Big trouble in Bakhmut!What s wrong with the Ukrainian army?!

Mondo Military Updated on 2024-01-29

Title: **Mutter encounters**annoyed!What's wrong with the Ukrainian army?!

Perhaps you remember that palpitating moment, **Mutter once again fell under the iron hooves of the Russian army. Shortly after Maryinka was occupied by Russian troops, Mutter's "meat grinder" was restarted. This is not just a battle, but a heavy blow to the Ukrainian army. Standing in the distance, it seems that you can feel the tension of that moment, as if you can hear the sound of gunfire and people's cries for help.

The Russian army, those Predators, used to be the "Wagner" mercenary group, but this time the main attacking force in **Mut is the Russian Airborne Forces, the Luhansk Second Army Corps and the Luhansk Third Army Corps. One can't help but wonder why you chose to launch an offensive hereThe answer may lie in three considerations. First of all, it is to remove the threat posed by the Ukrainian army to **Muth;Secondly, in order to pave the way for the next military operation of the Russian army;Finally, in order to further deplete the viable forces of the Ukrainian army in the Northern Donbass.

The current situation of the war is so worrying, the Ukrainian army has retreated in the defense zone of the Chasov Yar Heights, this is no longer a simple conflict, but a crisis in Ukraine. What is it about the once heroic Ukrainian army, but now it is losing ground on this land, with an average age of 54?

Perhaps when you see this, you will remember that more than a year ago, the Ukrainian army captured Kryshchivka and Berkhivka at the end of summer, and once formed a north-south flank attack on **Muth. However, the Russian army quickly counterattacked, and progress was made in the Berkhivka direction on the northern front, forcing the Ukrainian army to withdraw from the reservoir area, and the Ukrainian army did not dare to continue the attack on the northern front. And in Kryshchivka, on the southern flank, the Russian army is making relatively slow progress due to the Ukrainian army's control of the heights around the settlement.

This raises the question worth pondering, why has the Russian army been able to make such significant progress at this stage?One of the reasons is that the Ukrainian army is no longer able to build strong fortifications and does not have enough ammunition to carry out fire support. This allowed the Russian army to easily rush to the positions of the Ukrainian army and carry out "clean-up operations" one by one on the Ukrainian troops hidden in the trenches.

Yes, although the Ukrainian army launched a counter-assault in the southwest direction of **Mutt, and even recaptured two positions at one time, the actual situation of the battlefield situation tells us that it is still the Russian side that holds the initiative on the battlefield. This is not an empty phrase in the daily war report of the Institute for the Study of War, an American think tank, but a fact. They also have to admit that the offensive activities of the Russian army are constantly making progress, while the Ukrainian army is mired in chaos and rout on all fronts.

At this time, the average age of the soldiers of the Ukrainian army on the front line reached 54 years old, what is going on?You may remember that more than a year ago, most of the elite of the Ukrainian army, including the 93rd Mechanized Infantry Brigade, were assembled on the ** Mut front, and the scale of the troops even exceeded the troops prepared for the counterattack on the southern front. However, after half a year of fierce fighting, the Ukrainian army lost too many elite forces in the **mut direction, and some companies still had 110 people before they were put into the battlefield, and there were only 3 people left when they withdrew to rest.

Yes, Ukraine had to desperately conscript troops from the rear to send them to the front, and it is said that at least more than 20000 Ukrainians are recruited into the army every month. This is not just a war, but a test of life and death for the entire country. As a result, 18-year-old boys have already joined the soldiers of the 3rd Azov Assault Brigade to participate in the war, while the average age of front-line soldiers in the Ukrainian army is as high as 54 years old.

This situation has made military experts on the Russian side lamented that Ukraine's male population of 25 to 35 years old may have been completely depleted on the battlefield, and "a whole generation has disappeared". This is not just a war, but a huge threat to the future of Ukraine. If the Russian army continues to launch a strong offensive on the **mut area at this time, it will force the Ukrainian army to send more active forces to organize support, which will further deplete the recruitment potential of the Ukrainian army, as well as domestic population resources.

* Mutter's "meat grinder" did not stop as the town changed hands, but continued to operate. The Russian side is already **, and if the Ukrainian army continues to attack the Russian army, its mobilization capacity will most likely be exhausted in February 2024. If the defensive operation is carried out, it will be extended, but only until the summer of 2024. This means that the Kyiv authorities may only have about 7 to 8 months left to arrest the strong men.

Standing at this moment, we can't help but ask, how can the Ukrainian army, which relies on the superiority of troops, fight against the Russian army if its mobilization capacity is completely exhausted?This is not just a problem for Ukraine, but a difficult problem for the entire international community to think about. This is a war, but also a contest that tugs at the heartstrings of countless people, ** Mutt, is no longer just the name of a town, but also the life and death of a country.

As the situation of the war develops, we see that the offensive of the Russian army is becoming more and more fierce in all directions. Progress in the Kryshchivka and Berkhivka directions is worrying, and the defense of the Ukrainian army on the northern front has lost the initiative. The Vayanovsky Nursery area in the north was also attacked by Russian troops, making the situation in the entire northern theater of operations in Bosel even more tense. The Russian army is advancing rapidly and has circled behind the Ukrainian army, forming a three-sided encirclement posture. In this case, the counterattack of the Ukrainian army appeared to be inadequate, and although it had recaptured two positions, it was practically unable to turn the overall situation around.

At the same time, the Russian army's assault on the village of Hromov, Ivanivsk, Bokhdanivka and other directions is also escalating. These places are not only related to geography and strategy, but also to the development of the next military operation of the Russian army. In particular, Ivanivsk, located in the west of the city of **mut, guards the T-0504 highway and has become the only way for the Russian army to advance westward. And in the direction of Bochdanivka, Russian troops have already reached the eastern outskirts of the settlement, only about 100 meters from the first building. This series of offensives not only poses a threat to **Muth, but also makes the Ukrainian army's forward supply base in the northern Donbass, Chasov Yar, face the encirclement of the Russian army in three directions.

Chasov Yar is located 10 kilometers west of **Mut and has become a defensive support point for the Donetsk front of the Ukrainian army. This residential area at an altitude of 227 meters was once the logistics supply base of the Ukrainian army, and it was also an important position for artillery support for operations in the direction of **Muth. However, now it has lost its own barrier and is facing a frontal assault by the Russian army. Although the Ukrainian army has a condescending terrain advantage here, as well as obstacles such as artificial canals, rivers and woodlands, the Russian army's strategy of "frontal assault after fire suppression" will make the defense of Chasov Yar extremely difficult.

All this makes us have to question the time of the Ukrainian army's holdout. Although the Ukrainian army in Chasov Yar has some favorable conditions, the battlefield is changeable, and how long can they hold out in the face of the powerful offensive of the Russian army?Mutter's "meat grinder" doesn't seem to have stopped as towns have changed hands, on the contrary, it is constantly running. The Russian side is also deeply worried about Ukraine's **, and the mobilization capacity of the Ukrainian army may be exhausted in February 2024. This not only poses a serious threat to Ukraine, but also makes the entire international community pay more profound attention to this war.

At this time, we can't help but think, **Mutter, this town, this war, what does it mean to everyone who lives on this land?Is this just a war about territorial grabbing, or does it involve deeper ethnic, political, economic issues?Whichever side wins, and what kind of changes will it bring to the land?

Perhaps, this is exactly what each of us should think about. In this baptism of blood and fire, we must not only be bystanders, but also pay attention to every soldier and every innocent life. This is not just a war for Ukraine, but a war for the whole world. I hope that we can all work for peace, so that this land can return to tranquility, so that those young lives will no longer be lost.

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