China**, a place full of opportunities and risks, wealth and pitfalls. For many, this is both the starting point of dreams and the destination of disappointment. In this unique market, countless people are plunging into this seemingly sea of opportunities with a thirst for wealth and a passion for investment. However, believe it or not, China has its own characteristics and laws, and for China, understanding and adapting to these laws is the key to avoiding losses and finding profits.
We yearn for freedom, but there are many restrictions in life. Human beings are born with a desire for order, especially those who are educated enough to do the right thing. We also think that all questions will have answers, but in fact many questions have no answers, and if we insist on solving them, no matter what we do, it will be wrong. So when we see a volatile market, we are always eager to find some kind of law or a framework to explain it. As Munger said, the whole world is a nail for the man with the hammer.
I was born in 1978, I am 45 years old this year, **16 years, I have experienced all kinds of pressure, pain, confusion, and finally came to my senses. I have gone from a loss of 80% to now raising a family, and the sadness of this journey is only something I can experience, on May 30, 2013, that night I had a deep reflection, and review, I had an epiphany.
That night, I made up my mind, so, with the last remaining hundreds of thousands, with two years to earn tens of millions, but also the market for their efforts over the years a kind of reward, since I have gotten a lot, I also want to share my experience and insights, if you don't plan to leave in the next three years, determined to take ** as a second career, be sure to read these 10 iron laws. It's all the dry goods of ** raising a family, it is recommended to collect!
1. If it is found that ** once there are more than 3 consecutive yangs in the downward trend, it means that the trend of the future market may reverse. In the same way, when ** in the uptrend, once there is more than 3 consecutive negatives, it means that the uptrend has been destroyed, and the market may find a reversal**, you should leave the market as soon as possible!
2. When the first is the first time, if there is a flat volume and price, then there will be a big breakthrough in the later stage, and it is recommended to intervene in advance to participate in the opening of a position. After the breakout of the volume, when there is a small step back, and the multiplier of the yang line appears again, the ** of the big rise has come.
3. The core of the reason why strong stocks are called strong is: the daily line of ** has always been above each **, so if you want to hold strong stocks, you should rely on this simple method, instead of considering those complex and blunt finger indicators.
4. When holding a profit of more than 10%, it is necessary to set up a stop loss, generally speaking, when the book has reached 10% of the profit, indicating that the direction of the operation or the entry of the market is correct, such as the subsequent *** within 10%, then **normal, more than 10% **, it means that it is still in ***
5. Be cautious when intervening in a**, it is recommended to enter in batches, in a high-risk market, sometimes it seems that you miss the profit, in fact, you are avoiding the risk, combined with it, the exit should be decisive, as long as you earn profits, when you are right to play, Bi Jing, ** of profits, you can never get all of them.
6. **Operation, be sure to refer to the 5th**, once the stock price is far away from the 5th**, do not enter, because the 5th **is**life**, if the stock price is far away from this**, it means that the stock price is too fast in the short term, once it stops**, the profit disk will be thrown out in large quantities, and at this time, the risk is greater and easier**.
7. Remember, do not enter the KD indicator with a K value below 50, modify the KD parameters from (9,3,3) to (36,3,3), and after many tests, it is found that the modified K value is below 50, indicating that ** is in a weak position, and only the K value above 50 is strong.
8. Do not hold more than 3-5 shares, do not exceed 3 within 200,000, and do not exceed 5 within 500,000, because the more ** you hold, the less room for subsequent replenishment, and at the same time, it requires a lot of manpower, energy and brainpower, and even seems to disperse the risk, but in fact, it also disperses your income, which is too broad.
9, the rise and fall of the current economy is not equal, in the short term, ** is the capital, policy, sentiment to promote, in a stock of capital game, **change, only exist in the transfer of the internal plate, if there is a steady stream of incremental capital in, then it is easy to appear a wave**.
10. Although you sometimes need luck, but more often than not, it is your level of understanding of the economy, finance, industry, industry, etc., in practice, whether it is technical analysis or fundamental analysis, it is a way for you to understand the realization, if you want to become a truly qualified A-share shareholder, you can not do without the basic knowledge of the market and a keen sense of social economy, I believe that the market will give you satisfactory returns.
If you are determined to speculate for a lifetime and want to do it as a career, please carefully comprehend the "** management" skills that I have cherished for many years, and understand it thoroughly, your assets are expected to be at least doubled while preserving the capital!
The returns and risks of investors are ultimately determined by **, **will affect investment behavior, about ** investment experience: **affect attitude, attitude affects analysis, analysis affects decision-making, decision-making affects returns.
