If the blue green election campaign is tied, and if Lai Qingde wins, the two sides of the strait wil

Mondo Culture Updated on 2024-01-31

The blue-green election campaign is a draw, and if Lai Qingde wins, the two sides of the strait will enter the quasi-war state in advance" According to the latest public opinion polls, with the rise in the support rate of the Chinese Kuomintang and the continuous improvement of the support of the candidates, the political pattern originally dominated by the Chinese Kuomintang is gradually transforming into a fierce blue-green confrontation. At present, the forces of the two major political camps are almost in a state of equilibrium. In terms of party support, the KMT leads with 32 percent, followed by ** with 30 percent, while the People's Party holds steady at 18 percent. In terms of candidates, **'s "Lai Xiao Pei" is slightly ahead of the KMT's "Hou Kang Pei" (32%) with 33% support, and the People's Party's "Ke Ying Pei" has 24% support.

From these data, it can be seen that although the KMT has a slight advantage in party support, it has a certain advantage in the support of candidates. However, these figures are within the limits of statistical error, suggesting that the current campaign situation is actually very close. At the same time, the "Lai Pi Liao" incident continued to ferment, causing unprecedented pressure on the election of "Lai Xiao Pei". Under this opportunity, the Kuomintang stepped up its offensive against the Kuomintang, especially emphasizing the "peaceful" stance on cross-strait issues.

In the "Lai Piliao" incident, the Kuomintang accused Lai Qingde of illegal construction of his family's old residence in Wanli, New Taipei City, and accused him of engaging in privileges and double standards. Although Lai Qingde could seek the public's forgiveness by actively clarifying and admitting his mistakes, he chose to defend himself resolutely, and even wept in public, claiming that his hometown was not illegally built. This behavior put him at a disadvantage on the ** and became the focus of the opponent's attack. The Kuomintang seized on this and intensified its attack on Lai Qingde.

At the same time, the Kuomintang has actively put forward the idea of strengthening exchanges and dialogue. For example, Hou Youyi promised that if elected, he would resolve the issue of a cross-strait economic cooperation framework agreement within a year, restart cross-strait exchanges and dialogue, and open mainland tourists and students to Taiwan. In contrast, ** still adheres to its "anti-China" stance, and uses the mainland's suspension of the ECFA's 12 product tariff preferences to constantly hype up the mainland's "mediation" issue.

As a matter of fact, ECFA is a first-class agreement between the two sides of the strait, and it is a measure provided by the mainland to benefit Taiwan out of the concept of "one family on both sides of the strait." However, ** has taken advantage of this for political manipulation. Although he opposed the signing of the ECFA between the two sides of the strait when he was in opposition, he did not unilaterally terminate this agreement after taking office. Because Taiwan relies on the ECFA to enjoy a surplus of more than $150 billion every year, once the ECFA is fully terminated, it will have a significant impact on the island's economy. The mainland only selected 12 items from the early harvest list to suspend preferential treatment, which is a warning to the mainland and requires it to seriously handle the cross-strait dispute.

** still adheres to its own position, vainly claiming that the two sides of the strait can rely on the WTO mechanism to initiate consultations, in an attempt to create a false impression in the international community, internationalize cross-strait economic and trade issues, and put political self-interest above the interests of the people. On the contrary, the Kuomintang has assumed the role of a bridge of communication between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait and has actively called for the resolution of problems through exchanges and dialogue.

For example, last year, mainland customs repeatedly detected excessive banned drugs in groupers imported from Taiwan, and asked the authorities to rectify them. But the authorities politicized this technical issue, which led to the suspension of the import of the product from the mainland. In the end, it was the Kuomintang that took the lead in carrying out cross-strait exchanges and helping Taiwan businessmen and enterprises to engage in dialogue with the mainland, and relevant issues were resolved. This shows that only a political party that truly has the interests of the people at heart will have the support of the people.

In the "nine-in-one" local election at the end of last year, ** suffered a crushing defeat, which reflected the dissatisfaction of the vast majority of voters on the island. Although *** is good at influencing public opinion, its basic support is still relatively solid. In this regard, Hou Hanting, a commentator on the island, fiercely criticized *** and his supporters, which reflects the complexity of the island's political ecology. However, the supporters of the Blue Camp are returning, bringing their basic support back back to the level it should be. At the same time, voters in the "white camp" began to leave in favor of the blue camp or the green camp, which brought the election back to the traditional blue-green showdown.

Therefore, despite the great uncertainty of the current election results, if Lai Qingde wins, he may enter a state of "quasi-war" ahead of schedule due to his adherence to a radical "position". Of course, we don't want this to happen, because it is very detrimental to the peaceful development and reunification of the country. In the end, the future direction of the development of the situation in the Taiwan Strait still depends on the choice of the people on the island.

Under the current political pattern, the future trend of the island has become the focus of attention inside and outside the island. If Lai Qingde wins, his radical stance may lead to an increase in tension and may even trigger a state of "quasi-war" between the two sides of the strait. The development of this situation is obviously not conducive to the peaceful development of the country and the ultimate goal of reunification.

From a broader perspective, the political dynamics on the island of Taiwan not only affect the island's political ecology, but also affect the security and stability of the entire region. The tension will not only affect the economic and trade exchanges between Taiwan and the mainland, but may also affect the security situation in the entire Asia-Pacific region. Therefore, the peaceful development of the Chinese people is not only the expectation of the people on both sides of the strait, but also the common aspiration of the regional and even international community.

Against this background, both the blue and green camps should profoundly understand the importance of peaceful development and refrain from taking any action that may aggravate cross-strait tensions. Both sides should seek to resolve existing problems through dialogue and exchanges, rather than achieving political goals through confrontation and provocation. This is not only responsible to the people on the island of Taiwan, but also to the entire region and the whole world.

As a region with a unique culture and society, Taiwan's future should be decided by the people of the island through peaceful and democratic means. This is not only a respect for democratic principles, but also an important way to ensure regional stability and peace. The international community, including the United States, Japan, and other countries, should also play an active role in encouraging and supporting peaceful dialogue and building between the two sides of the strait, instead of creating new tensions and tensions.

In general, the political landscape on the island of Taiwan is undergoing major changes, which not only affects the political ecology of the island, but also has a far-reaching impact on the security and stability of the entire Asia-Pacific region. In the face of the upcoming elections, the political forces and people on the island should be deeply aware of the importance of peace and dialogue, and avoid any actions that may lead to deterioration. At the same time, the international community should also play an active role in supporting the peaceful development of the two sides of the Taiwan Strait and jointly safeguarding stability and prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region. Ultimately, Taiwan's future should be decided by the people of the island in a peaceful and democratic manner, which is not only respect for democratic principles, but also the key to ensuring long-term stability and peace in the region.

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