With the arrival of the heavy snow season, the northern region ushered in the first snow of this winter. In such weather conditions, domesticAgricultural productsA different picture has emerged in the market. HogsUnder the influence of cold wave weather, pork consumption is expected to increase, and pig prices have begun to recoverHowever,EggsThe market is under pressure, rising and falling;At the same time,Soybean mealThe market **some**, but for domestic productionSoybeans, facing multiple pressures. This article will focus on the analysis of the above main onesAgricultural products** situation.
Although in the near futureHogsThe market is facing a series of negative news, such as:HogsOvercapacity, pig farm disease high risk, etc., but the arrival of cold wave weather has brought support to pork consumption. Pig prices are expected to continue in **medium**.
At present, the market pig price has rebounded to the low value of the year, and in the next cold weather, pork consumption is expected to gradually improve, driving pig prices**. Especially with the decrease in temperature in the south, the enthusiasm of households to marinate pork will increase, and it is expected that the good cured meat in the south will drive the increase in domestic fresh pork consumption to more than 2 3 percent. The demand for winter supplements will also increase for residents in the northern region, and the production of sausages will also increase significantly. Therefore, pork consumption remains an important driver of pig prices.
However, pig prices** are still under some severe pressure. HogsThe negative factors in the market have not been eliminatedHogsThe pressure on production capacity is still there, especially in the northern region, the risk of disease is high, and the end of the year is the period of the first column, and the high inventory of frozen pork will also limit the maximum range of pig prices.
Near domesticEggsThe market has seen a trend of rising and falling, and the previous gains have stabilized. Previously,EggsThe goods generally rose to 47~4.8 yuan catty, the price of eggs in the retail market has also risen to the "5 yuan era".
The reason why egg prices are supported is mainly because egg prices have continued to fall before, the downstream market is bullish, and the wholesale market is mainly based on replenishment. However, as egg prices have bottomed out, the demand for centralized stocking in the market has gradually decreased. Household consumption has shifted to other inexpensive protein alternatives, such as pork and freshwater fish, resulting inEggsReduced demand. The market is not smooth, the mentality of the first merchants to receive goods has also weakened, and the situation of e-commerce is not good.
On the other hand, the newly built domesticallyEggsThe number of farms is constantly increasing, resulting in large sizesEggs**Increase. The market sentiment remained cautious, with prices rising and falling stagnant. On the one hand, the demand follow-up is insufficient, and the market lacks the mentality of hoarding;On the other hand, the breeding end is reluctant to reduce **, medium and large sizeEggsHoarding sentiment has risen, resulting in a decrease in market liquidity.
Recently, domesticSoybean meal** The rebound was mainly due to the United States and BrazilSoybeansProduction is lower than expected, the market is rightSoybeansBullish sentiment increases. In addition, domesticSoybean mealThe pace of purchase and sale has accelerated, and the spot trading volume has gradually increased. However,Soybean mealThe outlook remains poor. The pressure on the domestic market still existsSoybean mealSpot inventories remain high, and some oil mills are facing the pressure of excess inventory. In addition, major domestic oil mills maintain a high operating rate, importsSoybeansThe scale is also larger, resulting inSoybean mealRelatively loose.
In addition, the breeding industry is sluggish, and farmers are facing large losses and have entered the stage of collecting ** columns. FeedThe consumption level is low, and the weight gain mentality is not high. These factors will be inhibitedSoybean mealThe trading situation of the market.
For domesticSoybeansBecauseSoybeansThe increase in planting subsidies for farmers to plantSoybeansThe planting area and production have increased. However, domesticSoybeansThe market is facing multiple pressures. On the one hand, domesticSoybeansThe increase in production has made the market ** relatively excessive;On the other hand, importsSoybeansremains the main ** in the domestic market, while importingSoybeans** Relatively low for domesticSoybeansCompetitive pressures have been formed. In addition, domesticSoybeansThe output and quality are not satisfactory, the grain surface is relatively high, and the processing output value is relatively low. Therefore, domesticSoybeansFaced with the problem of increasing production but *** difficult.
To sum up, in the current weather conditions,HogsThe market is expected to rebound. But due to thatHogsThe negative factors in the market have not been eliminated, and pig prices are still facing certain pressure. EggsThe market is affected by the decrease and increase in demand, and the rise and fall are stagnant. Soybean mealThe market has somewhat, but it is plagued by pressure and insufficient market demand. DomesticSoybeansFaced with multiple pressures, production increased but *** difficult. Therefore,Agricultural productsThe market** still faces a lot of uncertainty.