Which model is more suitable for China s economy?Lin Yifu s promise or Zhang Weiying s limitations?

Mondo Finance Updated on 2024-01-31

Talking about promising and limited are the two voices of the academic community.

Lin Yifu is somewhat Keynesian, emphasizing that he should be a "promising" to drive the economy with investment;Zhang Weiying laughed when he heard this, saying that if there is no deficit, investment can stimulate the economy, so it is better to build a steel mill and build another one. Zhang Weiying is somewhat Hayek, emphasizing that it is necessary to make a "limited" to give entrepreneurs a full market position, so as to promote innovation;Only through innovation can China's economy break through.

In fact, there is still a limit to what can be done, and for Chinese, it is an old topic.

Confucius is a typical promising and inspirational concept of governing the world, knowing that he cannot do it;Lao Tzu represents the philosophy of the East, doing nothing and doing everything, and living so calmly.

Of course, none of these words can stay on the literal, but must have some ability to understand.

I choose the latter.

One of the most amazing things about the year was that the virus suddenly disappeared.

Looking back now, looking at the cabins built in various places, I can't help but feel some emotion: If I hadn't been so nervous at the beginning, would everything be like it is today, you know, the past three years have suffocated human beings.

Of course, in hindsight, it is very breezy and bleak, but as a kind of responsibility for the whole society and the lives of the public, who would dare to make a decision to the contrary?In fact, what is really worth thinking about is not the direction of decision-making, whether it should turn to the left or to the right, no one is a genius in advance, the real question is the management model, that is, what kind of decision-making mechanism?

Promising mode

The promising model is directive, made by a few wise people, and the decision must be uniform, without any personality, and you don't need to have any innovation ability, which is pure troublemaking.

The promising model requires the executor to have a high sense of responsibility, and everything must be responsible, from the detection of drugs to the basic guarantee of people's livelihood. I believe that in the past three years, the civil servants have been tired a lot, since it is up to you to decide, then, all the problems are yours, well done, praise;If something goes wrong, you have to be criticized and complained, and everything is done by those who are promising.

Promising ** is not good, great.

The problem is really as Zhang Weiying said, the lack of innovation driving force, can not solve the problem of stuck neck;Lin Yifu doesn't see it that way, he believes in a strong mobilization order, as long as the whole country makes a force, it will be a year soon, at most two or three years, and all the technologies that are stuck in the neck can break through.

Is it possible?It is recommended that economists still do not do scientific research**. We have been tossing around a large plane for more than 20 years, and a safety test requires 8,000 takeoffs and landings, which is not a hard work.

The mode of inaction

This sounds very advanced, in fact, it does not mean that there is nothing to do and nothing to do, on the contrary, there is still something to do, but the decision-making is in line with the time, to be precise, it is to let the people make their own choices, Lao Tzu called it "people's self-reliance". Everyone agreed that if you can't go out, then make a convention to abide by;Everyone said, no, I have to take a deep breath, don't blame the organization if something happens.

Of course, the modern economy is much more complex.

From the perspective of economics, that is, let the invisible hand of the market act, once the administrative intervention is too much, the market's best tools will fail, real estate is a typical example.

Originally, housing prices depend on supply and demand, the house is built too fast, the income growth is too slow, the house will not be sold, this is not a problem for the market, ** will automatically react, 20,000 square meters can not be sold, 15,000, 15,000 square meters can not get out, 8,000. However, we are what Lin Yifu said, the two real estate projects in Kunshan are discounted by seven and stopped immediately, this is the result of intervention, and the invisible hand will definitely make a backlash through the halving of sales. This is the current situation of real estate, the policy price limit, the sales volume has come down, no one has taken the land, and the land transfer fee has dropped sharply As a result, the finance still can't get enough money, and all cities in the country can't make ends meet.

In the economic model, which management model will netizens choose: promising, or limited?The former can be defined as a planned economy, and the latter can be defined as a market economy. Although it is not accurate, it should be a pleasure.

The rule of inaction is actually a kind of democracy in a broad sense, Lao Tzu believes that this is the unity of heaven and man, and the power of the Tao is embodied in the management of human society. Success, there is nothing to be proud of, all things are prosperous, this credit is for all things, the Tao retreats from it, and the people are happy, with its dust, and its light, the Tao is so modest, never take credit, this is inaction.

What if the joint decision is wrong?Then face it together, it is fate.

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