Therefore, according to this reasoning, the decisive factor that really affects the returns of the vast majority of investors is **, that is, **control. **The quality of control will directly affect the investor's risk control ability;The quality of control is the key factor that determines the return of investors beyond **The depth will also affect the investor's mentality, and heavier will make people anxious and anxious.
Most importantly, it will affect investors' attitudes towards the market, and investors often find a lot of so-called "positives" from the market to comfort themselves and increase their confidence in holding shares. The lightest is often investors who find a lot of so-called "bearish" from the market and expect a sharp fall in order to buy more cheap chips. As a result, it affects the objective judgment, ignores the market trend, and makes the analysis and judgment biased.
1. [Funnel type ** management method].
The initial amount of funds entering the market is relatively small, relatively light, if the market gradually increases the position, and then dilutes the cost, the proportion of the increase is getting larger and larger. In this way, the control is small at the bottom and large at the top, much like a funnel, so it can be called a funnel-shaped management method. The common ** ratio is 2:3:5 or 1:2:3:4.
Advantages: The initial risk is relatively small, and the higher the funnel, the more profitable it is without liquidation.
Disadvantages: This method is based on the premise that the market trend and judgment are consistent, if the direction is wrong, or the direction of the trend can not exceed the total cost price, it will fall into a situation where it is impossible to make a profit. In this ** management mode, the more reverse fluctuations, the larger the position, the higher the risk will be, when the reverse fluctuation reaches a certain level, it will inevitably lead to cross holding, and at this time, as long as the direction and then to the opposite direction of the fluctuation of a small amplitude, it will lead to liquidation.
2. [Rectangle ** Management Law].
The amount of funds entering the market at the initial time, accounting for a fixed proportion of the total funds, if you gradually increase your position in the future, reduce costs, and increase your position will follow this fixed ratio, and the shape is like a rectangle, which can be called a rectangular management method. The common ** ratio is 5.
Advantages: only a certain percentage of ** is increased each time, the holding cost is gradually raised, the risk is evenly apportioned, and the management is averaged. In the case that the position can be controlled, and the future market direction and judgment are consistent, you will get rich returns.
Disadvantages: In the initial stage, the average cost rises quickly, and it is easy to fall into a passive situation quickly. As with the funnel method, the more the reverse movement, the larger the position, when it reaches a certain level, it will inevitably be held in the whole position, and as long as it changes a little in the opposite direction, it will lead to liquidation.
3. [Pyramid-shaped ** management method].
The amount of funds entering the market at the beginning is relatively large, and if the market is running in the opposite direction, it will no longer increase the position, and if the direction is the same, gradually increase the position, and the proportion of the position is getting smaller and smaller. **The control is in the form of a large bottom and a small top, like a pyramid, so it is called a pyramid-shaped management method. The common ** ratio is 5:3:2 or 4:3:2:1.
Advantages: Control according to the rate of return, the higher the win rate, the higher the use. Take advantage of the persistence of the trend to increase**. In a trend, there will be a high return and a low risk rate.
Disadvantages: In the ** market, it is difficult to obtain profits. The initial ** is heavier, and the requirements for the first entry are relatively high.
In ***, many people originally only had half a position, but because the stock price *** in order to reduce the cost of the **, they could only make up their positions, resulting in themselves being very passive. Now I will share with you a passive response strategy after the margin call, which is not a good way to untie the hedge, but it is the most appropriate method in some specific situations.
To achieve the expected "miraculous effect" through the correct margin replenishment operation, it is necessary not only to enhance the pertinence of the usual operation, properly solve the problems of "no money to make up", "no courage to make up" and "no way to make up", but also to grasp the principle of actual margin replenishment, and firmly grasp the initiative of the margin replenishment operation in their own hands. There are eight principles that must be grasped in the operation of margin call, that is, the principle of "eight to make up and eight not to make up".
The first is **: make up when stabilizing, and make up for instability. If the whole ** is in the beginning of the decline stage after peaking, ** neither stops the fall nor stabilizes when the position is replenished, it will only increase the "hedged side" of the chips and accelerate the "shrinkage rate" of the market value.
The second is the femoral nature: familiar supplement, unfamiliar and unfamiliar. If you are not familiar with the fundamentals and stock nature of participating in the replenishment, it will increase the blindness of the replenishment operation, and you will have countless hearts and insufficient confidence. Of course, it is difficult to have the desired result in such a margin call.
