Recently, aboutFederal ReserveIt will be in 2024Cut interest ratesThe ** spreads. However, this ** is relatively conservative among American institutions, while it appears active and even radical in European institutions. Is their purpose just for hype?This article will**INGPublicly claimedFederal ReserveIt will be in 2024Cut interest rates6 times the message and analyze the truth behind it.
Recently,INGPublicly claimed on social **, according toEconomySignificant signs of cooling are expectedFederal ReserveIt will be in 2024Cut interest rates6 times. Previously, Goldman Sachs,Morgan Stanleyand other financial institutions also**Federal Reservewill be in the same yearCut interest rates。UBS Europe andDeutsche BankEven**,Federal ReserveIn 2024 it will beCut interest rates175 basis points will be the United StatesFederal** Interest RateThe target range fell back to 35% to 375%.
However, for the United StatesEconomyThat's an increase of 52% of the facts, as wellFederal ReserveChairmanPowellIt's never too early to stick to itCut interest ratesThe position of some people expressed incomprehension. So, what truth is hidden behind this?
1. The conservatism of the American establishment**
Compared to European institutions, American institutions are more conservative**Cut interest rates。This is because the U.S. establishment is more aware of the U.S. realityEconomyThe situation as well as what the Americans think. They tend to be treated with a more robust attitudeCut interest ratespossibilities. In addition, the U.S. agency is in**Cut interest ratesThe timing and magnitude are relatively conservative to avoid bringing excessive volatility to the market.
2. Positive activity of European institutions
In contrast, the European institutions have been more active. This is mainly because of EuropeEconomyRelatively weak, they hope to pass the dollarCut interest ratesto stimulate the exit andEconomyIncrease. These** also represent European institutions for the worldEconomyA kind of expectation of the trend, but also reflects the pressure on European institutions.
3. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and reality
PowellRecent statements show thatFederal ReserveNot yetCut interest ratesThere is a discussion, and there is not even a schedule for it. This indicatesFederal ReserveAnd not in a hurryCut interest ratesand takes more time to evaluateEconomySituation. This statement is in line with that of the marketCut interest ratesA stark contrast.
4. The complex decision-making mechanism of the US dollar interest rate cut
Dollar whetherCut interest ratesIt involves a complex decision-making mechanism, including struggles and compromises between various factions in the United States. The big capitalists and big chaebols behind it will decideCut interest ratesand they are more concerned about their own interests and may ignore the American people andEconomycondition. Therefore, the dollar was decidedCut interest ratesNot reallyPowellThe characters who are waiting in the foreground are the decisions of the forces behind them.
5. The impact of ** years
2024 is the first year in the United States, and usually,Federal ReserveWill keep it gentleInterest rate policyto avoid voters making irrational choices in voting. However, this also led to:Cut interest ratesMore complex dynamics. If the ** yearInterest rate policyAble to offsetFiscal deficitsimpact, then it is more likely to maintain a high dollarInterest rate policy, notCut interest rates
To sum up,**Federal ReserveIt will be in 2024Cut interest ratesThe news has caused a lot of heated discussions in the market. However, there is still great uncertainty about the authenticity of this **. U.S. institutions are relatively conservative, while European institutions are more active, reflecting the global commitment of each institutionEconomydifferent expectations and pressures. In the decision-making mechanism behind it, the big capitalists and the big chaebols will dominateCut interest ratesdecision-making, whileFederal ReserveThe speeches of front-of-house figures such as the chairman are often influenced by the forces behind them. In addition, 2024 as the first year will also be rightCut interest ratesDecisions have an impact.
In the long term,Cut interest ratesWhether it is or not will depend on the United StatesEconomyand the struggles and compromises of the stakeholders. We need more attention and observation to get more accurate information and **. After all, the dollarCut interest rateswill be globalEconomyIt has a significant impact, and this is a major event that has attracted much attention, involving the balance and game of multiple interests.
In short,Federal ReserveWill it be in 2024Cut interest rates, which is still inconclusive. We need to continue to monitor the changes in news and data from all sides, and carefully analyze and assess market movementsEconomyTrend. Only by accurately grasping the decision-making mechanism and reality behind it can we better respond to and adapt to changes and make informed investment decisions.