Recently, there has been a repetition of the U.S. aid policy for Ukraine, which not only reveals the differences within Biden, but also gives Russia a "big gift". In China's view, this change could provide some respite in the South China Sea.
Although the United States has always declared its support for Ukraine, some members of Congress are opposed to continuing to aid Ukraine in the face of tight military spending and domestic economic pressure. In order to win support, Biden had to adjust his position and give a "preventive shot" in advance for the possible interruption of aid.
The U.S. aid policy has been volatile, on the one hand, affected by Ukraine's weakness, and on the other hand, because of the limited internal budget and military spending pressure of the United States. The domestic economic situation is dire, and ** faces a dilemma between military aid and domestic development, especially after resolving the domestic debt problem.
The adjustment of US aid to Ukraine provides Russia with certain strategic opportunities. If the Ukrainian army is unable to make substantial progress, it may be easier for Russia to manage its domestic affairs and focus on its interests in the Middle East. This will create conditions for easing the tense international situation and for resolving the Palestinian-Israeli issue.
The uncertainty over U.S. aid to Ukraine could undermine the confidence of its Asia-Pacific allies, including some who are arrogant in the South China Sea. For China, this may provide some respite from the South China Sea issue. U.S. allies may begin to reassess their relationship with China and slow their adventurous moves in the South China Sea in the face of U.S. aid adjustments.
However, some U.S. allies may still choose to side with the U.S., especially those that have chosen to take explicit sides. Uncertainty remains in the U.S.-China relationship, and China needs to remain vigilant in international affairs to ensure that it is not hit by destabilizing factors.
The repetition of U.S. aid policies shows the contradictions between the U.S. and its internal and external issues, which may give some countries some room for flexible diplomacy. However, international affairs are unpredictable, and China needs to remain calm and flexible to ensure that its interests are not unduly affected by unstable factors.