The land market in 2023 will further shrink under the premise of a low level in 2022. Even Shanghai, which is the most able to win money, won a total of 1,838 land transfer fees from January to November this year200 million yuan. Although it has "topped the city", it is still not hot. After all, in 2022, Shanghai's land sales revenue will be as high as 2,839500 million, and at the end of the year, many cities across the country have canceled the price limit, at present, the implementation of the centralized land supply of the key 22 cities, 18 cities have canceled the upper limit of land price, still the implementation of the upper limit of land price only Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Ningbo four cities. no.1丨One
Hefei land market
Although the price limit has been generally lifted in various places, the sentiment of land auctions continues to be sluggish, and the overall premium rate has not increased significantly. However, the Hefei market is relatively hot, in the Hefei land auction on November 2, the premium rate of the high-speed real estate bid for the Binhu District BK202305 land reached 4489%, Anhui Land won the premium rate of land parcel BH202310 in Baohe District reached 3395%, the highest transaction price record in Hefei's land market has also been refreshed.
This land auction is the first auction of land after Hefei canceled the price limit, the biggest highlight is the Binhu District BK202305 plot, which won the Binhu unit price land king and Hefei unit price land king in one fell swoop, in the current Hefei market, it is indeed a bit unexpected, in addition to the Baohe District BH202310 plot also set a unit price land king in Baohe District. Compared with urban plots, the county market is relatively deserted, and the transaction is basically at the reserve price.
In January this year, Hefei released a land supply plan for 2023, including 9 cases of 1246 in Yaohai District6 acres, 8 cases in Luyang District 57751 acres, 14 cases in Shushan District 128933 acres, 18 cases in Baohe District 119027 acres, 9 cases in Binhu District 91493 acres, 4 cases of 501 acres in the high-tech zone, 3 cases of 1346 acres in the economic development zone, and 4 cases of 613 acres in the new station high-tech zone33 acres, a total of 69 cases 767897 acres of residential land to be used. Compared with the cumulative transaction of residential land in 2022, 704815 acres, up 89%。As of the end of November, Hefei has successfully transferred 36 cases (including leasing and resettlement housing), totaling 2,8558 acres of residential land, only 52% of the quantity has been completed, and only 37% of the area has been completed, although there will be land in December, but it is still far from the 2023 land supply plan.
Judging from the data, in 2023, there will be 69 plots to be ** in Hefei District 9, and 36 have been traded from January to November, with a completion rate of 5217%, to be ** area 767897 acres, 1-11 months has been **285582 acres, with an area completion rate of 3719%, with a total of 4162.7 billion yuan.
no.2丨II
Yaohai District
In the transfer concentration announced at the beginning of the year, Yaohai District plans to transfer 9 plots totaling 12466 acres, and has been successful **7 cases totaling 47018 acres of land, 608.1 billion, 78% of the land supply has been completed, and 38% of the land supply area has been completed.
At the beginning of the year, only one Chinese and Western land plot was transacted, that is, YH202310 land obtained by Jiangsu Aaron, and the remaining eight parcels of land were not successfully transferred, with a total area of 11746 acres. Among them, although the Dapeng plate has already announced the planned primary school and junior high school education group, due to the remote location, the basic road network within the region is not available, and the first is higher, the construction is more, the east market and other reasons, although the four parcels of land in the plate have been listed for sale, but in the end there is no transaction.
In addition to these eight plots in the transfer plan, the Hefei Municipal Bureau of Natural Resources and Planning has publicized the control regulations of several plots this year, such as the southwest corner of the intersection of Yuxi Road and Shifoshan Road (3894 acres), the northwest corner of the intersection of Changjiang East Road and Longgang Road (1004 acres), the northwest corner of the intersection of Mingguang Road and Shengli Road (694 acres), the southwest corner of the intersection of Leshui Road and Caochong Road (47 acres), the northwest corner of the intersection of Yuxi Road and Langxi Road (766 acres), the northeast corner of the intersection of Moon Bay Road and Barrier Mountain Road (834 acres), a total of 7662 acres.
no.3丨Three
New station area
The report card of the new station area this year is poor, and the plan at the beginning of the year is **4 cases 61333 acres of residential land, but so far there are still zero transactions. The last time the Xinzhan District successfully sold the land was on December 23, 2022, when China Real Estate won the bid for the plot XZ202212 in the Xinzhan District.
The results of 22 and 23 years are not ideal, the market of the new station is still in a state of destocking, the current Shaoquan Lake Center has been upgraded to management, and it is the key development area of the new station area and even Hefei City, so the plots to be ** are in the north area of Shaoquan Lake, a total of 4 parcels of land 61333 acres, and now we can only look forward to the land market in 2024.
In addition, this year, it is rumored that the new station area will also sell two plots of land located at the northwest corner of the intersection of Zhangheng Road and Wangwei Road, with a total area of about 190 acres.
no.4丨Four
Conclusion
Looking back at the land market in Hefei this year, even under the double pressure of being affected by the epidemic and being cold last year, the transaction volume was obvious, the transaction volume in the same period this year still declined, and the uneven situation of the market still existed. Under pressure, real estate companies focus on the core area of the plot, try their best to increase the risk resistance, and the suburbs in the marginal effect of the attention of the degree of attention once reduced, but this year the activity of private enterprises in the Hefei market has increased, and at the end of the year after the cancellation of the price limit after the first land auction, there are two plots of premium rate eye-catching. It is believed that the market will pick up next year under the changes in the supply and demand environment of the market and the policy tone to stimulate consumption and stabilize development.