The Russia-Ukraine conflict seems to have lost some momentum, with news of ceasefires and truces coming from time to time. The Ukrainian side has frequently exposed negative news about the shortage of troops and forced conscription, which makes people start to think about when the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will usher in a turning pointChances are, the turnaround is just next year. This is not unfounded speculation. Next year is the year of the United States, and if the current United States Biden fails to be re-elected, the new one may have a huge impact on the situation between Russia and Ukraine after taking office. The current predicament of Ukraine shows that Ukraine no longer has the capital to continue a protracted war with Russia, and the US aid to Ukraine has entered the countdown. In addition, the Russian army has not yet launched a large-scale ** operation. Therefore, next year, if Ukraine is unsustainable, the United States and the West are likely to use negotiations as an excuse to temporarily let the Ukrainian side take a breather.
Recently, the United States and the West have also released news that Putin's attitude towards the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks has changed. In other words, Putin no longer insists that Zelensky *** Ukraine also has the right to continue to exist as a sovereign state. However, I think the veracity of this claim is debatable. Russia is not as passive as Ukraine has been, and clearly has more bargaining chips and does not need to make significant concessions. However, with the increasing pressure exerted by the Russian side, no matter what variables Zelensky in Ukraine will bring, the turning point of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be closer and closer. In my opinion, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is likely to face one of three outcomes: first, the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks go smoothly, and Russia ends its special military operation in Ukraine.
In short, the United States' strategy towards Ukraine has changed, and Ukraine has had to compromise in the face of Russia's strong strength. In the current crisis in Ukraine, there are two possible outcomes. The first scenario is that Russia continues to expand the scope of its military operations, launch large-scale counterattacks, increase military industrial capacity, and increase troops to capture more military targets, so that Ukraine completely loses the capital to negotiate until it is completely defeated. The second scenario is that the Russian army fails to achieve the expected results, voluntarily withdraws from Ukraine, and begins armistice negotiations. Before the armistice, the international situation was unpredictable and anything was possible.
It remains to be seen how the world will react to Ukraine's previous support from the United States and the West, and how the world will react to the current situation that is seen as a burden. In any case, the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is imminent.