In the past few days, the number of college graduates in 2024 has come out: the number is 11.79 million, 210,000 more than the previous year.
The number of people has been decreasing, why are the graduates increasing year after year?
You have to know that this has a delay effect! Because the current wave of graduates were born in the early 00s, at that time, people were not decreasing, but increasing! Because the ** era has just opened, everyone has hopes and expectations for the future, even if it is a little tired, but you can see the future, so you dare to ask!
Now you're going to ask for it? You are not 19499.30 joined KMT? Isn't the new colloquial saying? There are three unfilial pieties, and three are unfilial piety; No queen is the greatest, no queen is the boss!
You see that you can only get a big score if you can carry it clearly! So just like this year, many elementary schools are shrinking, but in some places schools are still full, because the number of elementary school students this year is about 16The wave of 17 births, and you must know that it was just released by the two, which brought a little bit of a small spring.
After that, from 8 onwards, it's basically a river of spring! So who dares to ask for more now, who doesn't just open their brains and open their brains to cerebral palsy, pretend to be B instead of being X, and blow up their basic disk?
And the trend of next year's graduates is actually very interesting: they all go to graduate school for a doctorate, or go ashore for exams.
M body also disclosed a data before: the master's and doctoral graduates in the imperial capital have exceeded the undergraduate graduates.
What does this mean?
You must know that so many people study for a Ph.D., not because they love academics, but mainly to avoid risks.
In the past few years, the economy has not been good, and it has been declining, coupled with the three-year crit of masks, in order to avoid entering the market too early, or entering the market is not so rolled out of the sky, I plan to extend my studies to avoid the downturn, and at the same time improve my competitiveness.
Or go ashore for the exam, do it in one step, and jump straight out of the deep water. So a lot of Pinkers have chicken blood on their mouths, saying that it's okay, it's good, it's okay, jumping from here, and other people can't be allowed to say that the situation is a little unfortunate, and the psychology is all oops, it's so fragrant!
Actually, this is a big reincarnation, because it was like this before: in 2008, the all-blue star economic crisis, many people went to graduate school, and three years later, Da Mei and Nan SL**e practiced their hands and faces, four trillion here, and a big scatter there, and the global economy just got out of the quagmire in 11 years, another wave of small climaxes.
After that, it was 13-20 years, everyone knows that it was still the afterglow of the ** era, entrepreneurship was very hot, and there was soft and despicable everywhere, and a master's degree graduate entered a large factory, with an annual income of dozens of w. But now the times of adults have changed, and the wishful thinking is empty:
After three years of masks, they did not recover immediately, but worse.
After all, there is a scarring effect, and everyone has no soft sister coins, CPI, and consumption in their hands. Income, growth and other figures are all rats licking cats, which is particularly exciting. But this also increases the opportunity cost of studying for a Ph.D., and it also makes going ashore ambiguous
You have to know that before the mask, the master and doctor can go to the second-tier street to get an actual post, two years ago, you can only go to the grassroots level of the poor county, a year ago the public toilet has to rely on the volume, this year, you can only go to the logistics canteen dormitory management and the like.
Thinking about it, it is actually not very good to come out in the past two years: take the Internet as an example, three years ago, you were not as good as your classmate who graduated and entered a big factory, and three years later there was no chance to enter, and he became the supervisor who interviewed you, and may have brushed you off, because the interview with you was from a famous domestic school or even an overseas famous school.
So a master's degree is actually useless, is it more energetic when delivering takeaways? After all, employment is not good, take a look at all walks of life this year:
Although the mask has passed, the recovery has not arrived, the expectation is insufficient, and everyone does not dare to consume, so all walks of life have fallen into an e-sex cycle.
A look at one industry after another:
The big head of the real economy is processing and manufacturing, and I was laughing at screws before, but it is not easy to make screws this year, and even if I go in, the salary is very low, maybe only three or four thousand, because there are no orders.
Overcapacity has met the global recession, the cost of production and processing is rising, rent, shui fees, energy, water and electricity, transportation, manpower and other costs, plus the mask after everyone's consumer demand has been downgraded, all say that there is no future in the factory to make screws, can not make money, the previous joke of screwing is not qualified, this year will be realized.
If you look for a job playing screws, you will know that you have been drawn a picture of the box on the Qingming Festival.
Small processing and manufacturing are equally magical:
The anti-risk ability is pulled, and many small factories have collapsed in the past three years, and the boss has run away or levied x, and there are not so many jobs. Even if you go to work, social security and even wages are not guaranteed, and in the end, the costs of renting water and electricity are made for others to make wedding dresses, and the reasons behind them are particularly heartwarming.
