Southern pigs **continued**, what is the trend of pig prices on January 9?
Abstract] Recently, in China's livestock and poultry breeding industry, in the pig fattening industry, pig prices continue to maintain the characteristics of the off-season, and after the Spring Festival, due to the "short-lived" bacon in the south, resulting in the downstream pork circulation slowdown, the operation speed of the slaughterhouse has declined sharply, the sales of white strips of some slaughtering enterprises have become more difficult, and there is a backlog in the downstream wholesale market in many places, and the pig market continues to appear "bottom-seeking"!Farmers are worried, pessimism about the future is increasing, coupled with the current pig inventory speed is relatively slow, coupled with the early stage of the suitable heavy pig source slaughter is more relaxed, so the breeding end of the pressure fence confidence is not enough, the price of the slaughter is more active, therefore, the domestic pig market is facing the performance of production and marketing mismatch, the market is showing a low and weak trend!
According to the current situation, the major slaughtering enterprises have made corresponding adjustments to the acquisition of pigs according to the difficulty of purchasing pigs, and it is expected that on January 9, 2024, the average price of three-yuan lean pigs slaughtered outside the country will be narrowly reduced by 003 yuan catty, pig ** fell to 687 yuan catty, the center of gravity of pig prices was lowered again, and the domestic north and south markets showed a narrow range of adjustments, among them, the southern market, pork ** "a green", and southwest, south China, central China and northwest China, pork ** generally appeared "miserable", supply and demand imbalance is more prominent!
According to the situation in various places, the pork ** in 7 major provinces such as Northeast China, North China and Northwest China is basically stable, including 7-7 yuan in Beijing and Tianjin, and 6 yuan in Heilongjiang5-6.8 yuan, Jilin 65-6.9 yuan, Shanxi 7-71 yuan, Beijing 7-73 yuan, Gansu 66-7 bucks!In South China, at present, China's pig ** has declined significantly, and the pig ** in Sichuan and Chongqing has dropped to 66 yuan, Yunnan's pig ** has reached 62-6.5 at the level, 7-7 in central China3, Hunan 67-6.9, Guangdong's pig ** has dropped to 66-7.Level of 2!
At present, the pig ** is facing downward pressure, while the domestic ** is showing a different trend. In the north, the pork market has stabilized, while in the south, there has been a relatively large replenishment, and in the south, there has been a relatively large gap.
According to the company's analysis, logically, since January, the pressure on the supply of pork in our country will be reduced, and the pig production may drop by almost 10% per month, however, in December, the number of pigs in the country is already large, so the pressure on the supply of pork this month is still there!At the same time, in January of this year, due to the positive impact on pigs, the demand for pickled food has come to an end, therefore, in recent times, due to the reduction in consumer consumption habits after the Spring Festival, the benefits of pickled food have also been affected, therefore, the sale of pork has become more difficult, and the operating rate of slaughterhouses has also seen a significant decline!Therefore, at present, the phased oversupply of pork ** and demand, and the upward pressure on pork ** is huge!
Especially recently, due to the growing gap between pork and pork, people's expectations of pork are getting lower and lower, resulting in pork *** pork *** from the difficulty of pig acquisition, in the north, the slaughterhouse is not very good for the purchase of pigs, and some retail enterprises are not willing to reduce **, and East China is because of the lack of supply of pigs, resulting in signs of price increases in some places. However, in Central China, South China and Southwest China, the sales of live pigs are more active, and the acquisition of slaughtering companies is smoother, while the downstream sales of white strips are not ideal, therefore, the date of the shutdown of enterprises is also much earlier, in this regard, our ** is still relatively optimistic!
Therefore, in the current pig market, bullish, stable, bearish three emotions are intertwined, the market lacks unilateral correction, in the coming period of time, the pig market will continue to remain at a low level, I think, the pig market is close to the bottom, there is no room to continue to decline, especially, after entering the wax month, the enthusiasm of residents' consumer demand has improved, the panic mentality of the pig end will gradually ease, and the pig price is expected to show a moderate trend!
The price of pork has risen "non-stop", and South China is "green"!That's why the price of pork has risen!What's going on?January 9th!What do you guys think?This is the author's personal opinion, **for reference only!