More dangerous than the Taiwan Strait!Is it true that the Philippines says that the conflict between China and the Philippines will detonate a world war?In the eyes of the Americans, the risk of a military conflict between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait due to provocations by ** elements is often high, and it is also the focus of regional crises in the Indo-Pacific region. However, as the dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea continues to intensify, ships of the two sides frequently clash, which has aroused great concern from the international community. Philippine Ambassador to the United States Romdez said in a recent visit to Nikkei Asia that a small dispute between China and the Philippines could turn into a major conflict at any time, and that the South China Sea would become a hot spot in the next world war.
In the interview, Romúdez said that the next hotspot of large-scale conflict will be in the South China Sea, not the Taiwan Strait, and that if anything happens in this region, another war will start, and that is a world war. It cites the joint naval and air patrols held by the United States and the Philippines at the end of October 2023 as an example to call for a multilateral response to China. He even went so far as to say that the only way to do that was to unite many countries in a show of force. The Philippine defense secretary also said in an interview that Japan, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Canada and France are all candidates for joint patrols in the future. The U.S. and Philippine militaries also recently held a phone call on the South China Sea issue, talking about the possibility of strengthening maritime cooperation, information sharing, and increasing military exercises in the future.
The question now is, is there a risk that China's dispute with the Philippines in the South China Sea will trigger a world war?It's almost impossible. First of all, the current dispute between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea is only a contest between the sea and the city, and there is still a long way to go before a military conflict breaks out. China's strategy in the South China Sea is to firmly defend its bottom line and use the strength of the coast guard to teach the Philippines a lesson. The current game of the Philippines is to bring Western reporters every time, and while provoking while hyping up that it has been bullied by the bear country, this will be the norm for a long time. If the Philippine chicken-like navy begins to appear, then the possibility of a military conflict will be greatly increased, and the reality that the Philippines does not have a navy will not be far away. Therefore, given the huge disparity in naval strength between China and the Philippines, the possibility of a substantive military conflict between the two sides will be small.
Second, the multinational cruises carried out by the Philippines with extraterritorial forces such as Australia, New Zealand and France do not dare to challenge the so-called freedom of navigation in the waters where China and the Philippines are fighting, and there is no substantial threat to ChinaAnd how much benefit and benefit can the Philippines give to these countries?Have the crews of the navies of Western countries lived enough?This is all the whims of the Filipinos. Third, the United States has lost the strength to challenge China's navy in the South China Sea, which determines that the US military does not dare to challenge China's sovereignty with joint Philippine actions. In fact, the provocations carried out by the United States are often carried out alone. The United States challenges China's sovereignty claims in the South China Sea mainly because it wants to use the rules of international law to provoke China, and it does not have the courage to use the Chinese navy to fight a war.
These actions are also completely out of step with the war. The Chinese Navy has an absolute superiority in strength in the South China Sea, which determines that a large-scale war cannot occur in the future, because the US military knows how many pounds and taels it has. Fourth, U.S.-Philippines defense cooperation does not apply to China and the Philippines. The South China Sea dispute is limited to attacks on the Philippine mainland, and the United States generally pays lip service to the Philippines in provoking China in the South China Sea, but the U.S.-Philippines defense agreement can not apply to the outbreak of naval war between China and the Philippines in the disputed waters, which is often cruel to the Philippines. Fifth, the essence of a world war is a struggle for resources or world leadership. At present, the Philippines is tightly acting as a pawn of the West to contain China, and does not have the ability to prevent China's rise. You can understand it this way, the United States only wants to use the Philippines to disgust China, and does not expect the Sino-Philippine dispute to contain China's rise.
The Philippines actually does not have much weight in the overall competition between China and the United States. In terms of small and medium-sized enterprises, there has been no military conflict between China and the Philippines now, mainly based on China's restraint, but it does not mean that the squadron is afraid of anyone in the South China Sea, let alone that the Philippines has the conditions to introduce extraterritorial forces to challenge China's sovereignty claims. The Philippines now often wants to rely on Western forces to confront its neighbors, but they forget that they do not have the important position of Ukraine, and they also forget that the forces they rely on do not dare to face the PLA in the South China Sea for the time being. In this world, people who overestimate themselves will often be ruthlessly cleaned up in the end, and countries that overestimate their strength or status will only be beaten to the brink in the end.