The increment of road to rail is almost saturated, and the railway freight volume will show a low

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-01-31

Reporter Lu Bingyang reports from Beijing.

In 2023, the national railway will complete the delivery of 39 goods100 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 026%, a record high. On January 9, China State Railway Group (hereinafter referred to as "China Railway Group") held a working meeting to reveal the above news.

Although the country's railway freight traffic has reached the best level in history, it has not yet completed the annual task. At the 2023 all-road work conference, China Railway Group set a target of 39 for the freight volume of the year700 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 18%。2023 also became the first year in nearly seven years that China Railway Group has not met its freight volume target.

China Railway Group told the "China Business Daily" reporter that the bulk cargo "road to rail" policy (road car transport to railway transport) has been promoted for 7 years, and the national railway freight volume has increased from 26 in 20165.2 billion tonnes to 39 in 2023100 million tons, an increase of 47 in 7 years44%, which is a huge increase. After several years of tapping potential and improving efficiency, the current "road to rail" increment is nearly saturated, "the future railway freight volume will be more and more difficult to increase, and the railway freight volume will show a low growth trend in a period of time."

Judging from the data, although the railway freight volume has increased in recent years, the overall growth rate has shown a narrowing trend, and the national railway freight increment from 2017 to 2022 is0% and 47%。

In terms of passenger traffic, in 2023, China Railway Group will complete the dispatch of 36 passengers800 million people, a year-on-year increase of 12857%, an increase of 2 from 201982%, also a record high.

In 2023, the railway passenger traffic can be described as soaring, repeatedly breaking historical records, and the target set by China Railway Group at the beginning of 2023 is only 26900 million person-times, the actual completion exceeded the target value of 3680%。

Although China Railway Group did not meet the annual freight target, it still exceeded the revenue target for the year by relying on the outstanding passenger traffic data. In 2023, the total transportation revenue of the national railway will be 964.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39%, exceeding the established target (817.5 billion yuan) by 146.6 billion yuan, and the total profit will reach the best level in history.

Regarding the work target for 2024, China Railway Group said that in 2024, the national railway will complete the passenger dispatch volume of 385.5 billion people, a year-on-year increase of 476%, 393.1 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 054%;The total transportation revenue was 1 trillion yuan, an increase of 35.9 billion yuan and an increase of 37%。

It can be seen that China Railway Group has taken the initiative to lower the freight target value for 2024 when the increment of bulk cargo "road to rail" is nearly saturated, which is even lower than the target for 2023 (39700 million tons), with a target growth of less than 1% in 2024, and has also become the most conservative freight target in the past decade.

Regarding coal transportation, Dong Hui, deputy director of the freight department of China Railway Group, revealed at the 2024 National Coal Trade Fair that in the first 11 months of 2023, the national railway transportation of coal was 19100 million tons, the same as in 2022, and the volume of thermal coal transportation is 13900 million tons, the highest level in the same period in history.

Dong Hui said that in 2024, new freight lines without large capacity will be opened, and after the recovery of passenger traffic, there will be a lack of new growth in the freight volume of passenger and freight routes. In 2024, China Railway Group will continue to improve the level of coal security, increase large-scale direct trains, strengthen the guarantee of medium and long-term contract capacity, and ensure that the transportation volume of Haoji Railway will achieve a relatively large growth.

China Railway Group emphasized that in 2024, it will focus on promoting high-quality development and expanding domestic demand, which will surely open up new growth space for railway passenger and freight transportationDeepen the supply-side structural reform, and further promote the quality, energy and efficiency of railway transportationEfforts will be made to promote the construction of a market-oriented railway management system and comprehensively improve the quality and efficiency of operationAdhere to the green development of railways, and pragmatically and steadily promote the carbon peak and carbon neutrality of railways.

Editor: Meng Qingwei Proofreader: Zhai Jun).

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