Just two days ago, Google released its most powerful model, Gemini (Gemini), and it is said that Google has drastically adjusted its organizational structure specifically for this project, merging Google Brain and DeepMind divisions, and almost exhausting all internal computing resources.
Google proposed in May this year to develop a large model that can call ChatGPT, so how is Gemini's performance?
It surpassed ChatGPT-4 in 30 out of 32 tests, and while some metrics were only slightly ahead, it was already very impressive.
You must know that Google has been silent in the field of large models for half a year, and the large model Bard they released half a year ago had problems when demonstrating the function, and then the stock price fell for a round. At that time, many people felt that Google had been completely surpassed by OpenAI in the large model.
The story of an industry giant losing to a startup is too dramatic. But I didn't expect that in just half a year, Google would come back with a new product.
I've been quite inspired by this return from Google.
If you don't get off the table, you win
Warren Buffett famously said:In investing, not playing the table is a win. He believes that short-term fluctuations are not important, there is no need to trade frequently, and there is no need to ** the market, as long as you pay attention to the fundamentals and long-term value of the company, do not exit the "table", you will definitely get stable returns.
The same goes for other fields, such as business or the workplaceAs long as you don't get off the table, there is hope of a comeback.
SpaceX, in August 2008, the Falcon 1 rocket took place**, which was its first launch.
In June 2015, the Falcon 9 rocket occurred, which had a big impact on SpaceX's finances and reputation, and the company was forced to suspend some projects
In addition to the above several more serious accidents, SpaceX has also experienced some other test flight failures and launch failures. Despite all these setbacks, it later successfully launched the Falcon 9 rocket and the Dragon spacecraft, becoming one of the most successful space exploration companies in the world.
Apple, in 1997, launched Apple's 20th anniversary edition of the Macintosh computer, which ended in a mess
In 1993, Apple made a TV, called Macintosh TV, which was on the market for five months, and it was all taken off the shelves because it couldn't be sold;
In January 1983, Apple also made a computer called Apple Lisa, which cost $10,000 a computer, and the last more than half was sent to the garbage dump for burial. When these products were launched, everyone felt that Apple was going downhill, or it was going to fail. But the truth is that every time it takes a few days, Apple is also back with new products.
You see, as long as you don't get off the table, you have a chance to turn over.
Innovate in imitation
We mentioned innovation in article 102, "Thinking from Zero to Five", and it is disruptive innovation, which can make the impossible possible.
Disruptive innovation creates new products and experiences through new ideas, technologies, or business models, and has the power to redefine industry standards and change the market landscape.
But innovation is risky, especially disruptive innovation, which is not only risky, but also very low. So what we see in the real business world is more of imitation.
Now given five seconds, think about it: is it generally the second place that imitates the first place, or the first person who imitates the second place.
The answer is bothThe second place imitates to overtake, and the first place imitates in turn to keep the lead.
In the America's Cup, if two boats compete one-on-one, the competitors on both boats tend to copy the opponent's movements. I see how you row, so do I. For example, if you adjust your course to suit the wind, I'll do the same.
Interestingly, according to the usual assumptions, it must be the backward imitation of the lead. However, the fact is the opposite, it is the leading imitation that lags behind.
Because it's the easiest way to stay ahead of the curve. I'm already ahead, no matter what you do, I'll do it too, we're all on the same page in the back, you'll never be able to overtake me, and my lead will always be there.
In the book "How to Think Beyond Thinking", there is a case in which Joss invented the world's first disposable diaper, but its cost was 85 cents. Later, Procter & Gamble made a move and directly reduced the cost to 3 cents, and the quality was better than before, so it became popular.
The most terrible thing in this world is not that the second person imitates the first place, but that the first person imitates the second place. Because it has a good foundation and a high starting point, once you start to imitate, you can not only copy your full set of actions, but also maybe make your own innovations.
For imitation, the gap between masters and ordinary people lies in:Imitation at the general level, is the replication of the results. And the imitation of masters is the reproduction of the thinking process, and they innovate in imitation.
When you see someone else doing this, you can ask why he did itHow is my situation different from his?With this awareness, you may be able to turn the process of imitation into a process of innovation.
Practice the basics
Why can some people imitate the former, and some people can only follow or even be eliminated if they imitate?
Before answering this question, let's take a look at how Google has outperformed GPT this time.
The large model Gemini released by Google this time has given up the original idea, and many technical routes are imitating GPT. Interestingly,Once the two come to a technical path and are consistent at the method level, then the next thing to see is who has more solid basic skills and higher talent.
So this time Google's advantage emerges. For example, the architectural foundation of the transformer in the early years, the massive information accumulated by Google Maps and YouTube, and the Android system.
To put it bluntly, you practice the same moves, but there are a bunch of masters behind you to convey internal force. Basic skills determine the speed and ceiling of growth.
In the past two years, I have heard many friends say that it is getting harder and harder to make money, and I am constantly watching what my peers are doing, hoping to find a way to cope with it.
But whether you are starting a business or working part-time, you work so hard, it may really be because of insufficient basic ability. At this time, it is better to pay attention to a lot of skills and seek a lot of experience, so it is better to practice the basic skills.
If someone doesn't help you, it's not that you complain that he doesn't have empathy, you should first ask yourself if it's worth helping, whether the other party has time, and what benefits you have for him after helping you.
If the product sales are not good, it is not to engage in various activities**, you should first think about whether the product is good or not, whether the user needs and benefits.
The squirrel's crossing of the river requires strategy, it has to constantly think about which rock to jump on next. And the giant crosses the river, does not need a strategy, and treads water.
Although squirrels and giants have different basic skill baselines, they also have their own challenges. But when faced with the same problem, whether you invoke skills or basic skills is a test of everyone's cultivation.
Skills can help us accelerate our growth, and the ability to grow should be precipitated into basic skills, and only the improvement of basic skills can make us become giants.
Recommended reading: Thinking from Zero Dimension to Five DimensionsWelcome to follow, like, **See you in the next article
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