The price of live pigs is tailed , and the north and south are red !Pig price warning on December

Mondo Three rural Updated on 2024-01-31

Pig ** near the end of the year, recently, by the southern pickling good cash, pig prices show a bottoming out trend, however, the pig price ** space and time is not as expected, pig ** is still at a low level, the breeding end is facing a more severe loss pressure!After the winter solstice festival, with the deterioration of the market mentality, the bullish confidence of the breeding end for the big pigs has decreased, the panic slaughter has increased, and the big pigs have weakened, driving the standard pigs to downward, and the market performance is sluggish!However, with the arrival of the end of the month, approaching the New Year's Day holiday, the downstream market still has a certain demand for stocking, and the southern pickles are also continuing, the slaughterhouse operating rate remains high, the market bullish sentiment is gradually weakening, the breeding end of the price mentality has increased, the domestic pig price "warped", * showing a weak and stable trend, the domestic market, the north and the south are "red Tongtong"!

According to the analysis of institutional data, due to the adjustment of market supply and demand, it is expected that on December 27, the outer ternary pigs will be slaughtered in 715 yuan catty, up 0 from yesterday04 yuan, live pigs *** higher, however, compared with the same period last year, pig prices fell as high as 189%!

From the perspective of zoning, the traditional domestic high and low market, at present, the three northeastern provinces, pig prices are adjusted sideways, Heilongjiang **67~6.9 yuan, Liaoning**67~7.2 yuan;In the North China market, Beijing and Tianjin **71~7.3 yuan, Shanxi**7 74 yuan, Hebei**7 75 yuan;In the northwest market, Shaanxi and Gansu regions, the average price of live pigs is 68~7.4 yuan catty. In the southern region, the southwest market in Sichuan and Chongqing** rose to 69~7.4 yuan, Yunnan**68~6.$9. In East China, Shandong, Anhui**73~7.9 yuan, Zhejiang**77 8 yuan, Fujian**71~7.$3. In Central China, Henan**71~7.7 yuan, Hunan **7 74 yuan, in the South China market, the pig price in the two regions is 7 76 yuan catty!

Judging from the market feedback, on December 27, pig prices stopped falling, from falling into the rise, the market showed a weak, stable and strong trend, from the grassroots feedback, at present, Henan Dachang standard pig ** raised by 03 yuan, South China's large factories are stable, and many large factories in Central China are raised by 01~0.2 yuan, at present, the small and medium-sized pigs are slightly stronger, the performance of large pigs is still poor, recently, the breeding end of the pig farm pig slaughter is relatively positive, especially, after the winter solstice, the pickling is good and gradually weakened, the consumption of large pigs is insufficient, and there is a panic mentality at the breeding end!

However, small and medium-sized pigs **contrarian trend**, I personally believe that due to less than 2 months from the Spring Festival, although, the performance of pickled pigs is not as good as expected, however, part of the secondary fattening for the Spring Festival before the bullish mentality of large pigs has increased, due to the low stage of standard pigs, part of the second fattening supplement column of small standard pigs has increased, which has also driven the standard pigs ** to go higher, the inflow of large factory standard pigs into the second breeding increased, and the slaughterhouse is facing an increase in the difficulty of collecting pigs!In particular, at this stage, the operating rate of slaughterhouses is at a high level, and the demand for pigs is strong, so under the long-short game, the trend of pig prices is slightly "tailed"!

Personally, I believe that in the short term, pig prices will still maintain a fluctuating trend, after all, the end of the year is approaching, the market stock demand is more active, pickled is still reflected, pig prices or will show a slight trend!However, limited by the end of the month slaughter more active, purchase and sales of both increase situation, pig price ** height or will be limited, after New Year's Day, by the long and short intertwined, ** or weakened again!

Pig ** "warped tail", north and south are "red tongtong"!Pig price warning on December 27!What do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet!

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