Russia has made strategic mistakes in its two recent moves, and it seems that it still does not trus

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-01-30

SinceChina and RussiaSince relations reached an all-time high, the amount of money between the two countries has continued to rise. This is despite the fact that Russia is facing comprehensive sanctions from the United States and Western countriesChina and Russia** The amount continues to break records, reaching $200 billion. This showsChina and RussiaThe economic cooperation between China and China has continued to consolidate and expand.

In addition, it is worth noting that some of the projects that Russia had scruples about China in the past are also beginning to be promoted. For example, the construction of the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway has been delayed for 26 years. Russia has long been concerned about China's expansion of influence in Central Asia, so it has put pressure on transportation through Central Asian countries. Last year, however, Russia finally agreed to the project. In addition, Russia has gradually opened up China's participationFar East** Restrictions. A few months ago,China and RussiaSigned aboutVladivostokMemorandum of Understanding on Port Cooperation. These moves all show thatChina and RussiaThe cooperation between them is constantly expanding, and has been valued and supported by both sides.

However, in the near future Russia has been in contact with ChinaGas pipelinesHowever, strategic mistakes were made in construction. According to the South China Morning Post, China is reluctant to invest in RussiaSiberiaForce 2Gas pipelinesand demanded that Russia fully bear the cost of billions of dollars in construction, and demanded that Russia provide discounts on natural gas. China's reluctance to invest is due to Russia's reluctance to take China's proposals. China's proposed plan is to enter the country from Xinjiang, such a route is shorter and there are no middlemen, and we are willing to share part of the pipeline costs and trade according to the normal **. Russia, however, wants to transit through Mongolia, which creates an additional middleman. In addition,China and RussiaGas transactions are long-term contracts, and it is reasonable to assume that the cost of building the pipeline should be borne by Russia itself, especially if it needs to pass through the territory of other countries. Therefore, it is impossible for China to pay for these pipeline costs, and it is reasonable to ask for discounts. Russia's proposal not only requires China to pay tolls, but is also vulnerable to being stuck by middlemen. A similar situation has occurred in Mongolia before, where non-governmental organizations have interfered with Mongolia's coal exports to China and tried to raise their prices. AsEnergy securityThe important issue is that China is certainly reluctant to increase the number of transit countries, and middlemen may cause more trouble. In fact, direct connectionChina and RussiaThe pipeline is the most advantageous option for both sides, but Russia's insistence on passing through Mongolia suggests that they still have other considerations in mind.

ExceptGas pipelinesQuestion, Russia's actions on the Myanmar issue are also puzzling. At present, Myanmar is facing a tense situation, and many forces want to intervene in it. The Allied Army is only a small role in it, and the real headache for the Myanmar ** Army is the People's Defence Army led by Aung San Suu Kyi, and Aung San Suu Kyi has the support of the United States behind her. In addition, India has expressed its willingness to intervene in the situation in Myanmar and has suggested engaging with armed forces everywhere, especially with the opposition. Surprisingly, however, Russia has also expressed a willingness to intervene. InBurmese Civil WarDuring this period, Russia held a rare joint maritime exercise with Myanmar, and the Russian defense minister even said that it would continue to strengthen its cooperation with countries in the Asia-Pacific region, including MyanmarMilitaryCooperate. Recently, the Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation visited Myanmar and discussed issues such as defense and security cooperation with the military leaders of Myanmar. There is little direct contact between Myanmar and Russia, and Russia's goal is clear: strengthening ties with Myanmar will help Russia further expand its influence in South and Southeast Asia. However, Myanmar shares a 2,186-kilometre border with China, and the involvement of multiple countries will inevitably affect the security of our borders.

Judging by Russia's recent series of actions, it is still clear that there is a certain distrust of China. However, it can also sober up those who are hot-headed, and it is better to observe the interaction between countries not with too much emotion, but on the basis of interests. Although Russia has some of its own small calculations, howeverChina and RussiaAs back-to-back powers, there is no doubt that it is in the best interests of both sides to cooperate with each other. Putin also said recently,China and RussiaA full range of cooperation will be carried out in various fields, including:MilitaryTechnology. In fact,China and RussiaThe strategic mutual trust between them has indeed reached a rare height, and some differences and frictions do not have much impact on the overall situation.

To sum up, while Russia's recent actions show distrust of China in some respects, butChina and RussiaCooperation continues to expand. It is important that we should not be swayed by the small problems of the moment, but rather focus onChina and RussiaThe common interests and long-term development of the two countries. Only on the basis of mutual cooperation,China and RussiaOnly then can the relationship achieve greater development and bring more opportunities for mutual benefit and win-win results for both parties.

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