Since the beginning of winter this year,Vegetables**All the way down, showing a very different trend compared to previous years. This was rare in the past winter because winter was not suitableVegetablesThe growth of ** is relatively tight, and the price of vegetables tends to be higher. But this year things have changedChinese cabbageIt is surprising that it is even less than 2 cents a pound. We can't help but ask, why is this year's vegetable price out of "independent**" and why is the vegetable price unusually "cold" this winter? Actually, this is mainly due to:Supply and demandIt's changed.
First of all, this year's autumn weather is relatively warm, which is favorableVegetablesThe growth of the makesVegetablesThe production is higher than in previous years. According to the Chinese Academy of Social SciencesRuralNews from the Institute for Development in the fall of this yearVegetableshas increased dramatically, especiallyChinese cabbagehas increased production by at least 20%. In addition, judging from the experience of previous years, the price of vegetables in winter is high, and vegetable farmers will expect to expand the planting area, resulting in a sudden increase in the volume of the winter vegetable market, so the price of vegetables is also an inevitable result. In other words, the market lags behind the adjustment of supply and demand, and cannot fully achieve the balance between production and consumption.
Recently,**Meteorological ObservatoryPublishedCold spelland a yellow warning for freezing, with widespread cooling across the country. Temperatures in some areas may even break through historical extremes, making it the "coldest winter on record". Well, in such a cold winter,VegetablesWill the ** stop falling and rebound? The answer is: it is possible to stop the decline, but it is less likely to recover sharply.
First of all, cold weather can causeVegetablesThe cost of transportation and storage rises, and this part of the cost is passed on to the consumerVegetables**Can be maintained relatively stable. Secondly, what is now the northern regionVegetablesGrowing methods have changed considerably, and greenhouses are becoming more popular and no longer rely solely on weather conditions. Therefore,VegetablesThe production capacity has not been greatly affected by the cold weatherSupply and demandNo substantial changes have taken place. InSupply and demandNo noticeable change was expected beforeVegetablesA large recovery is unrealistic.
According to the Chinese Academy of Social SciencesRuralNews from the Institute for Development, currentlyChinese cabbageThere are signs of a stop-downLeafy greensThe ** has also picked up, butVegetablesThere is no clear trend.
According toAgricultureMinistry of data, November, 28 speciesVegetablesThe average price of land is 243 yuan kg, compared with the previous monthRing on monthDropped by 83%。This data is 17. lower than the data for the same period in the past five years8%, partiallyVegetables** Even the lowest value in the last 5 years, someVegetablesEven below the cost price. According to ChinaVegetablesNews of the association, a county in HebeiChinese cabbageThe price of the land is even only 5 cents and 1 kilogram, which leads some vegetable farmers to choose to abandon the harvest directly. Obviously, the problem of "cheap vegetables hurting farmers" has emerged, so how to solve this problem?
In addition to orderly purchase and sales, it is necessary to start from the production side to solve the problem of "cheap vegetables hurting farmers". It is the fundamental way to solve the problems of the production side and realize the benign interaction between production and the market. At present, large-scale and intensive production is considered to be a better way out.
Through scale and intensification, production can be arranged more rationally. AgricultureThe trend of big data application in the industry also gives us hope. Big data inAgricultureThe application of the field can be the market demand to a certain extent, and avoid the "pile-up" and "collision" of production. Even if a "crash" occurs, large-scale and intensive production can cope with the risk to a certain extent through cost advantages.
At the same time, large-scale and intensive production can also bring about a transfer of bargaining and pricing rights. Due to the large scale, it can eliminate the link of middlemen to earn the price difference, directly connect with the consumer side, and have a certain degree of pricing freedom. Through the feedback of the market, production can be better guided. Therefore, the realization of large-scale and intensive production will be an important way to gradually solve the problem of "cheap vegetables hurting farmers".
To sum up, this yearVegetableswithSupply and demandchanges are closely related. Although the cold winter weather may stop the decline in vegetable prices, it is unlikely that they will recover significantly. In order to solve the problem of "cheap vegetables hurting farmers", in addition to orderly purchase and sales, we can make better adjustments through large-scale and intensive productionSupply and demandto achieve a benign interaction between production and the market. This will help stabilize vegetable prices and solve the problem of "cheap vegetables hurting farmers".VegetablesProvide strong support for the sustainable development of the industry.