RISC-V inventor predicts: in the next two or three years, it will surpass ARM and X86, can it be delivered?
At present, there are two main chip architectures: x86 and arm, x86 is mainly used in PCs, servers and other fields, while ARM is mainly used in the design of mobile phone chips. However, the RISC-V architecture has also emerged in recent years, and with the advantages of open source, rationalization, and modularization, it has gained momentum and has gradually attracted the attention of many manufacturers.
Today, the RISC-V chip continues to achieve excellent results, with sales exceeding 10 billion. Therefore, there are high hopes for the RISC-V, whose inventor has ** that in the next two or three years, the RISC-V will surpass ARM and X86.
One of the inventors of RISC-V.
1. Chief Architect Krsteasanovic recently made the above at the RISC-V Technology Forum held in Shenzhen, and confidently stated that in the next two to three years, RISC-V will break through the performance ceiling and application limitations, and is expected to surpass ARM and X86 architectures.
It can be said that Kerst Assanovic's words are very radical, but also very bold and very have"Ambition"。I believe that this is also the hope of Chinese manufacturers, after all, many domestic companies are pushing the instruction set.
But can it be achieved?
In fact, this problem is related to the future development direction and trend of the computer hardware industry, and it needs to consider many factors.
First of all, it is important to be clear that future developments are often uncertain. While the RISC-V has shown strength in some areas, it remains a challenge to see if it can surpass ARM and x86 architectures in the next two to three years.
RISC-V is an open-source** instruction set architecture designed to be customizable and flexible. This customizability gives the RISC-V potential advantages in certain specific areas, such as the automotive industry, where chips must meet a variety of performance requirements.
However, ARM and x86 dominate the mobile device and PC markets, so it will take some time for RISC-V to penetrate these areas.
Secondly, operating system support is also an important factor affecting the development of RISC-V. While Linux provides support for RISC-V, major operating systems such as Windows, Android, and iOS do not provide direct support, and Android only supports it indirectly. This may limit the development of RISC-V in certain application areas.
In contrast, the x86 chip supports Windows, while the ARM chip supports Android. Both ecosystems are dominant, and the RISC-V ecosystem needs to be built harder, otherwise it will still be difficult to break even.
In conclusion, it is important to point out that the RISC-V will surpass ARM and x86 in two or three years** is supported by a number of key factors, including the support of the operating system, the support of the IC design ecosystem, and the understanding and acceptance of RISC-V by hardware and software developers.
So, while the RISC-V has shown some advantages, more observation and research is needed to see if it can outperform ARM and x86 architectures.
However, there is still hope, driven by China's top businessmen, RISC-V chips are developing rapidly.
According to the data, global RISC-V processor shipments reached 10 billion units by the end of 2022 and are expected to reach 80 billion units by 2025. Of these, 50% are from Chinese companies, which means that domestic research institutions and developers are working hard to make significant contributions to RISC-V technology, applications and system integration.
The continuous development of domestic RISC-V chips will also attract the attention of some well-known operating systems, and they will also take the initiative to adapt to domestic RISC-V chips. This is a very positive factor for the establishment of the RISC-V ecosystem and the development of the national RISC-V chip.
The RISC-V architecture has a very promising future and has a good chance of becoming the third largest instruction set in the world. If there are enough operating systems that support RISC-V, the IC ecosystem will be more complete, so there is hope for the future to surpass x86 and ARM.