When it comes to ** people, the immortal bird that can swim between black and white is none other than Lao Hu.
Why do you want to talk about Lao Hu, because as the former editor-in-chief of the Global Times, his information is asymmetrical with us, although this guy wears civilian clothes, but from time to time, he will also reveal the true connotation of the mainstream **.
What's the biggest thing right now?
It is the economy, and the key to good or bad economy is the private economy, so no matter what kind of faction you are, no matter what realm you have left, and how much you hate the private sector, you must respond to the call of the policy and support the development and growth of the private economy. On this kind of issue, Lao Hu is unequivocal, and his concern and sensitivity to the economy exceeds that of most economists. Of course, this is not normal, and it shows that normal economists can no longer understand the policy.
Lao Hu believes that the determination of China's economy comes from three certainties.
The first certainty is the certainty of peace.
The second certainty is the certainty of openness.
The third certainty is the certainty of the rule of law.
In fact, these three certainties are all conclusions from watching the excitement outside the door.
The certainty of peace
There will be a fear in foreign capital that once the Russia-Ukraine conflict is replicated in China, there will be a security issue for investing in China. However, Lao Hu believes that the statement that "there will be a war between China and the United States" is a clamor and hype from abroad.
This is tantamount to revealing a message that China will be at peace for a long time.
China's military is not the most powerful, but, as Lao Hu said: as long as China does not confront, Western powers cannot force China to confront. The old nonsense is very right, but this old ** man didn't say it well, what does it mean as long as China does not confront?It's too weak, it should be said: no one dares to provoke a confrontation with the Chinese dragon.
However, this is not a private problem, and the bigger problem of China's economy is the retreat of large private capital.
Open certainty
In this article, Lao Hu broke off the idea of the ultra-left.
This is also an unintentional revelation, indicating that there is really an ultra-left force in the country that wants to return to the Garden of Eden of the previous thirty years. However, judging from the implementation of policies, the path of China's reform and opening up has never changed, because there is no operability, it is purely a normal ideological disagreement, and this disagreement will always exist.
Similarly, this is not a problem that the private sector is really worried about, the people have always grown up in the scolding, Sima Nan shouted injustice, whether it was wrong, I don't understand, and I don't have the right to speak, what's interesting is that Toutiaojun is inviting me to talk about a topic: Why is Sima Nan controlled by capital?What a strange topic, full of hints;However, one thing is certain, if the private economy, which sits on half of China's economy, collapses after a few labels, it is too fragile.
The crux of the private sector is not the certainty or uncertainty of openness.
Strictly speaking, China's opening up to the outside world is certain, but it is also marginal, otherwise it would not have been blocked by the five major thresholds.
Certainty of the rule of law
Of course, the rule of law is very important, and some people say that the problem of China's private economy is a matter of legislation, but I don't see it that way, the law is determined by people, and people can also change the law, and the end of all problems in China is not in the law, but in the people.
If the law is set today, it can be amended tomorrowLaw, which is itself a historical category.
Of course, the law that the old nonsense said is very narrow, and the law he said means that entrepreneurs cannot be arbitrarily arrested and punished, and crimes must be punished according to law. Be loose, harmonious, and tolerant. This is not right, no matter who violates the law, they must be treated equally, and the real problem is that the law must also adapt to complex economic phenomena and achieve the principle of neutrality. For example, the "Labor Law", of course, to protect the basic interests of workers, but also to consider the two-way, the company to dismiss employees to do compensation, Miss Dong raised a question, trained employees for more than ten years, employees fired the company, should also consider compensation?If the employee cannot be allowed to pay, whether the other employing company can pay the compensation is definitely not adopted by Ms. Dong, and the law does not necessarily require this neutral principle in China. The executive power also often overrides the legal power.
In this case, it is not a question of the certainty of the law, but a question of whether the executive power can interfere with the law. As a legal economy, it is far from mature.
In short, Lao Hu's attention and three certainties just reveal some non-market tendencies in recent years, and Lao Hu is reconciling the gray bottom plate in a critical way. On the other hand, it also shows that Lao Hu does not really care about the fate of the private economy, but he cares about the appeal of the policy and whether it can rebuild the confidence of the private sector.
Can faith be rebuilt?
Great, as long as there are clear measures, such as: tax cuts, interest-free exemptions, full access, thorough clearance of arrears, revision of the Labor Law, and the cessation of any extrajudicial interference......, and so on, I believe that the private sector is a small strong that cannot be killed, it is mushrooms after the rain, and what they are waiting for is a real spring rain.
Is it hard?It's hard, why?
Lao Hu definitely can't answer this question. Because none of the three certainties he spoke of were so certain.