The Middle East has been escalated by the war in the Gaza Strip, and the United States has begun to form a coalition to confront Yemen's Houthis in the Red Sea region, while Israel has flexed its muscles, continuing to bomb not only the Gaza Strip, but also Lebanon and Allah. The previous frequent attacks on military garrisons in the Middle East are no longer of concern, as an Israeli airstrike killed members of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps and could trigger a large-scale war in the Middle East (Israeli airstrikes on Syria). Soleimani's supporters were killed. According to the Russian news agency Sputnik, Iran** said that Israeli airstrikes on the outskirts of Damascus led to the death of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps adviser Said Razi Mousavi. Mousavi is one of Iran's most experienced and longest-serving advisers to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria and a supporter of Iranian general Soleimani, who died in an assassination by the United States years ago.
The struggle between Israel and Iran has been going on for decades, including the current Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and the shadow of the confrontation between the two sides is also in it, and Hamas and Jihad are both considered allies of Iran. After the outbreak of the new round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Iranian Foreign Minister Abdollahian met with senior officials of Hamas and Jihad during his visit to Lebanon. In addition, Abdollahian has met with Hamas leaders. Although relations between the two sides have been very tense, no head-on conflict has yet erupted. However, the situation is very different when Israel killed members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in airstrikes, and Iran has good reason to retaliate directly against Israel. Once Iran chooses this option, it will provoke a large-scale war (Iranian flag and Israeli flag). The situation will escalate. Judging from the performance of the past three months, Iran does not want the situation to escalate, after all, the war is on its doorstep, and if the Middle East is completely plunged into chaos, Iran itself will also be seriously affected. But that doesn't mean Iran won't retaliate. During the war, the "Shiite arc" constructed by Iran played an important role.
From Yemen to Iraq to Syria and Lebanon, the military organizations of these countries are fighting the United States and Israel in their own way. This time Israel killed a member of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, and Iran will not sit idly by and is expected to strike back at the US-Israeli camp through military networks in the region. Iran is by no means a provocateur, but it is by no means afraid of provocation. After years of confrontation with the United States and Israel, now having home field advantage, it is not difficult to retaliate against the United States and Israel (Netanyahu and Biden). The world has fallen into enough chaos. Further escalation of the situation in the Middle East is not what is expected, because the world is already chaotic enough. Another war in the Middle East will have a huge impact on the global energy market and affect the recovery of the global economy. The world can no longer afford a new large-scale war, yet the United States and Israel continue to provoke and incite incidents. The United States seems confident that it can solve everything and is trying to demonstrate its strength by supporting Israel to victory.
However, this process is likely to lead the situation out of the control of the United States, which is not what it used to be. The United States has been taking actions to exacerbate the contradictions, and this inconsistency between words and deeds will only lead to self-defeating.