Ke WenzheBefore November 23, confidently claim hisPollssurpassed Hou Youyi and was determined to represent the "non-green alliance". However, in just 9 days, from November 23 to December 2,Ke WenzheofPollsBut it slid down like an avalanche and finally returned to square one. Even the People's Party's party approval or support has dropped to 143%。Ke WenzhePollsThe decline can be traced back to his nominationWu XinyingFor the moment of deputy, fromPollsDecline to the decline of party identity. Ke WenzheThis time it was really miscalculated, and the reason is very simple and straightforward.
Expanding:Ke WenzheofPollsAvalanche descent is a tried-and-true process. From the beginning when he confidently claimed to surpass his rival Hou Youyi, to the end when the public's support for him fell to the original point, he has experienced a series of ups and downs and changes. Ke WenzheHis high self-confidence led to a misjudgment of the election. His previous onePollsshowing the lead, he mistakenly thought that the victory was certain, so he slowly relaxed his efforts to win over the voters, resulting inPollsGradually decline.
In addition,Ke WenzheWhyPollsThis decline is also due to his miscalculation of the number of seats in the constituency. He can get 8-10 seats "without partitioning", but after actuarial calculations, it was found that there are only 6-8 seats, which is 4 seats different from his estimate. To reach eight seats, his party will need to be at least more than 20 percent of the party. Ke WenzheThe focus of the calculation has always been the prestige of the individual over the political party, ieKe WenzheThe support is much higher than that of the People's Party. However, in this election campaign, due to miscalculations and changes in voters' perceptions of him, his support gradually converged with that of the People's Party. Although his support is slightly higher than that of the People's Party, it has gradually leveled off.
In the election campaign,Ke Wenzheof the deputyWu XinyingIt also caused him a lot of trouble. withKe WenzheSame,Wu Xinyingis an atypical political figure, none of them have been involved in **, so they all think that as long as the overall situation is settled, their efforts will definitely bear fruit. However, it turns outKe WenzheThe choice will make him suffer.
Expanding:Wu XinyingAsKe WenzheThe deputy, withKe WenzheThe same lack of experience, which makes them face many challenges together. Ke WenzheWhen selecting a deputy, it will beWu XinyingRegarded as the best candidate, however, this decision raises many questions and questions. Wu Xinying's lack of experience has led to doubts about his ability and performance, and support for him has not improved. Ke WenzheThe choice was considered a risky move becauseWu XinyingThe fame and popularity are far from enoughKe Wenzhe, their partnership did not produce the desired effect.
Ke WenzheIn the selectionWu XinyingAfter that, not only did they face the problem of the funders withdrawing their funds, but they also needed to raise funds for the election campaign and organize a rally. Although the fundraising effect is acceptable, it is significantly different from the past. In the past, 100 million could be raised in one day, but now it is only 8.05 million, and the gap between this cannot be ignored. ForKe WenzheIt's a headache, and for him, the campaign means more uncertainty and challenges.
Ke WenzheIt was also stated that he had to rely on his deputyWu XinyingSuch remarks have caused confusion and questioning in order to get on the BBC. Ke WenzheHe had always prided himself on his abilities and prestige, however, this time he had to rely on his lieutenants to increase his popularity and influence. Such a statement has raised concerns aboutKe WenzheThe doubts of self-confidence also reflect the dilemmas and challenges he faces in this election campaign.
Ke WenzheThe biggest problem at the moment is the loss of direction in the "**". If he treats the Taipei City election campaign as a "**", he can only get a maximum of 6 to 8 seats, and the deputyWu XinyingwithKe WenzheElections will be difficult to elect. What's more,Ke WenzheSupport is slipping, and that's the reality he's having to face.
Expanding:Ke WenzheThere is an urgent need to find his way back in this campaign, or he will be headed. The outcome of the election depends onKe WenzheCorrect grasp of the situation and accuracy of decision-making. If he still insists on treating the Taipei City election campaign as a "**, then he will be able to fight for about six to eight seats, which means a deputy."Wu XinyingwithKe WenzheIt will be difficult for you to be elected. In addition,Ke WenzheSupport is declining, and this is a reality that he has to face. He needs to carefully analyze the attitudes and needs of his constituents and readjust his campaign strategy if he is to have a chance of success in the election.
Ke WenzheIn a short period of time, facedPollsAvalanches, the problem of choosing a deputy, and the realities and challenges of the campaign. He overestimated his lead and underestimated the change in voters and the strength of his opponents, leading to his ownPollsContinued decline. At the same time, he chose the deputyWu XinyingNor did it bring him the desired effect, on the contrary, it added a lot of trouble and uncertainty. In the face of the withdrawal of funds, fundraising difficulties and visibility problems,Ke WenzheThe performance has also raised questions. Now,Ke WenzheWe must adjust our election strategy and regain our direction in this election campaign in order to regain the support and trust of the people. Only then will he be able to succeed in the elections and realize his political ambitions.