The third is performance: good compensation, bad not compensation. Generally speaking, investors who are ready to make a margin call should first choose a company with good performance to make a margin call, and in principle, companies with performance problems cannot increase their positions. Although from the final result, some problematic companies do not rule out the possibility of a sharp rise in stock prices, from a prudent point of view, it is still not appropriate to participate in the replenishment of such problematic companies.
Fourth, the trend: make up when it rises, and do not make up for the break. From a technical point of view, the margin cover emphasizes the principle of prudence, so for some companies that have been in the upward channel for a long time and the secondary market trend is relatively stable, when the stock price suddenly turns around or even shows signs of breaking, they should give up the margin call. On the contrary, for those companies that have been performing poorly for a long time, when there are signs of rising, they can follow up in time.
Fifth, ups and downs: make up for the big fall, and don't make up for the big rise. In terms of the timing of margin call, it is generally chosen when the relevant varieties fall sharply or even sharply**. It should be noted that some companies with huge gains and huge profits, the main force of the position will often take advantage of the ** start to ship, and investors who are unclear and improperly cover their positions may also become unfortunate high-level receivers when they make up their positions when they fall sharply. Therefore, there is also a premise for making up for the big fall and not making up for the big rise, that is, the historical increase cannot be too large.
Sixth, profit and loss: make up for the positive difference, and do not make up for the contrast. For the chips sold before, you must adhere to this principle when making up the position, and make up the position when the chips sold appear ** and there is a positive return. On the contrary, when the chips sold appear **, there is no positive chance to take back, it is not appropriate to make up the position. If you really want to cover the position, you must also wait patiently for a period of time, and wait for the stock price to fall back before making up the "positive" position.
Seven is the rhythm: ** time to make up, reverse draw does not make up. On the basis of complying with the above-mentioned margin call principle, it is also necessary to pay attention to the rhythm of the entry and exit of the margin call operation in the actual margin call operation. In particular, it is necessary to do: absorb the dip in the process of waiting to be bought, and do not grab chips in the reverse draw and **.
Eight is **: light time can be made up, heavy not made up. When making a margin call, you should also pay attention to the proportion of a single variety in the market value of the entire account, and make a margin call in accordance with the general requirements of "controlling, matching". When the ** of a single variety does not reach the upper limit, it can be replenished, otherwise it is not appropriate to make a margin call. Even if you have a soft spot for a particular variety, you must adhere to this principle.
* Not easy, all kinds of technology is uneven, so that many people from the right track farther and farther away, to put it mildly, 80% of the technology is coaxing, really good things are tightly covered, no one wants to take out cheap others, but I am different, I have everyone's love, of course, I will not hesitate to share all their experience and skills. That's all for today's sharing, I hope it will be helpful to everyone!
Finally, I would like to share with you the two basic principles of survival in the speculative market: trading with the trend and strict stop loss
The development of things requires a process, just like the turning of a ship, the larger the ship, the slower and more difficult the process of turning. Once the trend shows its signs, it will continue, and even if it turns again, it will take a certain amount of time to complete.
That's inertia – the essence of trends!
In a large range, the trend has a strong inertia, or continuity. In the medium to long term, the inertia of the large system will allow it to continue this trend. This is the certainty in the market, and the savvy trader is the one who uses the inertia of the market to make money!
The real weapon is your own perception and thoughts, following the trend of trading--- technology that will never be eliminated by the market.
I have the means to end the error as quickly as possible and the means to extend it as far as possible.
Ever heard of technical analysis myths?Most people pay so much attention to detail that they ignore the traces of large figures. It is impossible to achieve a minimum degree of precision in daily exercise, but long-term trends can be judged. The more time passes, the more certain the trend becomes, and the secret is simple, but it is extremely difficult for most people to do. It's not that they don't know, it's because of the weakness of human nature.
Do you mean that when the trend goes up, it is invincible?Yes, it's about appropriateness, not precision.
Clear-headed people are good at judging the situation, and they understand that true bravery consists in being good at avoiding danger and not in conquering it.
The best time to intervene is to wait for the trend to go smoothly before intervening, when the trend is smooth, the trend is clear, and the development of the trend has become inevitable (** has become inevitable), this is the best time to intervene!
Victorious generals may not always be brave and good at fighting, but they are good at choosing the situation, and they will only attack when they are sure to win!
The above is the essence of my many years of ** trading experience, all of which I will share with you, I hope it will be helpful to you, the vast universe, and all living beings walk together. I am the general trend of today, share what I know and learn, take all living beings as mirrors, all aspects as teachers, improve my own realm and encourage each other with all of you!