Israel's *** Governor Eli Cohen recently toUnited NationsThe Council issued a stern warning, demandedUnited NationsThe Lebanese force took action to normalize, control and neutralize the situation in southern LebanonAllahofMilitaryability to keep it away from the border. Cohen also warned that ifUnited NationsIf this cannot be achieved, then Israel will followUnited NationsResolution 1701, adoptedMilitaryLet's go. This move has attracted widespread attention from the outside world. Israel is not only rightUnited NationsA warning was issued, and a 48-hour ultimatum was issued to the Lebanese ** and the military to force it immediatelyAllahDisarm and surrender, otherwise the Israeli army will launch an offensive against Lebanon, willAllahThe facilities were all destroyed.
However, Israel's ultimatum seems to be somewhat overconfident and unsightly. Looking back on history, in the Lebanese War in 06, the Israeli army gathered powerful forces to invade Lebanon on a large scale, but the results were not satisfactory. The Israeli army was not only beenAllahHit the head of the rat, can't find the north, and even admit that the shells hit a bunch, andAllahbut there was little material harm. In addition, the Israeli army is also too jealousAllah, ordered to restrict the entry of transport convoys into the theater of operations, as a result, the front-line Israeli army was short of water and food, and was unable to continue fighting. In the end, the Israeli army had to withdraw from Lebanon, and the war ended in defeat. After more than ten years, the Israeli armyMilitaryThe strength has not improved significantly, and now it has to face Hamas andAllahThe two major opponents, the situation can be imagined. If the Israeli army really starts fighting on two fronts, attacking Gaza and Lebanon at the same timeAllah, the result must be even more tragic than in 06.
In addition, in addition to military considerations, Israel also needs to take into account the threat of other hostile forces in its vicinity. Whether it is Syria or Iran, the entire "arc of resistance" is on high alert against Israel. In this context, the roots of Israel's ultimatum can be traced back to a trap mentality, that is, to gain more support from the United States by creating a crisis. Israel wants to escalate the situation to the point where the United States intervenes, so that they have a chance to counterattack, and the more the war develops, the more likely they have to tie the United States to the chariot in order to achieve the goal of turning the tide against adversity.
Looking back at the Lebanese War in 06, the Israeli army tried to pass on a large scaleMilitaryaction to weaken southern LebanonAllahand ensure the security of the border. However, it backfired, and the Israeli army suffered frequent setbacks on the battlefield and was encounteredAllahA powerful counterattack. In this war, the Israeli army is not only difficult to containAllahfirepower, still facingAllahof tunnel warfare and terrorist attacks.
The Lebanese war of '06 taught Israel a profound lesson. Israeli armyMilitaryThe strength has not been significantly improved, whileAllahthen inMilitaryThere has been a great improvement in skills and equipment. Nowadays,AllahNot only mastered advanced rocket and missile technology, but also actively acted in the construction of underground tunnels. This makesAllahA strong defensive line has been formed in southern Lebanon, almost a stone's throw from the Israeli border. Israel's challenges are more than thatAllahOn the one hand, there is also the support of neighboring hostile countries such as Syria and Iran.
In addition, the ultimatum issued by Israel** also reflects Israel's internal political calculations. Netanyahu is trying to escalate the conflict to gain more external support, especially from the United States. They want to push the situation forwardInternationalstage, forcing the United States to play a more active role. However, such a ploy is often accompanied by great risks and does not guarantee Israel's victory in the war. On the contrary, it is more likely to lead to the situation getting out of control and triggeringInternationalCondemnation of society.
In the face of Israel's ultimatum,InternationalSociety should make its voice clear and call on both sides to exercise restraint and avoid escalation. On the one hand,United NationsThe Security Council should take up the task of upholding itInternationalThe responsibility for peace and security requires Israel and Lebanon to shoulder it togetherUnited NationsResolution 1701 restores stability on the border and promotes the resumption of the peace process. On the other hand,InternationalSociety should also increase its support for Lebanon to improve its infrastructure and solve its internal problems in order to reduce itAllahinfluence.
Peaceful dialogue is the only way forward in resolving the dispute between Israel and Lebanon. The two sides should resolve disputes through dialogue and negotiation, rather than using force to promote a solution. InternationalSociety should play a more active mediating role and provide a suitable platform for both sides to move the peace process forward.
Israel towardsUnited NationsThe Council issued an ultimatum, demandingUnited NationsTake action to eliminate southern LebanonAllahofMilitaryAbility. However, Israel's ultimatum was not receivedInternationalBroad support from society. Looking back at history, the Lebanese war of '06 made Israel deeply aware of itAllahstrength and tenacity, as wellMilitaryUncertainty of action. At the same time, Israel also has to face the threat of hostile forces around it, which makes it possibleMilitaryThe risk of action is more uncontrollable.
In the face of the current situation,InternationalSociety should encourage both parties to resolve disputes through peaceful dialogue. United NationsThe Council needs to play a more active role in advancing the peace process. Only through dialogue and negotiation, as wellInternationalBroad cooperation in society is the only way to find a real solution to the dispute between Israel and Lebanon and to achieve the goal of long-term stability and peace.