As a military observer, it is a challenging task to observe and analyze the recent changes in the situation in northern Myanmar. According to reports by the Chinese Overseas Chinese Network and Myanmar's Golden Phoenix Chinese newspaper, the situation in northern Myanmar has recently seen new developments, especially the ceasefire statement of the two Shan State armed forces, the Southern Shan State Army (RCSS) and the Northern Shan State Army (SSPP).
The political and military influence of these two armed groups in the region should not be underestimated. The RCSS has reached a certain level of agreement and dialogue with the Tatmadaw **, while the SSPP has not yet signed a formal agreement, despite its participation in the dialogue. The two armed forces have often clashed and contradicted each other throughout their history. But recently, as the conflict escalated in the Kokang region of northern Myanmar, the two militants, appealed by the people and monks, decided to sit down and negotiate a ceasefire.
Meanwhile, the situation in northern Myanmar remains volatile. The Kokang Allied Army, the De'ang National Liberation Army, the Arakan Army and other groups are conducting the so-called "October Operation". In Kokang Old Street, the fighting has reached the outskirts, indicating that the situation has reached a critical turning point. On the basis of gradually seizing the outer positions of Lao Cai, the Kokang coalition forces may launch a general offensive against Lao Cai. The Burmese army and the "four families" of northern Myanmar are clearly at a disadvantage in this conflict, while the Tatmadaw has lost nearly 300 strongholds, as well as control of the China-Myanmar ** corridor.
Although the Burmese army launched counterattacks in Bauttaw, western Burma, and Loikaw City, Kayah State, and regained some positions, the overall situation is still complicated. As forces such as the Kokang Alliance continue to advance, the possibility of larger-scale infighting in Myanmar cannot be ruled out.
China's concern about the situation in northern Myanmar is clearly deepening. China has repeatedly expressed its stance on the situation in Myanmar, calling for a ceasefire and ending the fighting to ensure stability on the China-Myanmar border. In addition, the troops of the Southern Theater of the Chinese People's Liberation Army conducted large-scale combat exercises on the Chinese side of the China-Myanmar border, sending a strong signal to all parties to the conflict in northern Myanmar. Wu Qian, spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense, made it clear at the press conference that the squadron is on high alert for the situation in northern Myanmar and is ready to respond to various emergencies at any time.
This series of actions shows that China has clearly expressed its concern about the conflict in northern Myanmar and is ready to take necessary measures to protect its own interests and regional stability. The internal conflict in Myanmar has already had an impact on the border areas between China and Myanmar, especially considering the economic exchanges between China and Myanmar and the instability of the situation has directly affected the economic interests of the two countries. Therefore, China stressed its demands and position on Myanmar and called on Myanmar to respect and attach importance to China's concerns.
Generally speaking, the complexity and continued turmoil of the situation in northern Myanmar is not only an internal issue for Myanmar, but also an important regional security issue involving neighboring countries, especially China. Conflicts and instability in Myanmar need to be effectively resolved and handled, and China's attitude and actions on this issue, as an important regional force, will have an important impact on the development of the situation. Therefore, all parties to the conflict in northern Myanmar should have a clear understanding of China's position and intentions, and at the same time, the international community needs to work together to achieve peace and stability in the region.