The wind was cold
The pig industry is also experiencing a "cold winter".
Fat pigs in Dalian.
The mainstream purchase price is 6 per catty8 yuan-6$9
In the same period last year, it was more than 10 yuan
Pig prices fell by about 30% year-on-year
Selling a fat pig costs money.
So
Low pig prices
When will we be able to "get over the winter"?
Raising fat pigs lost at least hundreds of yuan
Recently, the purchase price of our fat pigs here is 68 yuan, which is basically the lowest ** this year. On December 10, Li Shengjiu, the owner of a pig farm in Wafangdian City, revealed that the cost line of his pig farm was 8 per catty$3 84 yuan, and the weight of the slaughtered "standard pig" is mostly 260 catties and 270 catties per head, so that calculated, each slaughtered fat pig will lose three or four hundred yuan.
The mainstream purchase price of fat pigs in Pulandian area is 6 per catty9 yuan, the cost line of our pig farm is controlled at 7$3 74 yuan, even so, a fat pig still has to lose more than 100 yuan. Gu Zhaogang, the person in charge of a large pig farm in Datan Street, Pulandian District, told reporters that the pig farm has more than 3,000 pigs, with an average of 500 and 600 fat pigs slaughtered every month.
Liang Jingquan, President of Dalian Pig Industry Association:
Recently, in Dalian, the mainstream purchase price of fat pigs is 6 per catty8 yuan-6$9However, in the past two days, the price of pigs has sometimes reached 7 yuan per catty.
**Prices fell due to sufficiency and sluggish consumption
The reporter visited the market and learned that although the pork ** was lower, many stall owners said that the recent pork volume was not fast, and the sales volume did not increase.
The person in charge of a number of pig enterprises sketched roughly
In the past three years, the "pig price curve" in Dalian
February 2021 - April 2022
Pig prices have been depressed for a long time, and pig enterprises and pig farmers are in a state of deep loss and are under great pressure
April 2022 - late October 2022
In April, pig prices began to rise rapidly, and by the end of October, they once rose to more than 14 yuan per catty, and this wave of good ** lasted until the end of October
From November 2022
The pig price curve "turned downward, fell below the cost line around February this year, and continued all the way down, although sometimes climbed to the breakeven line, but it was difficult to maintain, until now the pig price fell into the "6 yuan era".
In the second half of last year, there was a significant wave of pig prices, and some pig enterprises and pig farmers have 'run' into the market to expand production capacity, which has laid the groundwork for today's downturn to a certain extent. Industry insiders said that from a national perspective, at present, the number of pigs slaughtered is at a high level, and it is sufficient. "The breeding side is worried about the strong mood, and even the first sale, coupled with the lack of consumer demand, eventually led to the fall of this round of pig prices. ”
Dalian Survey Team of the National Bureau of Statistics:
In 2022, the number of live pigs slaughtered in Dalian will be 272730,000 heads. At the end of the third quarter of 2022, the number of live pigs in Dalian was 138980,000 heads, compared with 128 in the same period this year280,000 heads.
There is very little room for short-term pig prices
Pig prices are sluggish, and some pig enterprises and pig farmers have either passively or actively raised large pigs, raising three or four hundred catties, or even more than 600 catties of super-sized pigs. Fan Huizhong, the person in charge of a large pig farm in Xiangying Street, Jinpu New District, and vice president of Dalian Pig Industry Association, said that after the fat pig grows to more than 270 catties, it will continue to fatten, and the meat growth speed will become slower, which means that the "feed to meat ratio" will become lower, which will virtually increase the cost of breeding. Next, how will the hogs change?
Fan Huizhong thinks:
Nowadays, pig breeding has entered the 'era of meager profits', in the short term, the space for pig prices is very small, at least before the Spring Festival, the probability of price increase is extremely low.
Another noteworthy problem is that nowadays, there are very few pigs raised in rural areas, and many farmers even have to buy pigs for the New Year. The above-mentioned industry insiders said that when the Spring Festival is approaching, the fat pigs fed by farmers mainly with grain will become a scarce "hot goods", and their ** will often be significantly higher than that of the big **.
However, in recent years, the proportion of pork consumption of Chinese people has continued to decline. "With the improvement of consumption level, everyone is no longer just staring at pork as in the past. Fan Huizhong said that seafood, beef and mutton, low-fat meat, etc., are competing for the limelight of pork and becoming the new favorite of consumers' tables.
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Text: Dalian News Media Group reporter Qu Jiayi.
*: Provided by respondents.