It's really seven tricks and six tricks!
The internet industry is out :
The Internet industry has also exaggerated, opened the brain into a brain, the big factories are all C staff to save their lives, there is no recruitment demand at all, and the C staff is still continuing, and the school recruitment spring recruitment is not done, except for individual enterprises, it is not easy to do, venture capital can't get it, the financing is burned out, and the valuation card card is down.
The life of the duck, don't dream of being a shareholder of Quanjude!
Opening a small self-employed shop is the tertiary industry
The small shops on the street are rolled into dogs, and the masks have been hung in countless small and medium-sized shops for three years, with the downgrading of consumption, there are no customers, there is no profit to make some money, and they have paid the rent, but the water, electricity, labor, and various expenses are not less, counting on doing individual businesses, about September 30, 1949, joined KMT, and the toilet was lit.
If you keep talking, it's time to take blood pressure medication!
Just find a place to go to work and do social chu:
Service-type enterprises are shrinking, with no business, no revenue, and no ability to recruit people and the cost cannot be beared. Most of the social chu did not dare to resign, because every month the hand stopped, the wife had to eat, the children had to go to school, the parents had to take medicine, the mortgage for six wallets per month had to be repaid, the car loan had to be repaid, and all kinds of credit cards and bei that had been overdrafted in the mask era had to be repaid, and the boss also had chicken soup and cakes every day, and it was not okay not to eat, and he felt that he was not wolf-like, and he had no pattern, and he couldn't wait for you to take money from home to him, and the whole thing was a net.
If you have to find a good job here, then you grew up reading the teaching materials of the people's education version!
Flexible employment: three choices: takeaway, express delivery, online appointment, no insurance, no guarantee, and being angry, it is the money that is exchanged for life, and it may not be enough to spend. Flexible employment may not be stable, online, dubbing, self-**, live broadcasting, e-commerce or something, or be ridiculed, even if you don't pay IQ shui, you can't make money, because it's too rolly.
There are more and more flexible employment, but many people do not have complete skills, the more people are involved, the more powerful they are, and no one wants products or services, and finally they find that they are in a hearse.
Master, stop now, I want to get out of the car!
There are many types of flexible employment, and most people are likely to engage in self-employment. But more importantly, it takes time to do it, for example, no one watched it in the early stage, and it is normal to have no income after a year. Now that the dividends of self-improvement have passed, sinking users have peaked, and it is too difficult to be popular.
This path to employment is also blocked. You must know that the economy in 2023 is likely to be like that, and employment is even more exaggerated, you look at some cities in the Laotie area have withdrawn from the city to the countryside, and the income of those who have gone ashore has decreased.
Others, hammered education and training, fanned games, held down the Internet, and even brought goods from **, the outlet has passed! Therefore, so many people will graduate next year, and in order to avoid risks, they will go ashore for the exam, but those who can get in will be given priority, so they can only take the postgraduate examination for the master's degree and doctorate.
This reason is not in the students, it is the reason of the times, which makes it meaningless to pay in the long run.
In particular, the loss rate of young people, especially the loss of y, is very interesting: the loss rate of young people aged 16-24 exceeded 20 for the first time this year4%。This is the highest level since statistics were recorded.
Since 2019, the growth of youth loss has also been gratifying year by year, and this steep curve has exceeded the increase in college graduates, so it seems that it is not just a problem for graduates at present.
Because of the mask and some GOV reasons, many graduates choose to delay employment, survive this period of decline, and the group of people who delay employment enter the market, and now the supply exceeds demand, and the curve will naturally rise. However, the composition of the group's educational qualifications, low education still accounts for the majority, that is, the number of graduates has increased, which cannot explain the reason for the increase in the curve.
Will it get better in the future?
How to solve it? Go ashore to take a postgraduate examination or enter the system, and thousands of troops cross the single-plank bridge, and the solution is limited.
It is only an expedient measure to go to the G enterprise to Xi or select, after all, they have begun to clean up the W.
Working in the factory, screwing is overcrowded, and I can't earn tickets.
Go to the office to do a social chu? Many bosses have gone to work on their own.
Takeaway delivery? In the previous paragraph, the delivery people in Shenzhen exploded, and the unit price dropped.
Live broadcast brings goods from**? The bonus period has passed, don't think about this if you don't have a level, there is nothing else but being gak c.
Set up a stall to barbecue fried potatoes with a daily income of 9k? Does anyone really believe it?
No way, no one knows what to do, stay up!