A-shares: No more guessing. Today, Wednesday (December 27th), the trend of * has been determined, ** go like this!
1. In the shipping sector, there was stimulus news on Monday night, and the opening this morning was also stimulated by good news. It went up for a while, but in the end it all came down slowly. This may be influenced by the market. Let's see if it can be fixed today. In short, this is one of the few hot spots at the moment. The tide of interest rate cuts on deposits of state-owned banks is coming!It is difficult to save the bearish interest rate cuts!
In general, I don't see anything special about it. In this case, holding a short position is the best way to go. You don't have to worry about shorting when you reverse, and you don't have to worry about suddenly taking a big break. The current situation is that everyone is waiting for when the market will bottom out and launch a counterattack, and whether the market can stop falling around 20-year K, so this is one of the reasons for the low volume.
2. Yesterday, the three major A-share stock indexes collectively closed down. As of **, the Shanghai Composite Index **068%, fell below 2900 points again.
The trading volume of CSI ** was 609.9 billion yuan, which was only 1.8 billion yuan compared with the trading volume on Monday last year, which could not be counted cumulatively. The trading volume for two consecutive days was less than 610 billion yuan. There is a serious imbalance in trading volumes, reaching suffocating levels. More than 4,300 in the two cities
Second, let's talk about the current market position. At present, the ** daily level is still at the end of wave 5, and the weekly level is still at the end of wave C. We call this the bottom area. The bottom area represents a range that usually fluctuates up and down within this range, but not immediately
I also talked about another risk point in my live broadcast on Monday night. If the index is dragged down by Hong Kong stocks today, if the index falls below 2863, it will reach 2855, which is also the only risk point. It's also a safe low. Whether it can be achieved or not depends on today's changes!In addition, today's Hong Kong stocks**, driving the big A correspondingly**. If there is a large white candlestick, it will directly reverse the current situation!So now it's critical!Now it's time to pick stocks. The selected is not immediately, but is added to the track. Once the structure is complete, it can be purchased in due course. We've been picking a lot of ** lately, and we've been very selective;
3. As for whether everyone is concerned about whether there will be a second bottom, there are only three trading days left in 2023, and I hope that the second bottom will be tested twice, and it will be in place in one step. Otherwise, it will be painful to continue grinding to 2900 points. The so-called long pain is not as good as short pain. If the bottom is not completely seen before the holiday, there will still be a run-in period after the holiday. If the market continues not to increase the volume, the negative decline will be more terrible, and the probability of a second dip is very high!A lot of people may be starting to get anxious again, but you can never change the market. Today's investors are ready for anything. Failure is only a matter of time. There will be a market reversal in 2024, depending on how you survive this ordeal. The underlying process!Those who should be in this position, and those who dare not, should continue to wait and see, wait for the reversal signal to appear, and then look at it. Once the positioning is clear, you will naturally be bearish with peace of mind and will not be led by the market because of temporary ups and downs.
4. Yesterday, ** went all the way south, ** fell below 2900 points, a decrease of 068%, and the turnover of the two cities was 609.9 billion yuan. This is also a day without North Water, more than 4,300 ***
Yesterday's *** didn't have much to say. This is all to be expected. Anyway, if you don't have many positions, just wait for the opportunity. Since last week, Ogawa has been reminding everyone to be more Buddhist at the end of the year. Graphically, yesterday's decline met no resistance. At 2 o'clock, the mysterious funds appeared again to protect the disk, but the strength was too weak, and finally went down again, effectively falling below 2900 points.
That's what the market is like today!
Graphically, ** first circled around the 5-day line for 5 days, and yesterday it diverged from the black line again. Then there is a high probability that there will be a "reverse rise" today, because Hong Kong stocks are about to open today. Judging from the sentiment of these two days, the willingness to flow out of funds is not small. If combined with the outflow of North Water today, the market may have a chance to bottom. Let's try the so-called 20-year K of the National Fortune Line.
*The situation is unpredictable, the above is just a personal analysis, not necessarily correct!Friends who like it can like and follow. Ogawa brings you objective evaluations every day. Thank you!