Elections to Iran's Supreme Council of Experts are just around the corner, with less than 10 days left before the official vote. At present, the situation in Iran is not peaceful, because this election will determine the ownership of the next Supreme Spiritual Leader, and the current Supreme Spiritual Leader Khamenei is very old, and there have been rumors about his health in recent years. Despite Khamenei's repeated appearances to dispel these rumors, it is clear that birth, old age, sickness and death are inevitable and natural. His choice has not yet been decided, so the outcome of this expert meeting election will be crucial for Iran's future political direction.
In Iran's political ecology, the supreme spiritual leader wields absolute power, and his influence is not limited to symbolism, but is involved in all aspects. The importance of this election cannot be overstated. Although Iran** is generally more focused on parliamentary elections at the moment, the election of the expert meeting held on the same day is actually more crucial.
In the parliamentary elections, the battle between conservatives and reformers has long been out of suspense. Although the two factions fought fiercely for several parliamentary seats, it was difficult for the reformists to achieve a substantial victory in the struggle due to the oversight of the Guardian Council of the Constitution. Some of the contenders in the moderates allied with the reformists, such as the former ** Rouhani, were also disqualified. With the parliamentary elections largely under control, Khamenei immediately began preparations for the expert elections. He launched a series of draconian purges aimed at eliminating all factors that could interfere with the outcome of the election.
The purge did not meet with much resistance, as Khamenei's authority was unquestionable. Before the election began, 35 incumbent members announced their withdrawal from the race, including some veterans. Although they claim that young people should be given a chance because they are too old, this explanation is not fully convincing. Some senior lawmakers have been disqualified from running, possibly on the grounds of age or health problems.
It is worth noting that one of the oldest parliamentarians at the moment, 97-year-old Jhanati, also announced his withdrawal from the race, but he still holds the important position of secretary of the Guardian Council of the Constitution. The Guardian Council of the Constitution, which oversees Iran's various electoral activities, is an important tool for Khamenei to influence the course of the elections.
For Khamenei, Raisi and Mojtaba are among the top candidates he is considering. Raisi has more seniority, while Mojtaba is the second son of Khamenei and has been closely linked with former Ahmadinejad. Although Mojtaba has some influence in the eyes of Khamenei, he is not as senior as Raisi. Khamenei may be inclined to support his son.
In any case, the outcome of the elections to the expert meeting will have a direct impact on the political direction of Iran. Despite his advanced age, Khamenei still has a strong grip on Iran's political situation, which is reflected in the series of adjustments he has made.
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