Israel calls for European support: Hamas threat spreads.
According to news reports, Israel recently appealed to 80 ambassadors to Israel for support, claiming that if Hamas loses the war, it will likely allow the water to pour into Europe and become the Israel it is today, withstanding multiple attacks. Although this view seems logically plausible, in terms of practical capabilities, the West does not seem to believe that Hamas poses a threat to Europe. Hamas is much weaker than the IDF, lacks long-range and mass destruction**, and is equipped with a limited number of personnel. Therefore, in terms of motivation, ability, and effectiveness, the likelihood of Hamas conducting various combat operations in the European region is low.
The objective of Israel's claim that Hamas could launch an offensive in Europe with tragic consequences is clear: to silence the international community's condemnation of Israel's humanitarian crisis. Many of the 80 ambassadors to Israel are condemning the humanitarian crisis created by Israel and the catastrophe that has unfolded in the Gaza Strip. If Hamas, through its so-called combat operations, harms countries outside of Israel, then the international community's condemnation of Israel may be somewhat reduced. However, the attitude of these 80 ambassadors is not yet known, and at least some countries believe that Israel's statement may be based on diplomatic considerations to ease the international condemnation of Israel.
Another thing is the actions of France. At critical and sensitive moments, France's performance is often at odds with that of the United States. Recently, France was ready to supply Lebanon with military armored vehicles, the number of which reached several dozen. France gave good reasons for the fact that Lebanon had been under French jurisdiction and that it was still responsible for Lebanon, especially in view of Lebanon's economic difficulties, and that it would support it. In addition, in the Lebanese border area, there is a lack of ** equipment, which must be strongly supported by France.
In the event of a heavy exchange of fire between southern Lebanon and northern Israel, whether it is a missile attack or other conflict, it will continue, and the two sides may engage in counterfire operations, and even skirmish on the ground cannot be ruled out. If Lebanon's combat capability is strengthened and Allah gets more ** equipment, this will obviously displease the United States. In the camp of assistance to Israel, Western countries are not completely unanimous, and dozens of armored vehicles, although there are not many of them, are important in attitude and more sensitive in direction.
If France provides equipment to Lebanon and Russia provides support such as Zircon and Ruby missiles to Allah Lebanon, Allah recently demonstrated subsonic anti-ship missiles imported from Iran, claiming to be able to counter US aircraft carriers. If Lebanon gets both pro-Israel aid and the option to support Allah, then there could be more and more trouble around Israel, not only with militias possibly attacking U.S. bases, but also with strong Israeli containment in the north.
In Israel's periphery, this phenomenon will be even more pronounced. Especially in the two directions of aid to Israel and aid to Lebanon, coupled with Iran's increased deterrence and strike capabilities in the middle, then when this conflict will end is actually a headache at the moment.
Recently, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claimed that they are ready to take over Gaza for a long time and occupy the area indefinitely. This is a great headache for the United States, which aims to eliminate Hamas, but does not want to occupy Gaza. If Israel occupies Gaza permanently and maintains that occupation for a long time, the PLO conflict may never end. Given Hamas's current capabilities, they still have the ability to launch attacks of varying scales in different operational directions. The actions of France in the Western camp clearly have unique features and characteristics.
The above is an analysis and interpretation of Israel's recent call for European support for Hamas's threat. We need to recognize that, while some possibilities exist, the reality may not be as dire as Israel claims. However, the development of international military incidents still requires our continued attention, as they may have a far-reaching impact on the regional security situation.