The U.S. announcement of a deep cut in aid to Ukraine signals that Ukraine will turn to the defensive, rather than on the offensive, in 2024. However, whether switching to the defensive can effectively resist the enemy's attack becomes a serious question. Ukraine seems to be repeating the fate of the Kuomintang army in 1944 and Nazi Germany in 1944. During Zelensky's visit to the United States, although he received verbal support, in reality basically nothing, Congress was unwilling to provide large-scale assistance to Ukraine. Biden has made some adjustments in military spending and spending, and although he has given some support, it is actually not satisfactory. At the same time, the New York Times published an article titled "After the failure of the summer offensive, the United States and Ukraine seek a new military strategy", trying to reveal to the outside world that the attitude of the United States towards Ukraine is changing.
The New York Times article began with a high evaluation of the fighting in Ukraine over the summer, especially the Ukrainian attacks on the Crimea region and the Black Sea region, which dealt a heavy blow to Russia. However, the article then shifted to substance, pointing out that it is unrealistic for Ukraine to regain all the lost territory, and therefore should turn to a full-scale defense, firmly resist the Russian offensive, and strive to hold on to the territory it currently controls. In this way, Ukraine can have a more advantageous position in future negotiations between the two sides, while still retaining some bargaining chips. The New York Times article factually acknowledges Ukraine's serious military passivity, which is almost to the point of despair. However, the United States still needs Ukraine to consume Russia's power and will use Ukraine as a bargaining chip to negotiate and exchange with Russia in the future.
Without military aid from the United States and the West, it will be practically difficult for Ukraine to continue fighting, and may even lead to the collapse of domestic finances, similar to the situation of the Kuomintang in 1944. Ukraine has begun to recruit women to fight in front-line units, and Zelensky** has openly admitted that the size of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been reduced to only about 600,000 people. The attrition of war directly affects the overall national strength of a country, and population resources become extremely important. Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the number of Ukrainian troops has approached one million, and the mobilization capacity has begun to show signs of exhaustion, especially for those skilled soldiers and technical arms. Therefore, the war situation facing Ukraine is indeed very serious. At this time, Ukraine not only reproduces the history of Chang Kaishen National ** in 1944, but also repeats the history of Nazi Germany in 1944.
Ukraine may be able to hold out if the U.S. can continue to provide adequate assistance, but the future is unpredictable.