Introduction: China 2024EconomyWith the upcoming Third Plenum, people are concerned about a new round of reform andEconomyThe outlook is promising. However, in the face of the complexity of the domestic and foreign situation and various challenges, it is determinedEconomyThe general direction is not an easy task. The most recent high-level meeting for 2024EconomyThe work was analyzed and discussed, and three key words were clarified: "seeking progress in stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking". These keywords may seem simple on the surface, but they contain wisdom and philosophyCritical thinking。This article will delve into these three keywords and analyze China in 2024 under the domestic and international situationEconomydevelopment prospects.
The key words of seeking progress while maintaining stability are emphasizedEconomyStability and continuity of development. In the current complex and volatile domestic and international situation, stability is guaranteedEconomyThe foundation for sustainable development. Stability includes price stability and stabilityFinanceThe market, stable employment, etc., this is the basic condition for our development. Only on the basis of stability can we pursue greater development. At present, there is a risk of bubble in the domestic real estate marketFinanceThere are also potential risks in the field, and these problems require us to stabilize the situationEconomyDevelopment creates a good environment.
To achieve stable development, we need to grasp the pace and intensity of policies. Stable prices areEconomyOne of the important indicators of development, inflation and price fluctuationsEconomyhas a significant impact. In 2024, we need to continue to maintain a prudent monetary policy to effectively control inflationary pressures and ensure price stability. At the same time, stableFinanceThe market tooEconomyAn important aspect of stability. We need to strengthenFinanceRegulation, preventionFinanceRisks, especially in the case of a rate cut in the US dollar, we should do wellFinanceThe risk response work of the system. In addition, stabilizing employment is also an important task for maintaining social stability. We need to increase support for micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) to promote employment growth and stabilize the employment situation in society.
The key word of promoting stability through progress emphasizes the role of development in promoting stability. Stability is not the same as conservatism, and we cannot stagnate because of the pursuit of stability, and only by constantly pursuing development can we better maintain stability. The foundation of stability is development, and only by continuously promoting reform and opening up and increasing the degree of openness of domestic and foreign markets can we promote itEconomyStability and growth.
Promoting stability means pushing the supply sideStructural reforms, raisedEconomyThe quality and efficiency of development. We need to increase support for scientific and technological innovation, accelerate the transformation of scientific and technological achievements, and promote the transformation of traditional industries to intelligence and digital transformationEconomyGrowth potential. In addition, increasing the cultivation and support of emerging industries is also an important measure to promote stability. Emerging industries have a high speed of development and potential for promotingEconomyGrowth and competitiveness play an important role. In the context of increasingly fierce global competition in science and technology, we should accelerate developmentA new generation of information technology, artificial intelligence, biomedicine and other fields to ensure China's leading position in global scientific and technological innovation.
The key word "first establish and then break" answers the question of how to reform. The premise of reform is that we must first solve the current problems, lay a solid foundation, and then achieve a breakthrough. We must not blindly pursue a breakthrough and completely abandon the old ideology and system, but we need to carry out reform step by step on the basis of stability, and to lay a good foundation for solving a problem, and gradually break the old situation.
Establishing first and then breaking down means focusing on problem-oriented reforms. We need to respond positivelyReal estate bubblesrisks, strengthen the regulation and control of the real estate market, and gradually break the unreasonable mechanism and system of the real estate industry. In addition,FinanceReform in the field is also an important part of establishing first and then breaking down. We need to strengthenFinancesupervision, improve risk response capabilities, and break the risk and risk of small and medium-sized banksRisk. At the same time, with innovation as the guide, strengthen the development of advanced manufacturing industry, promoteEconomyTransformation and upgrading of development.
China in 2024EconomyThe development of the country is facing a complex and volatile domestic and foreign environment. While many are looking forward to a new round of reforms and policies, we need to be clear about whether this is the best time and consider whether taking action now will have the greatest impact. The three key words put forward in the high-level meeting -- seeking progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking down -- are for next yearEconomyThe general framework for the development direction is established. However, we must be aware that the current situation at home and abroad is still complex and volatile, and faces a series of problems and challenges. The situation of the international struggle is complicated, the United StatesEconomyRecession is imminent, domesticReal estate bubblesRisk. FinanceDomain Risk,Question、EconomyThe uneven recovery and the accumulation of technology and advanced manufacturing are all issues that we need to address and improve. Therefore, in the current situation, we do not yet have the conditions to go on a big scale. The key words of seeking progress in stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking can be stable while solving problemsEconomydevelopment, and the international situation will also be more favorable to us. In the United StatesEconomyIn a turbulent situation, we have enough patience to wait for opportunities.