the Continental Army does not stop its activities around Taiwan, Taiwan's armed forces will continue to maintain the status quo. In terms of economic exchanges, Zhao Shaokang believes that the mainland should make concessions to Taiwan, because Taiwanese businessmen have helped the mainland's development.

Zhao's remarks reflect his attempt to maintain the cross-strait line of the Ma Ying-jeou era, if not more aggressively. Such a stance seems to be difficult to satisfy the three demands put forward by the Taiwanese people, because these demands are all based on a unified stance. The more Zhao Shaokang makes these remarks, the more unfavorable it may be to Hou Youyi's election. If Zhao Shaokang still sticks to his point of view at the critical moment of the election campaign and does not make adjustments, it may prove that the blue camp is wrong in choosing his deputy.

The current situation shows that Taiwan's political landscape is undergoing major changes, and the competition between the blue and green camps is becoming more intense. Lai Qingde's illegal construction turmoil and Zhao Shaokang's remarks may become key factors affecting the election. In this volatile political environment, every decision and statement of a candidate can have a significant impact on the outcome of an election campaign.

This incident reflects the diversity and complexity of Taiwan's political ecology. First of all, the stalemate between Hou Youyi and Lai Qingde in the poll shows the fierce competition between the blue and green camps in Taiwan's political arena and the supporters. This competition is reflected not only in specific policies and political positions, but also in terms of influence and attractiveness to voters.

Secondly, Lai Qingde is deeply involved in the illegal construction turmoil, which may imply a challenge in management and credibility. The personal conduct and political behavior of politicians, especially during election season, often become the focus of attacks and suspicions from both the public and opponents. Such a storm could affect the image of the candidates, which in turn could affect the support of voters.

Zhao Shaokang's remarks and attitudes, while showing self-confidence and ambition, can also be controversial. In particular, his statements on cross-strait policy may be seen as overconfident or even arrogant, especially in Taiwan's complex and internal political environment. In addition, his positions such as "no unification and no independence", although trying to find a middle way, may not be able to meet the expectations of all voters, especially those who have strong views on ***.

Finally, this incident also shows the strict requirements of Taiwanese society for politicians. The three challenging demands made by the people reflect the expectations of political leaders on key issues such as education policy and economic exchanges. These demands not only challenge Zhao Shaokang's political stance and ability, but also reflect the desire for reunification in Taiwanese society.

First, the deep concern of independence and ***.

Taken together, this incident is a microcosm of the diversity and complexity of Taiwan's politics. Election rivalries, political turmoil, and the personal performance of politicians all play an important role in Taiwan's dynamic political arena. In such an environment, politicians and political parties need to be more deliberate in dealing with issues of public concern, while also finding a balance in a competitive political environment.

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