Nine major crises facing the Ukrainian army, German Press TV ** published an article titled "Nine reasons why Ukraine is now in danger". The article points out that the first problem facing the Ukrainian army is the problem of keeping warm in winter and lacking cold protection facilities. At the moment, the Russian and Ukrainian fronts are at a stalemate. Russia has made a lot of defensive preparations, including the construction of fortifications and cold facilities, but the Ukrainian army is not ready accordingly, and has been pinning its hopes on launching a large-scale offensive war, lacking fortifications and cold protection facilities. The Ukrainian army was originally going to build front-line cold facilities to survive the winter after the failure of the Zaporizhzhia counterattack, but Russia launched a large-scale counterattack in Avadiivka, which led to the breakthrough of Ukrainian defense lines and no time to build cold facilities. Although front-line soldiers do not need cold facilities, this is undoubtedly bad news for subsequent recruits. In addition, the second reason pointed out by Germany is that Ukrainian officers and soldiers are completely exhausted and have lost faith in both the war and Zelensky.
Ukrainian forces had successfully recaptured Kherson and Kharkiv in the fall of 2022, giving them confidence in the victory over Russia, but after successive devastating defeats in Zaporizhzhia and Avadiivka, soldiers lost faith in the war. Zelensky had planned to give a speech in Congress, hoping to persuade the Republican Party to approve the funding for aid to Ukraine, but it was temporarily canceled a minute before the speech, because his intelligence officers found that the front-line command of the Ukrainian army was discussing a winter ceasefire. The development of the situation in Ukraine has completely bypassed Zelensky, which shows that the Ukrainian army, from the top to the grassroots, has lost confidence in the war. This situation involves the third reason, which is that the current assistance of Europe and the United States to Ukraine is seriously insufficient. The United States claims to be firmly supportive, but the current bitter struggle between the two parties in the United States has led to the Republican Party's refusal to pass aid. And the European Union has also found itself wronged by the United States in its one-year aid to Ukraine. Although they have prepared $50 billion in aid, they do not intend to give it directly to Ukraine, but are waiting for support from the United States.
The EU is reluctant to be fooled again, which has led to Zelensky receiving only $100 million a month in war money from the Democratic Party's small coffers, which can only be considered a consolation prize at best. This leads directly to the fourth and fifth reasons, namely the lack of ammunition and ** in Ukraine. Originally, Europe already had the problem of insufficient ammunition stocks, and the United States is not taking the lead in assisting Ukraine, so the EU is naturally more reluctant to help them. The sixth reason is that the current war has evolved into positional warfare, and in this case, the country's comprehensive industrial capacity and the number of labor force have become the key to consumption and competition. Unfortunately, Ukraine has lost both of these things due to the two defeats in Zaporozhye and Avadiivka. In addition, there is a seventh reason, that is, that Russia's economy has completed the transition to militarized control, an eighth reason is that European countries intend to lead the armistice process, and the ninth reason is that the United States has not been able to move forward with aid to Ukraine due to bipartisan discord. Taken together, these nine reasons all point to the same conclusion: Ukraine is precarious. Today, it has become the consensus of the whole of Europe that Ukraine is in trouble.
However, I personally think that the Ukrainian army is still some time away from a complete rout, and if they can hold out until the end of the United States ** next year, and the Democrats can stay in power, maybe the situation will turn around. But whether this can be achieved is still unknown.