Regarding the blue camp's recent frequent shouting of Guo Taiming, pollster Wu Shichang said in an interview today that from the polls, Hou Youyi has indeed risen, but Ke Wenzhe has not moved much, and the representative said that Guo Taiming's Guo fans are more inclined to economic blue, which is also part of the Blue Army.
He further explained that on the day of Guo Taiming's withdrawal, because he did not express his support for anyone, these votes, which were originally more inclined to economic blue, naturally flowed to Hou Youyi, so a large part of Hou's rise in the polls now comes from Guo's failure to announce his support for Ke Wenzhe.
Wu Shichang pointed out that Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi both want to win over Ke Taiming, and the Ke camp certainly hopes that Guo can provide resources, and the second is whether Guo Taiming's supporters can be converted to Ke. And Hou Youyi has already received most of Guo fans' votes, and if Guo Taiming can publicly support it, it will have a more dividing effect. As for whether it is necessary for Guo to publicly express his support for whom in this process, he believes that Guo Taiming can think about how all parties treat him in the process and then decide on this issue.
The reporter asked, assuming that Guo Taiming openly supports Hou Youyi and shows the momentum of the unity of the Blue Army, will there be a chance for the polls to continue to climb and even win over Lai Qingde?Wu Shichang believes that Hou Youyi's polls may be raised by a few percentage points, but it is very difficult to get Hou elected in this way.
Wu Shichang took the newly released "confluence poll" as an example to analyze, in the case of half mobile phone and half local phone, Hou Zhaopei's support is 28%, and Ke Wupei's support is 26%, at least Ke Wupei's poll will drop by another 10%, so that some votes can flow to Hou Kangpei, so that he can have a chance to fight with Lai Qingde.
The reporter asked, different poll methods have different results, he believes that the mobile phone and local phone are closer to the real situation, the pure local phone contact rate of young people is very poor, will underestimate Ke Wenzhe's support, overall, Ke should still have about 20% support.
Wu Shichang concluded that in the case of the three-legged governor, if the second and third places are deadlocked, even if Guo Taiming announces his support for someone, there will not be much change in the overall situation.