December 21st,The major broad-based indices of A-shares were all ** and turned into **. As of the end of **, the Shanghai Composite Index **057%, SZSE Component Index**108%, small and medium-sized board refers to **087%, GEM refers to **165%, the Beijing Stock Exchange 50 fell 69%。Liquor led the recovery of consumer stocks, the photovoltaic theme greatly activated the new energy track, and the Mao index and Ning combination concepts strengthenedMultimodal AI is active, with short dramas and online games leading the rise;The PEEK index is obvious**. The number of ** households in the two cities is more than the number of **. Among them, 3008 companies, accounting for 7066%；*1050, accounting for 2467%；199 were flat, accounting for 467%, 47 suspended. In terms of trading volume, it rebounded month-on-month, reaching 732.5 billion yuan. Wind data shows that northbound funds have a slight net of **12 throughout the day0.3 billion yuan, of which the Shanghai Stock Connect net **80.3 billion yuan, Shenzhen Stock Connect net **400 million yuan. In terms of industry sectors, the three strongest performing industries are electrical equipment (2.).66%), textile and garment (158%), food and beverage (146%)；The three weakest performing sectors were utilities (0.).09%), non-bank finance (0.18%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (0.).24%)。We observe the market sentiment from the financing balance of the two cities, and the financing balance has decreased by 42 as of the previous trading day3.7 billion yuan, reaching 15,9109.3 billion yuan, maintained above one trillion yuan.
This morning, the opening index did not perform very well, quickly falling below 2900, but we all know that it is still necessary to face, and it quickly pulled up after the dip, and it was 500 intraday1000 pairs of ** more than 1%, before noon have been red. It is said that there is news of an interest rate cut. On the daily line, the yang line of some varieties is still quite long, and the bottom is long yang.
Tomorrow, the Shanghai Composite Index will look at **, which is expected to be a small yin line or a small yang**. The Shanghai Composite Index will see a stage low at 2882 points, and will go through a 5-minute level line**, lasting 3-5 days, and will continue to **new low after the end of the period. Tomorrow, the pressure levels of the Shanghai Composite Index are 2922 and 2940 points, and the support levels of the Shanghai Composite Index are 2915 points, 2900 points, 2890 points and 2882 points.
The following is a detailed analysis of the likely trend of the Shanghai Composite Index through the 30-minute level of the Shanghai Composite Index.
The 30-minute cycle chart of the Shanghai Composite Index, since the beginning of 3089 points, is expected to go 5 waves, and is currently in the 4th wave, the first 3 waves** have been completed, and the 4th wave is expected to build a weak 30-minute level** center, and the 3rd section of the center will be taken in the next few days**, so the next few days are mainly bullish, but the space for ** is limited, up to around 2980 points.
In summary, today's small ticket is large, killing the most stubborn funds, and at the same time, the market style has been switched. If you want to start a wave of indexes, you must be inseparable from the weight drive. As for the sustainability of **, it remains to be seen, especially in the brokerage sector.
Let's take a look at the daily chart of the Shanghai Composite Index:
The MACD green line of the Shanghai Composite Index on the daily line narrowed today, and the daily line continued to be in passivation. In order to promote the structure of the daily candlestick, it is necessary to confirm it with another white candlestick. Of course, the bottom structure of the daily timeframe alone is not enough to reverse the current market pattern. Tomorrow is the last trading day of the week, and the Diff value of the GEM weekly MACD is -9487, as long as there is no large-scale ** tomorrow, the gem will be able to close out a standard weekly bottom structure, and then cooperate with the bottom structure of the daily line of each index, that is, the bottom resonance of the two large cycles, in order to really bottom. We'll see.
Back to the options marketfield
Today's market fluctuates back and forth, and it is first down and then up, first up and then down, the volatility of the December contract has increased significantly, which is the doomsday round + the rise of the **. Ningwang also pulled 4 points from the bottom today, so in terms of gains, the GEM is the strongest. Secondly, the AI agent developed by Kunlun Wanwei, a heavyweight stock of CSI 500, was released today, up 787%。
So, we see a put contract of 500 ETF, which fluctuates back and forth by more than 1,000 yuan. With the rapid growth of the target, subscriptions have been made, and there are a lot of puts, more than 50%. But the subscription has not doubled, and the ups and downs of today and yesterday add up, as if both sides are at a loss.
The hidden wave rose in the morning when the CSI 500 index also fell out of a new low, but the overall increase was not large, and it seems that the continued new low of the index could not arouse panic in the market
Today, back and forth, the bearish and bullish have obtained satisfactory results, but the rhythm must be stepped on, and the wrong step is double the pain. Since today also belongs to the bottom of the volume under the yang line (although the amount is not large), there is a bottom stop loss point (the previous low) in the short term, and the idea of more dips can continue to be maintained.
In terms of market statistics
In terms of market statistics, 100,000 contracts were subscribed and 60,000 contracts were added, and the sell-to-purchase ratio was calculated as the total position ratio of 50 and 300, and the ratio of the subscribed position to the put position.
The sell-to-purchase ratio is 057, yesterday's selling ratio was 053, the target bottomed out, ** subscribed sharply reduced their positions at a high level, and at the same time, the put also slightly increased the short position, resulting in an increase of 004。
Summary:
**Redemption wave has led to the recent unilateral index**, especially the three-year closed **maturity has led to centralized redemption, and the current centralized redemption has been released in a centralized manner, and the index has also bottomed out and rebounded after falling below 2885 points in early trading.
In the face of resistance to the five-day line, tomorrow the five-day line will continue to move down to 2920, and the 21st line will also continue to move down to 2980 points, tomorrow is a key day to try to break through the five-day line and stand firm.
TomorrowStrategyMainly on dips
Short SSE 50 underlying contract options
2350 put
2300 for sale
Short CSI 300 underlying contract selection
3400 for sale
3500 put
Long SSE 50 underlying contract options
2250 subscription
2300 sell
Long CSI 300 underlying contract selection
3400 subscriptions
3400 sell
Do a good job of taking profit and stop loss, and strictly follow the trading plan