Pan, pan, just when everyone was exhausted, suddenly,There is new news in the corn market - the decline seems to be smaller.
Although the Northeast corn is still in the **, it seems that the decline is starting to get smaller, after all, it has been falling for almost a month. And Shandong corn is beginning to rise in price.
This has excited the market again:Is corn going up?
The old grain may be pouring cold water again.
Because at the moment,The weakness of the corn market is still difficult to change, or unless the policy side suddenly releases a new signal, corn is not easy to reverse.
First, by this time, corn is no longer a supply and demand problem, but an emotional problem.
Emotional problems are the hardest to deal withEmotional issues need confidence to solve, but what is most lacking in the current corn market is confidence.
* Business, drying towers, including feed enterprises and deep processing, do not dare to make a big move, but also in the bottom, corn can not touch the bottom, who will do it easily?
If you don't have the bottom in your heart, you can only look at the "Chinese prefix", but the "Chinese prefix" is more ruthless, and the price is directly lowered
The prefix "is all about reducing prices, who dares to rashly harvest corn."
Therefore, unless the policy side releases another obvious signal, corn will still be so deadlocked.
Second, the amount of tide grain is too large.
Let's not talk about the grain next spring, it's another pass, let's just say what to do with these tide grains this year.
This year's corn production has been increased and the supply pressure has increased, and the weather has been warm in the early stageTide grain corn is difficult to preserve, resulting in an increasing amount, which is also one of the reasons why the corn is in a big uproar after the harvest.
If you can't save it, you can only sell it.
Later, in December, the weather finally changed, the temperature dropped, the weather froze, and the grain storage was easier, but new problems came again.
After this wave of weather, it will soon warm up againThis cold and hot is unbelievable, which increases the quality risk of cornIn addition, the weather is sunny after the snow, and the traffic is restoredIs it the one who sells the grain that is in a hurry to sell it first, or the one who collects the grain who is in a hurry to collect it?
Who can't hold it first?
So obviously,The risk of corn has not been lifted, and it is still great.
By January, the game will be even more intense.
The grain collector will sell, after all, the inventory of all channels is very low nowHow will it be collected a few years ago, but it may not be a big harvestBecause the bearish sentiment is still there, and there is next year's grain, it is estimated that it is also a rigid inventory.
Grain sellers will also be in a hurry to sellEven if it is not good, but who would have the courage to bet that corn can rise sharply, plus there was a hurry to cash in a year ago, so the selling pressure is still high.
Therefore, with high selling pressure and rigid demand, what kind of situation corn can get out of can basically be seen.
I basically can't jump out of this box a year ago, and that's another story after the year.
Corn fell again
I am an old grain, focusing on analyzing the trend of food prices, welcome to pay attention.