Recently, three American scholars jointly signed a letter calling for the leader of the Taiwan regionLai QingdeFrozen"."The party platform has sparked widespread controversy. Some people speculate that this is the intention of Biden in the United States, while others believe that it is the sole action of scholars. Whatever the motives behind it, the purpose of this joint letter is obvious. The United States thinksLai Qingdeis an uncontrolled person and therefore wants to influence his decision-making by reminding him to pay attention to his words and actions. ButLai QingdeHowever, he denied it on the grounds that Lan Ying took it out of context. However, as long as anyone who reads the entire article can know, it is clearly statedLai Qingdeshould be personally promised to freeze"."Party platform. This is the hope of the United StatesLai QingdeBeing able to gain Beijing's trust is the first step towards stability in the Taiwan Strait. However,Lai QingdeHe and the people in the Green Camp both refuted it with the so-called "resolution on Taiwan's future" and accused that there was no freeze.""The question of the party platform. They fear that such a statement would further undermine itLai Qingdeof the election. Lai QingdeNow he does not listen to the instructions of the United States, so the United States may make another move to force him to take a stand. The United States observes that the election day is getting closer, and they will definitely act ifLai QingdeIf he does not take a stand, the stability in the Taiwan Strait will be broken, and Biden's road to re-election will also face obstacles. As we all know, Biden is already 81 years old, and his re-election means a huge challenge for him. He has even said that he does not necessarily have to be re-elected if there is a better candidate. But even if he is not re-elected, his team members Blinken andSullivanReplacement positions must also be considered. According to the political system of the United States, the new ** is equivalent to the renewal of the entire ** system. If Biden **, Blinken andSullivanand others will also lose their positions, so they must work to ensure Biden's re-election. Their actions in the Taiwan Strait are precisely based on this consideration. Lai QingdeRefusing to freeze the party platform, fearing that it would shake the base of the electorate, he categorically rejected Gray's proposal. After *** came to power, he had revealed the meaning of "four noes and one no" before 520, andTsai Ing-wenAfter taking office, she also openly stated that she would fully accept the achievements made by Ma Ying-jeou, the former predecessor of the Kuomintang, in the development of the two sides of the strait, indicating that she hoped that the two sides of the strait would maintain stability. As for whether the United States willLai QingdePull off the horse, and it is still necessary to continue to observe. With only a few dozen days left before the election, it is highly likely that the United States will act again to forceLai QingdeMake a statement. Only in this way can we ensure that a stable situation in the Taiwan Strait is maintained, and Biden's re-election is possible. If Biden fails to make steady progress on Beijing, it will be a helpless defeat for his election. TrumpIt will use this to attack Biden and accuse him of problems in the Taiwan Strait less than four years after taking office, which will seriously damage Biden's reputation. Coupled with the fact that the swing state has decided to start a new relationship with him, the pressure is very high for him. If Biden fails to hold Beijing, the election will be a major disaster for him, perhaps even more chaotic than the Israeli battlefield. At present, Israel no longer has enough resources to sustain the war, and Taiwan is relatively more difficult to control. As long as the Americans continue to interfere, Taiwan will convey "It is the message of mainstream public opinion in Taiwan, this is the thinking of the Taiwanese people, and when the cross-strait conflict is inevitable, the Americans will take action to suppress itLai Qingde。Actually, Beijing has always been rightTsai Ing-wen** retains considerable leeway and does not criticize her by name. However, now that Beijing has been characterized as "double independence", once the double "independence" people come to power and take control of Taiwan, there will be no room for Beijing to retreat. It is only a matter of time before the two sides of the strait go to war. Now Xiao Meiqin has publicly stated that she will inheritTsai Ing-wenBut Beijing cares about whether the power is in their hands, as long as there isLai QingdeIn office, his attitude will becomeThe top priority.
A joint letter by American scholars reveals the United States' understanding ofThe situation in the Taiwan StraitTrue intentions. They are for:Lai QingdeAttention to words and deeds is not impulsive, but the result of careful consideration. Lai QingdeThe United States is worried about its political stance and party platform, and they fear that it will interfere with stability in the Taiwan Strait. Therefore, they hope to urge through a joint letterLai Qingdestance freezes"."Party platform to show his sincerity towards Beijing and increase the likelihood that the two sides will reach a stable and proper settlement of the Taiwan issue.
However,Lai QingdeAnd the green battalion denied this demand. They believe that the United States is trying to interfere in Taiwan's internal affairs by taking it out of context. Lai Qingdedid not appreciate it, and even insisted on continuing to goTsai Ing-wenroutes. They fear that freezing the party platform will be harmfulLai Qingde, so it is clearly denied. In this case, the United States is likely to take tougher measures, forceLai QingdeMake concessions. They realize that election day is getting closer and closer, and they need to stabilize as soon as possibleThe situation in the Taiwan Straitto ensure Biden's re-election. If they can't make progress on Beijing, they will giveTrumpProviding a pretext for the attack and accusing Biden of not being able to make progress on the Taiwan Strait issue will seriously damage Biden's image. In addition, Biden is under pressure from swing states if not stableThe situation in the Taiwan Strait, his re-election prospects will be even more worrisome.
The Biden team clearly recognizes that the Taiwan Strait issue is critical to Biden's re-election. They know that if the situation gets out of control, it will have a huge impact on Biden's re-election. Therefore, they hope to urge through a joint letterLai QingdeMake concessions in order to stabilizeThe situation in the Taiwan Strait。Their goal is to maintain the status quo and avoid further conflict and instability. Biden and his team also understand that when Biden takes office, his policy commitments will be made by BlinkenSullivanand others to be responsible for the implementation. Therefore, they want to be as stable as possibleThe situation in the Taiwan Straitin order to ensure their position and influence in the **. If Biden **, Blinken,Sullivanand others will also lose their positions, so they will certainly do everything to ensure Biden's re-election.
Lai QingdeFaced with severe trials and tremendous pressure. He had to remain unified in the Green Camp and at the same time deal with demands and pressure from the United States. He was faced with a dilemma: if he agreed to freeze"."Party platform, he may lose the support of the green camp, lose the support of the electorate;If he refuses, he may be suppressed and boycotted by the United States, and even affect his re-election prospects. Lai QingdeWe must carefully consider and find a strategy that can not only safeguard our own election conditions, but also maintain stability in the Taiwan Strait.
Beijing forLai QingdeThe statement has not yet been clarified. They've always been rightTsai Ing-wen** retains leeway and has not publicly criticized her. However, Beijing will absolutely not tolerate the dual "independence" personages coming to power and seizing Taiwan's political power. They are worried that once the "independence" people take power, there will be no room for retreat. Therefore, they are very concerned about whether the power is in their hands or not. Lai Qingdewill become the focus of Beijing's attention.
Currently,Lai QingdeFaced with pressure from the United States and the Green Battalion, he must find a balance between the two. And the Biden team wants to pass stabilityThe situation in the Taiwan Straitto ensure Biden's re-election. Lai Qingdewill become a key factor in determining stability across the Taiwan Strait. No matter what he chooses, the game will continue. Both sides understand the importance of the Taiwan Strait issue, and they will do their utmost to fight for their own interests. However, the final outcome will depend on the outcome of the game between them. Only when the two sides can reach a consensus and take corresponding actions can stability in the Taiwan Strait be maintained and Biden's re-election can be realized. Otherwise, the Taiwan Strait will fall into turmoil again, and Biden's re-election prospects will be greatly impacted.