According to the statement of the spokesman of the Myanmar State Administration Council, Major General Zo Myint Tun, the Myanmar State Administration Council will work to achieve national stability and peace, development and national unity, and will make the ceasefire the primary objective. This statement clarified the ceasefire agreement between the Tatmadaw and the Kokang Allied Army, and showed the positive attitude of the Tatmadaw towards the ceasefire.
In addition, Major General Zo Mintun also mentioned China's coordination and contribution in the peace talks. This shows that China has played an important role in the Kokang conflict resolution process and has made efforts for peace and stability in the Kokang region. The term "partially nationally armed forces" is likely to refer to the Kokang Allied Army, which also means that the ceasefire agreement between the Kokang Allied Army and the Tatmadaw is mainly aimed at the Kokang region.
On the whole, since Major General Zo Mintun did not clearly specify the area and temporary nature of the cease-fire agreement, it can be speculated that the cease-fire agreement may not be limited to a temporary ceasefire, but will be of a lasting nature. This is discussed in more detail below.
2. The Allied Forces are arranging for the evacuation of ethnic Burmese personnel from Kokang Old Street, and the Tatmadaw is peacefully withdrawing from Old Kokang Street.
In the context of the ceasefire between the Kokang Allied Forces and the Tatmadaw Tatmadaw (Tatmadaw Prisoners of war of the Kokang Allied Army against the Burmese ArmyRefugeesPreferential treatment was given and arrangements were made for their return to Myanmar-controlled areas. In addition, the Allied forces advanced into the Kokang Old Cai district, concentrating the Burmese masses and arranging for their evacuation to Lower Burma.
The friendly treatment and arrangements of the Allied Forces, as well as the withdrawal of the Tatmadaw from the Tatmadaw Army, indicate that the two sides are proceeding with an orderly and peaceful withdrawal from the Kokang area, laying the foundation for future peace and stability in Kokang.
3. There are various indications that there may not be a major fighting between the Tatmadaw and the Kokang Allied Forces in Lao Cai in the short term.
During talks between the Tatmadaw and the three armed forces, the Kokang Allied Forces and the Myanmar National Defense Forces reached a ceasefire agreement that will last until the end of December 2023, according to Myanmar**. This suggests that the two sides will maintain a truce in the short term.
The Allied war reports showed that there was no fighting in the Kokang area, confirming the state of the truce in the Kokang area. In addition, the Tatmadaw is withdrawing from Kokang Lao Cai in an orderly manner, demonstrating restraint and peace on both sides. The Tatmadaw made preparations during the evacuation process, including the processing of documents and filesequipment and personal items, etc., which also indicate that the Tatmadaw may withdraw from the Kokang area for a long time.
To sum up, judging from all indications, there may not be any more major fighting between the Tatmadaw and the Kokang Allied Army in Kokang Lao Cai in the short term. The situation in the Kokang region will gradually stabilize.
The official statement confirmed the ceasefire agreement between the Tatmadaw and the Kokang Allied Army, and demonstrated the efforts of the Tatmadaw to resolve the Kokang conflict peacefully. The Kokang Allied Army and the Burmese Army prisoners of warRefugeesThe goodwill and the orderly withdrawal of the Tatmadaw from Kokang Lao Cai further strengthened the signs of a truce and a peaceful settlement between the two sides. Although the details of the ceasefire agreement have not yet been disclosed, there are indications that there may not be any more large-scale fighting between the Tatmadaw and the Kokang allied forces in the Kokang region in the near future. This has laid the foundation for peace and stability in the Kokang region and provided hope for Myanmar's national stability and development.