Now the United States needs to change its routines, because it has too many deceptions, resulting in the world's fools not enough to deceive. The contradictions between Ukraine and Russia should have been very tense, but they were unexpected by the United States and turned into a situation in which they seemed to be reconciled after the quarrel.
Russia and Ukraine, as the parties concerned, have personally stated that the situation is not as critical as the United States said, but the United States has been sowing discord and wanting to provoke a war and cause chaos in the world. There is even a ** in the United States, which has created a fake news that Russia and Ukraine are at war.
As soon as this fake news came out, the whole world expressed strong condemnation of the United States, because this kind of thing is not a joke, it will have a huge impact on the global financial market, and if it really fights, it will be a black swan event. Whether this event really happened or not is related to the win or loss of trillions of funds around the world.
So how will the situation in Ukraine develop, what will be the impact on global financial markets, and will there be a black swan?
This Russia-Ukraine crisis looks like a confrontation between Russia and the United States over Ukraine. But if you analyze it carefully, you will find that Russia's role is somewhat inconsistent. Without understanding this inconsistency, it may be difficult to understand what Russia's role is.
Russia's inconsistencies are mainly reflected in two aspects.
The first is that on the surface, Russia appears to be tough. Russia has amassed a large number of troops on the Ukrainian border and is ready to go to war at any time. Of course, the United States broke directly into Putin's doorstep this time, and it is understandable that Russia reacted strongly, but what makes people feel strange is that some of Russia's propositions are made.
Russia has always stressed that NATO cannot include Ukraine and cannot deploy ** in Ukraine, which is Russia's bottom line. In the actual negotiations with the United States, Russia also put forward some proposals, that is, the draft treaty on security guarantees between Russia and NATO and the United States announced by the Russian side.
In this draft, Russia put forward several key points, one of which is to rule out the possibility of further expansion of NATO and Ukraine's accession to NATO. The other is NATO's return to its pre-May 1997 sphere of influence.
The first one is easy to understand, which is the current crisis in Ukraine. It is difficult to understand the second one, although it is reasonable for Russia to put forward this condition, it is not timely. What does that mean?Before the collapse of the Soviet Union, NATO had fooled the Soviet leaders and promised that NATO would never expand eastward, and the Soviet Union believed it.
NATO then expanded significantly eastward in two phases, first with the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland as members in March 1999. In March 2004, seven countries, including Slovakia, Bulgaria, Romania and Slovenia, as well as the Baltic countries of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, were admitted as full members of NATO.
Russia is now demanding that NATO spit out the meat it has eaten, but anyone who knows a little about these two sides knows that this is simply a joke. What's more, this is the United States knocking on the door and provoking at Russia's doorstep, and if Russia really wants to solve the problem, it will never make such an unrealistic demand.
If you make a request that no one else can accept, it only means that you may not really want to solve the problem. This brings us to the second aspect of Russia's inconsistency.
The second is that Russia's real counterattack is very chaotic. When Russia strikes back against the United States, it gives the impression that it is unorganized and even out of tune. After Russia's negotiations with the United States on the security situation in Ukraine reached an impasse, Russia's deputy foreign minister also said that he might consider deploying military equipment in Cuba and Venezuela.
To be honest, this is a bit exaggerated, but you could do this during the heyday of the Soviet Union, and only if you had to protect people's safety and feed them. With Russia's current strength, it is a bit reluctant to feed itself, and how is it possible to feed two more South American countries.
If Russia wants to really fight back against the United States, it should start with the lifeblood of the United States, which is still the petrodollar at this stage, and it is to ensure that there are no major incidents in the Middle East. The two main fulcrums of the United States in the Middle East are Israel and Saudi Arabia. And Russia also has a fulcrum in the Middle East, which is Syria.
Therefore, if Russia wants war not to happen at its own doorstep, it should arm Syria strongly, jump out of the preset battlefield of the United States, you fight yours, I will fight mine, so as not to fall into the trap of the United States.
For an old player like Russia, can it still not understand this?But what is interesting is that Russia is striking everywhere with a hammer in the east and a stick in the west, which looks chaotic, but it is very accurate to avoid the key points of the United States. At this point, people are a little puzzled, is it just because Russia is so passive now because it does not want to provoke the United States?