The Venezuelan army is mobilized, the United States is "on fire in the backyard", pay attention to Putin's actions
Tensions between Venezuela and Guyana have been rising recently over a territorial dispute in the Essequibo region. A recent referendum on whether to annex the Essequibo region showed that more than 96 percent of the population supported the country's territorial claims to the region. The roots of this territorial dispute can be traced back to the British colonial period, when the United States and Britain annexed the Essequibo region to British Guiana in the 19th century without full consultation. Since then, the International Court of Justice has asserted its jurisdiction over the region, which Venezuela has not recognized. After more than 100 years of patience, why is it that you are suddenly dissatisfied?
At the same time, Guyana's relations with the United States are increasingly strained. Not so long ago, Guyana openly called for consideration of the possibility of establishing a US military base in the region. Considering that Venezuela has always had a hostile relationship with the United States, Venezuela has always adopted a strategy of maintaining obscurity in its long-term confrontation with the United States. However, Maduro**'s attitude changed suddenly, mainly due to the decline of US hegemony, which led to a decline in its control over South America. In addition, the United States is also constrained by factors such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, which makes Maduro see opportunities in Venezuela's favor. At a time when the United States is facing controversy over whether to continue to support Ukraine and limited action against Israel to prevent the conflict from spreading, Venezuela has chosen to increase its resistance to the United States.
According to reports by the Spanish newspaper El País and CNN, the latest news indicates that Venezuela has launched a military operation, including the dispatch of a military contingent to the Guyana border. Earlier, the Brazilian side also reported the movement of Venezuelan troops, and Brazil has increased its military presence to maintain border security. At the same time, Guyana issued an urgent speech on the threat from Venezuela, which mainly emphasized the following: first, Guyana is taking precautionary measures;Secondly, the Guyana Armed Forces, which includes 1,400 troops in the army, 100 in each of the navy and air force, and 1,500 reservists, are on full alert;Finally, Guyana has turned to allies, including the United States, Brazil, the United Kingdom, and France, for assistance. If assistance is not forthcoming, Guyana will be plunged into despair, even more difficult than Armenia, and will lose any chance to struggle. The key question now is whether the United States will step in, and whether the United States will have the capacity to carve out another battlefield. The United States faces a difficult choice, and if it chooses not to intervene, it will appear weak in its own "backyard" and may risk its international prestige being undermined. And if it intervenes, the United States will be caught on multiple fronts and face a greater risk of collapse.
Although oil is one of the main factors in the US military intervention, times have changed, and it is no longer a situation where the US military can easily target and fight in the Gulf War era. In addition, Venezuela is also a military power in South America, with strong security forces such as Wagner. Wagner has provided security services for Maduro in Venezuela since 2019 and added thousands of personnel in 2021, strongly supporting the regime's stability. This shows that the military cooperation between Venezuela and Russia is surprisingly close.
Although the United States once caused trouble on Russia's doorstep, the situation has changed and it is no longer a time for the US military to provoke at will. It is worth noting that recently Putin suddenly made a foreign visit to the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia in the Middle East, and met with Iran's Raisi. This seems to indicate the possibility of new joint operations in the Middle East. At the same time, in the context of the retreat of the Ukrainian army, Russia announced that it would expand its military strength, which is obviously to strengthen the Ukrainian battlefield and put great pressure on the United States.
We can't say for sure if there will be a third World War, but the chaos will certainly continue. One by one, the problems left by the old imperialism will come to the surface, which is a true portrayal of the great changes unseen in a century.
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